(Circulation. 1999;100:2067-2073.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Mayo Clinic and Foundation, Rochester, Minn (D.R.H., P.B.B.); Columbia University/St Lukes/Roosevelt Hospital, New York, NY (J.S.H.); Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC (C.B.G., R.M.C.); Emory University, Atlanta, Ga (T.D.T.); Hospital Tenon, Paris, France (A.V.); University of Michigan Medical Center, Ann Arbor (E.R.B.); and Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio (E.J.T.).
Correspondence to David R. Holmes, Jr, MD, Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, 200 First St SW, Rochester, MN 55905. E-mail dholmes{at}mayo.edu
| Abstract |
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Methods and ResultsAmong 12 084 patients in GUSTO-IIb who did not present with cardiogenic shock, 4092 (34%) had and 7991 (66%) did not have ST-segment elevation on the enrollment ECG. Cardiogenic shock developed in 4.2% of ST-segment elevation patients compared with 2.5% of patients without ST-segment elevation (odds ratio, 0.581; 95% CI, 0.472 to 0.715; P<0.001). Shock developed significantly later among patients without ST-segment elevation. There were significant differences in baseline characteristics between shock patients with and without ST-segment elevation: Patients without ST-segment elevation were older, more frequently had diabetes mellitus and 3-vessel disease, but had less TIMI grade 0 flow at angiography. Regardless of the initial ECG, mortality was high: 63% among patients with ST-segment elevation and 73% in those without ST-segment elevation.
ConclusionsCardiogenic shock occurs in the setting of acute ischemic syndromes regardless of whether ST-segment elevation is present. The incidence, patient characteristics, timing, clinical course, and angiographic findings differ between the 2 groups. Mortality from cardiogenic shock is similarly high among patients with and without ST-segment elevation.
Key Words: shock myocardial infarction mortality acute coronary syndromes unstable angina
| Introduction |
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| Methods |
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Definitions
Patients with cardiogenic shock were a prospectively identified
subgroup who had a systolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg
persisting for >1 hour despite a fluid challenge and signs of
hypoperfusion or a cardiac index of <2.2 L ·
min-1 · m-2. For
this study of patients who developed shock after enrollment, the 58
patients who presented in cardiogenic shock (8% of ST-segment
elevation and 1% of non-ST-segment elevation patients) were
excluded.
MI was defined as occurring at the time of study enrollment if the
creatine kinase myocardial band fraction (CK-MB) was elevated and was
3% of the total CK either at baseline or 8 hours after enrollment.
If no symptoms occurred between enrollment and a sample taken at 16
hours but the CK was elevated, this was also considered MI at
enrollment. Recurrent infarction was defined as recurrent signs,
symptoms, and ECG changes of acute MI accompanied by a rise in CK-MB
above normal (if it had fallen to normal after enrollment) or 2-fold
above the previous value (if it had not returned to normal).
Data and Statistical Analyses
Baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes of shock patients
with and without ST-segment elevation were compared. Continuous
variables are presented as medians and 25th and 75th
percentiles, and discrete variables are given as frequencies and
percentages. Statistical testing was performed with the
likelihood-ratio
2 test or Fishers exact
test for categorical variables. The Wilcoxon rank-sum test
was used for continuous variable assessment. All reported
probability values were 2-tailed, and treatments were compared by use
of an intention-to-treat analysis.
Logistic regression models were created to determine the effect of ST-segment elevation versus no ST-segment elevation on 30-day mortality and 30-day death or reinfarction. First, univariable models were developed to determine unadjusted effects. Second, multivariable models were created to determine the effect after adjustment for known baseline predictors of each outcome.
In examinations of the effect of revascularization
procedures on 30-day outcomes, it is important to account for the
failure of many patients to survive long enough to have a procedure.
Crediting the nonintervention group with all these early events would
unfairly inflate the beneficial effect of the intervention. To adjust
for any bias resulting from including these early events in the
nonintervention group, time-dependent Cox models were used to determine
the effect of procedures on 30-day outcomes. Procedures included as
time-dependent covariates in the modeling were PTCA and CABG. First, a
univariable comparison was made to determine the unadjusted effect
of each procedure on each of the 30-day outcomes. Second, the
interaction between each procedure and ST-segment group was tested to
determine whether the effect of the given procedure was similar in both
groups. Next, each procedure was tested after adjustment for
significant baseline predictors. Finally, each procedure was tested
after adjustment for both significant baseline predictors and the other
procedure. In this model, patients were treated as having only the
first procedure performed. Predictors in each model were tested with
the Wald
2 test.
| Results |
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Patients who developed cardiogenic shock had more high-risk
characteristics (Table 1
),
including older age, female sex, and a higher incidence of prior MI,
prior congestive heart failure, and diabetes mellitus. They also had a
higher frequency of elevated CK or CK-MB on admission.
|
As in the group 1 and 2 patients who did not develop shock, there were
significant differences in baseline characteristics between group 1 and
2 patients who developed shock (Table 2
).
