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Circulation. 2000;101:1366-1371

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(Circulation. 2000;101:1366.)
© 2000 American Heart Association, Inc.


Clinical Investigation and Reports

The Apolipoprotein {epsilon}4 Allele Determines Prognosis and the Effect on Prognosis of Simvastatin in Survivors of Myocardial Infarction

A Substudy of the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study

Lars Ulrik Gerdes, MD; Christian Gerdes, MD, PhD; Kari Kervinen, MD, PhD; Markku Savolainen, MD, PhD; Ib Christian Klausen, MD; Peter Steen Hansen, MD, DMSc; Y. Antero Kesäniemi, MD, PhD; Ole Færgeman, MD, DMSc

From the Departments of Internal Medicine and Cardiology, Aarhus Amtssygehus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark (L.U.G., C.G., I.C.K., P.S.H., O.F.), and the Department of Internal Medicine and Biocenter Oulu, Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland (K.K., M.S., Y.A.K.).

Correspondence to Dr Lars Ulrik Gerdes, Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Aarhus Amtssygehus University Hospital, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark. E-mail ulrik.gerdes{at}dadlnet.dk

Background—Carriers of the {epsilon}4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene are at a higher risk of coronary heart disease than individuals with other genotypes. We examined whether the risk of death or a major coronary event in survivors of myocardial infarction depended on apolipoprotein E genotype and whether the benefits of treatment with simvastatin differed between genotypes.

Methods and Results—Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze 5.5 years of follow-up data from 966 Danish and Finnish myocardial infarction survivors enrolled in the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study. A total of 16% of the 166 {epsilon}4 carriers in the placebo group died compared with 9% of the 312 patients without the allele, which corresponds to a mortality risk ratio of 1.8 (95% confidence interval, 1.1 to 3.1). The risk ratio was unaffected by considerations of sex, age, concurrent angina, diabetes, smoking, and serum lipids in multivariate analyses. Simvastatin treatment reduced the mortality risk to 0.33 (95% confidence interval, 0.16 to 0.69) in {epsilon}4 carriers and to 0.66 (95% confidence interval, 0.35 to 1.24) in other patients (P=0.23 for treatment by genotype interaction). Apolipoprotein E genotype did not predict the risk of a major coronary event. Baseline serum levels of lipoprotein(a) also predicted mortality risk and could be combined with {epsilon}4-carrier status to define 3 groups of patients with different prognoses and benefits from treatment.

Conclusions—Myocardial infarction survivors with the {epsilon}4 allele have a nearly 2-fold increased risk of dying compared with other patients, and the excess mortality can be abolished by treatment with simvastatin.


Key Words: apolipoproteins • genetics • myocardial infarction • prognosis • mortality




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