(Circulation. 2000;101:244.)
© 2000 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Cardiovascular Institute and Fu Wai Hospital, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China (Z.-X.H.); Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Tex (T.D.H., C.M.P., M.S.V., R.R., J.J.M.); and North Houston Heart Center, Houston, Tex (V.A.).
| Abstract |
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Methods and ResultsOver 2.5 years, we prospectively studied 3895
generally asymptomatic subjects with EBCT, 411 of whom had
stress myocardial perfusion tomography (SPECT) within a close (median,
17 days) time period. SPECT and exercise treadmill results were
compared with the coronary artery calcium score (CACS) as
assessed by EBCT. The total CACS identified a population at high risk
for having myocardial ischemia by SPECT although only a
minority of subjects (22%) with an abnormal EBCT had an abnormal
SPECT. No subject with CACS <10 had an abnormal SPECT compared with
2.6% of those with scores from 11 to 100, 11.3% of those with scores
from 101 to 399, and 46% of those with scores
400
(P<0.0001). CACS predicted an abnormal SPECT regardless
of subject age or sex.
ConclusionsCACS identifies a high-risk group of asymptomatic subjects who have clinically important silent myocardial ischemia. Our results support the role of EBCT as the initial screening tool for identifying individuals at various stages of CAD development for whom therapeutic decision making may differ considerably.
Key Words: tomography calcium ischemia
| Introduction |
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Electron beam computed tomography (EBCT) is a new noninvasive technique that can detect coronary atherosclerosis even at its earliest stages on the basis of the presence and severity of coronary artery calcification.10 Although calcification severity predicts the presence of significant anatomic CAD,11 12 there is little information as to whether the coronary artery calcium score (CACS) can identify asymptomatic individuals at high risk for having myocardial ischemia among a larger, asymptomatic, heterogeneous population with cardiac risk factors.12 This is clinically important because the presence and extent of left ventricular ischemia predict outcome beyond that provided by coronary angiographic findings alone.4 5 13
Accordingly, the purpose of this study was to determine whether EBCT could identify subjects with scintigraphic ischemia on the basis of CACS severity and thereby define its role as a primary screening technique for identifying subjects with a broad spectrum of CAD.
| Methods |
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EBCT Study
EBCT was performed on an Imatron C-150 ultrafast CT scanner with
a 100-ms exposure time and 30-cm field size. With ECG gating, 32
consecutive images were obtained in diastole at 3-mm
intervals. Coronary calcification was defined as a lesion of
>130 Hounsfield units with an area >1.02 mm; lesions were
manually planimetered by an experienced technologist and reviewed by a
radiologist (T.D.H.). CACS was determined for the 4 main
coronary arteries and then summed to generate a total score.
The Agatston score was defined as normal, mild, moderate, or severe on
the basis of total CACS and subject age and sex.14 We also
performed analysis using a more recently proposed scoring
system based on the total CACS: 0 (normal), 1 to 10 (minimal), 11 to
100 (mild), 101 to 399 (moderate), and
400
(severe).15
SPECT Study
Standard stress and rest SPECT were performed with
201Tl (67%), 99mTc
sestamibi (21%), or tetrofosmin (12%).2 16
Symptom-limited ETT by use of the Bruce protocol was performed in 352
subjects (86%), whereas 11% received adenosine17
and 3% received dobutamine18 with standard
infusion protocols. ECG ischemia was defined as a
1-mm
ST-segment depression occurring 80 ms after the J point. All exercise
ECGs were interpreted by researchers who had no knowledge of EBCT or
SPECT results. We excluded 10 subjects because of lack of stress ECG
data (n=3), left ventricular hypertrophy (n=6),
or left bundle-branch block (n=1). A standard Duke treadmill score was
calculated in the remaining 342 subjects and defined as low (
5),
moderate (-10 to 4), or high (
-11) risk.19
Stress and rest SPECT images were acquired by use of a
large-field-of-view rotating gamma camera equipped with a
high-resolution, parallel-hole collimator.2 16 Images were
computer quantified and displayed as polar maps by an experienced
investigator (J.J.M.) who had no knowledge of the EBCT or ETT
results.2 5 Raw data polar maps for each subject were
statistically compared with those in a corresponding stressor and
radiopharmaceutical specific normal data bank to determine total left
ventricular perfusion defect size and the extent of scar
and ischemia. Perfusion defects were localized to specific
vascular territories, and a
3% focal defect was considered
abnormal.2 A
15% stress-induced perfusion defect
defined high risk for cardiac events.3 4
Statistical Analysis
Unpaired t tests were used to compare (1) clinical
and EBCT variables in subjects who did or did not have SPECT (Table 1
) and (2) EBCT, SPECT, and ETT variables in those who had
all tests. Discrete data variables were examined by use of
2 analysis. Stepwise logistic
regression (Minitab for Windows 95) identified variables
independently associated with abnormalities on SPECT. Demographic, EBCT
(Table 1
), and ETT variables were considered potential
factors for an abnormal SPECT. Variables entered and remained in
the model if the value for an association was P<0.05. A
value of P<0.05 was considered significant. All data are
presented as mean±SD.