Patients in Group 2 had more adverse baseline characteristics,
including significantly older age, and a greater frequency of prior
infarction, coronary bypass surgery, and congestive heart
failure. MI at the time of study enrollment was significantly more
frequent in group 1 patients (91% versus 69%, P<0.001);
there was no difference in the rate at which patients with MI at
enrollment developed shock (group 1, 4.3%; group 2, 3.9%).
|
Medication use at any time during hospitalization and resource
consumption differed between the 2 groups (Table 3
). Oral ß-blockers and calcium channel
antagonists were used more frequently in group 2. There was
no difference in ACE inhibitors, which were used in less
than one half of all patients. Clinically indicated
revascularization patterns differed significantly
between the 2 groups of patients: Patients with ST-segment elevation
underwent PTCA more frequently but CABG less frequently.
|
In-hospital events preceding or occurring in conjunction with
shock differed in the groups (Table 4
).
Shock occurred considerably later in group 2 (median, 76.2 hours after
study entry versus 9.6 hours in group 1; Table 2
). Recurrent
ischemia occurred almost twice as frequently, and recurrent
infarction was
3 times as common in group 2. A mechanical cause of
shock, such as ventricular septal defect or mitral
regurgitation, was uncommon. The median maximum CK
elevation was significantly higher in group 1 (2133 versus 883).
|
Angiography was performed in 181 patients, 90 in group 1 (52%) and 91
in group 2 (46%) (Table 5
). There were
significant differences in TIMI flow in the culprit vessel at the time
of angiography (P=0.014). More patients in group 1 had TIMI
grade 0 flow, whereas more patients in group 2 had TIMI grade 3 flow.
Three-vessel disease was more common in group 2 patients. There were
also differences in infarct-related artery location. In 24% of group 2
patients, the infarct-related artery could not be identified.
|
Thirty-day mortality was high in patients with shock regardless of the
initial ECG. Mortality was 63.0% among shock patients with ST-segment
elevation compared with 3.0% in patients without shock (Table 6
). Similarly, in the non-ST-segment
elevation group, 30-day mortality was 72.5% in patients with shock
versus 2.0% in patients without shock. Mortality among the 2 groups of
shock patients did not differ significantly. There was also no
difference in outcome between shock patients with and without
ST-segment elevation for the combined end point of death, MI, or
recurrent MI. Recurrent infarction was higher in group 2 patients
(37.5% versus 25.4%).
|
Thirty-Day Mortality Modeling Results
In the univariable model, there was a borderline effect for
increased 30-day mortality in the group without ST-segment elevation
(OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.00 to 2.40; P=0.050). In the
multivariable model, no ST-segment elevation was a significant
predictor of 30-day mortality (Wald
2=6.06,
P=0.048), as was male sex (P=0.022).
In the unadjusted time-dependent models, PTCA was associated with reduced 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.64; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.92; P=0.017), and CABG was associated with increased 30-day mortality (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.08 to 2.09; P=0.017). After adjustment for baseline differences, the effect of CABG on mortality was even more significant (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.42 to 2.92; P<0.001), and there remained a strong trend toward reduced mortality with PTCA (HR, 68; 95% CI, 0.45 to 1.00; P=0.052). A time-dependent model including the baseline characteristics and both procedures was then run in which patients receiving both CABG and PTCA were counted as receiving only the first procedure performed. After adjustment for baseline differences and the other procedure, CABG remained associated with increased 30-day mortality (HR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.48 to 3.19; P<0.001), whereas there was no longer a PTCA effect (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.53 to 1.18; P=0.241).
Thirty-Day Death or Reinfarction Modeling Results
In the univariable model, ST-segment elevation did not have a
significant effect on the composite end point (OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 0.86
to 2.30; P=0.170). There was no significant interaction with
sex (P=0.768).
