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Circulation, Vol 82, 1705-1717, Copyright © 1990 by American Heart Association
KL Lee, DB Pryor, KS Pieper, FE Harrell Jr, RM Califf, DB Mark, MA Hlatky, RE Coleman, FR Cobb and RH Jones
To evaluate the usefulness of multiple measures from rest and exercise
radionuclide angiography (RNA) in predicting cardiovascular death and
cardiovascular events (death or nonfatal myocardial infarction) and to
assess the prognostic usefulness of the RNA relative to clinical and
catheterization data, we studied 571 stable patients with symptomatic
coronary artery disease who had upright rest/exercise first-pass RNA within
3 months of catheterization and were medically treated. With a median
follow-up of 5.4 years, 90 patients have died from cardiovascular causes,
and 147 patients have either died or suffered a nonfatal myocardial
infarction. Using the Cox regression model and a preselected group of RNA
variables, the most important RNA predictor of mortality was exercise
ejection fraction (chi 2 = 81, p less than 0.00001). Neither rest ejection
fraction nor the change in ejection fraction from rest to exercise
contributed additional predictive information. Two other RNA study
variables, the change in heart rate from rest to exercise and rest
end-diastolic volume index, did contribute additional prognostic
information to the exercise ejection fraction (chi 2 = 23, p less than
0.0001). Compared with noninvasive clinical data (history, physical
examination, electrocardiogram, and chest radiograph), RNA variables were
considerably more predictive of mortality (chi 2 = 71 [clinical variables]
versus chi 2 = 104 [RNA]). Remarkably, the strength of the relation of RNA
variables with mortality was equivalent to that of the set of
catheterization variables previously demonstrated in our large angiographic
population to be prognostically important (chi 2 = 104 [RNA] versus chi 2 =
102 [catheterization variables]). The RNA contained 84% of the information
provided by clinical and catheterization descriptors combined. Furthermore,
the RNA contributed significant additional prognostic information to the
clinical and catheterization data (chi 2 = 13.6, p = 0.0035). For
cardiovascular events, the relative prognostic usefulness of the RNA was
similar, although relations with this outcome were generally weaker.
Descriptors from the rest/exercise RNA exhibit a powerful relation with
long-term outcomes and can be useful in defining risk, even when clinical
and catheterization data are available.
ARTICLES
Prognostic value of radionuclide angiography in medically treated patients with coronary artery disease. A comparison with clinical and catheterization variables
Department of Community and Family Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27710.
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