In the unadjusted time-dependent models, there was not a significant PTCA effect (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.69 to 1.31; P=0.767), whereas CABG was associated with increased events (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.13 to 2.15; P=0.006). After adjustment for baseline differences, there remained no PTCA effect (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.71 to 1.43; P=0.951); CABG was still associated with a harmful effect (HR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.53; P=0.001). The CABG effect remained after adjustment for baseline differences and the other procedure (HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.46 to 3.02; P<0.001). PTCA was still not predictive of the 30-day composite end point (HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.68; P=0.371).
| Discussion |
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Patients who developed shock had more adverse baseline characteristics regardless of whether they presented with ST-segment elevation. However, among patients who developed shock, those who presented without ST-segment elevation had more adverse risk factors than those who presented with ST-segment elevation. In each group, the development of shock was associated with a marked increase in mortality.
Classically, cardiogenic shock has been considered a sequela of ST-segment elevation MI, most commonly caused by left ventricular dysfunction resulting from continued ischemia and cell death.10 In ST-segment elevation patients, the incidence of shock in published series has varied from 6% to 20%.1 10 11 12 In GUSTO-I, with the largest prospectively defined population of shock patients, the incidence was 7.2%.3 The incidence of shock may be higher in unselected populations because patients presenting with cardiogenic shock have often been excluded from randomized trials.13
There are very limited prospective data regarding the development of shock in patients without ST-segment elevation. This is a very diverse group of patients with variable prognoses.14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 In the prospective Should We Revascularize Occluded Coronaries for Cardiogenic Shock? (SHOCK) registry, 214 patients were found to have left ventricular failure causing shock; of these, only 14% did not have ST-segment elevation.22 This GUSTO-IIb study also documents a significant difference in the incidence of cardiogenic shock, which was seen in 4.2% of patients with ST-segment elevation but only 2.5% of those without ST-segment elevation.
Patients who developed shock were at higher risk initially and were characterized by older age, female sex, and a higher incidence of prior MI, prior congestive heart failure, and diabetes mellitus. There were likewise differences in baseline characteristics among shock patients with and without ST-segment elevation. Patients without ST-segment elevation in whom shock developed were at higher risk than patients with ST elevation, as evidenced by their older age and increased frequency of prior MI, CABG, and congestive heart failure, all of which were associated with increased mortality in the GUSTO-I trial.23 Age was one of the most important factors associated with poor outcome in GUSTO-I.24 25
There were other very important differences between the patient groups. Shock patients without ST-segment elevation who underwent coronary angiography had significantly more extensive disease: 65% had 3-vessel disease compared with 30% in the group with ST-segment elevation. Patients without ST-segment elevation had less TIMI grade 0 flow, consistent with the theory that ST-segment elevation usually results from acute coronary occlusion, whereas more preserved antegrade flow causes ischemia, ST-segment depression, or T-wave inversion, often without infarction.
There were also significant differences in in-hospital events preceding or occurring coincidentally with the diagnosis of shock. The time to development of shock was longer in patients without ST-segment elevation, and shock was more often associated with recurrent ischemia or reinfarction in this group. The origin of the shock accordingly may differ between the 2 groups; in patients with ST-segment elevation, acute occlusion may occur with massive necrosis and irreversible loss of a large amount of myocardium, whereas in patients without ST-segment elevation, it may be a result of recurrent ischemia or reinfarction. Both of these findings afford a potential to intervene before shock onset in patients with highest risk if means can be found to identify them.
Patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute ischemic
syndromes are a very heterogeneous
group.14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Many studies have documented a more favorable
initial hospital outcome in these patients, which has been felt to be
related to early spontaneous infarct-related artery patency and a
resultant limitation in infarct size. However, Gruppo Italiano per lo
Studio della Streptochinasi Nellinfarto Miocardico
(GISSI)-I26 and International Study of Infarct Survival
(ISIS)-227 reported a mortality rate of
20% among
patients with non-ST-segment elevation infarction, which was similar
to the prognosis of patients with placebo-treated anterior
infarctions.
Perhaps the most striking finding in this GUSTO-IIb study was that although cardiogenic shock was less likely to develop in patients without ST-segment elevation, it was associated with an even higher mortality than shock patients with ST-segment elevation (72.5% versus 63.0%, P=0.05). Regardless of the initial ECG findings, cardiogenic shock remains highly lethal.
The role of aggressive treatment in patients with shock remains
promising but controversial. In the SHOCK registry, Hochman et
al22 found that selection for angiography identified a
group of patients with improved outcome regardless of subsequent
treatment. The randomized SHOCK trial assessed a strategy of early
emergency revascularization compared with initial
medical stabilization followed by delayed
revascularization if clinically indicated. There
was a small but statistically insignificant improvement in outcome in
the former group.28 In contrast to the SHOCK registry,
there are increasing data on the promising role of
revascularization in very-high-risk patients. In
the larger GUSTO-I trial,3 29 an aggressive treatment
approach with angiography and PTCA was associated with improved
survival at 30 days, which persisted for
1 year. These data suggest
that these high-risk patients appear to have the most to gain from
invasive therapeutic approaches. The number of patients with shock in
the GUSTO-IIb study who underwent revascularization
was small. Although PTCA was associated with improved mortality at 30
days, there was no significant difference in survival after adjustment
for differences in baseline characteristics, whereas shock patients who
underwent CABG had worse outcomes.
Study Limitations
Although GUSTO-IIb encompassed a larger group of patients with
acute coronary syndromes than other
thrombolytic trials of acute MI, it did not include all
patients with these syndromes; eg, patients with ST-segment elevation
were excluded if they were not candidates for
thrombolytic therapy. No screening log was kept of all
patients with infarction who may have been candidates for reperfusion
therapy. Concern has been raised that the incidence of shock is higher
in unselected patients because patients may have been excluded by
physician or patient bias.13 Such bias would likely affect
the outcome similarly for patients both with and without ST-segment
elevation.
Conclusions
This study documents cardiogenic shock occurring in the setting of
acute ischemic syndromes regardless of whether ST-segment
elevation is present. Shock occurred in this large trial in only
2.5% of patients without compared with 4.2% of patients with
ST-segment elevation. Shock patients without ST-segment elevation had
more high-risk clinical characteristics, more extensive
coronary artery disease, and more frequent recurrent
ischemia and infarction before the development of shock.
Patients without ST-segment elevation developed shock much later than
those with ST-segment elevation, suggesting a window of opportunity to
prevent shock. Regardless of the initial ECG findings of patients who
developed shock, it was associated with a marked increase in
mortality.
| Acknowledgments |
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Received May 25, 1999; revision received July 16, 1999; accepted July 20, 1999.
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J. V. Tedesco, R. S. Wright, B. A. Williams, S. L. Kopecky, D. L. Dvorak, G. S. Reeder, W. L. Miller, and Mayo Coronary Care Unit Group Effect of Diabetes on the Mortality Risk of Cardiogenic Shock in a Community-Based Population Mayo Clin. Proc., May 1, 2003; 78(5): 561 - 566. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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M. B. Vroom Epidemiology and Pharmacotherapy of Acute Heart Failure Seminars in Cardiothoracic and Vascular Anesthesia, March 1, 2003; 7(1): 3 - 12. [PDF] |
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D.R Holmes The final common pathway Eur. Heart J., February 1, 2003; 24(3): 214 - 216. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M.G Lindholm, L Kober, S Boesgaard, C Torp-Pedersen, J Aldershvile, and on behalf of the TRACE study group Cardiogenic shock complicating acute myocardial infarction: Prognostic impact of early and late shock development Eur. Heart J., February 1, 2003; 24(3): 258 - 265. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. H. Picard, R. Davidoff, L. A. Sleeper, L. A. Mendes, C. R. Thompson, V. Dzavik, R. Steingart, K. Gin, H. D. White, J. S. Hochman, et al. Echocardiographic Predictors of Survival and Response to Early Revascularization in Cardiogenic Shock Circulation, January 21, 2003; 107(2): 279 - 284. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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V. Menon and J. S Hochman MANAGEMENT OF CARDIOGENIC SHOCK COMPLICATING ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION Heart, December 1, 2002; 88(5): 531 - 537. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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C.H. Davies Revascularization for cardiogenic shock QJM, February 1, 2001; 94(2): 57 - 67. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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D. Hasdai, R. A. Harrington, J. S. Hochman, R. M. Califf, A. Battler, J. W. Box, M. L. Simoons, J. Deckers, E. J. Topol, and D. R. Holmes Jr. Platelet glycoprotein IIb/IIIa blockade and outcome of cardiogenic shock complicating acute coronary syndromes without persistent ST-segment elevation J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., September 1, 2000; 36(3): 685 - 692. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. K. Jacobs, J. K. French, J. Col, L. A. Sleeper, J. N. Slater, L. Carnendran, J. Boland, X. Jiang, T. LeJemtel, J. S. Hochman, et al. Cardiogenic shock with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: a report from the SHOCK Trial Registry J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., September 1, 2000; 36(3_Suppl_A): 1091 - 1096. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Cardiogenic Shock in the Absence of ST Elevation Journal Watch Emergency Medicine, January 1, 2000; 2000(101): 7 - 7. [Full Text] |
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