| Results |
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By the Agatston scoring system, 37 subjects (9%) were normal and 60
(14.6%) had mild, 155 (37.7%) had moderate, and 159 (38.7%) had
severe CACS. On the basis of absolute CACS, 37 subjects (9%) had no
calcium and 19 (4.6%) had minimal (1 to 10), 76 (18.5%) had mild (11
to 100), 142 (34.5%) had moderate (101 to 399), and 137 (33.4%) had
severe (
400) calcium. CACS results for the 411 subjects who had SPECT
and the 3484 who did not are shown in Table 1
; 25% and 35% of
all subjects with moderate (101 to 399) or severe (
400) CACS had
SPECT compared with 4.5% of subjects with CACS
100.
ETT Results
The mean exercise duration for all subjects was 10±5 minutes, and
17.5% had ECG ischemia. The Duke score was low in 273 subjects
(80%), moderate in 65 (19%), and high in only 4 (1%).
SPECT Results
Of 411 subjects, 81 had an abnormal SPECT with perfusion defects
in the left anterior descending (n=24), right (n=28), and circumflex
(n=45) coronary artery vascular territories. The overall mean
defect size was 3.8±8.0% (range, 0% to 48%) and 13.5±10.6% in
those who had an abnormal SPECT. Large (
15%) defects were observed
in 23 of 411 subjects (5.6%).
Comparison of EBCT and SPECT
The mean CACS was significantly higher in subjects who had an
abnormal (1065±983) compared with a normal (286±394,
P<0.00001) SPECT. CACS was also significantly higher in
coronary arteries that supplied abnormally (339±491) compared
with normally (124±237, P<0.0001) perfused
myocardium. On the basis of Agatston score, only 1 of 97
subjects (1%) with a normal or mildly abnormal EBCT had an abnormal
SPECT compared with 16 (10%) and 64 (40%) of those with a moderate or
severe score, respectively (P<0.001).
Absolute CACS results are shown in Figure 1
. No one with CACS
10 had an abnormal
SPECT compared with 81 of 355 (23%) with higher scores. Only 2 of 76
subjects (2.6%) with mild CACS and 16 of 142 (11.3%) with a moderate
score had an abnormal SPECT. All had ischemia localized to 1
vascular bed, and only 2 had a large (
15%) stress-induced perfusion
defect. Conversely, 63 of 137 subjects (46%) with severe CACS had an
abnormal SPECT, which involved multiple vascular beds in 15 subjects
(24%). Large (
15%) perfusion defects were observed in a
significantly greater number of subjects with severe (21 of 137,
15.3%) compared with moderate (1 of 142, 0.7%) CACS
(P<0.0001).
|
In the subgroup of 357 entirely asymptomatic subjects,
abnormal SPECT results were similar to those found in the total cohort:
1 of 111 (0.9%) with a score
100, 12 of 122 (9.8%) with a score of
101 to 399, and 59 of 124 (47.6%) with a score
400. Likewise, only 1
of 122 (0.8%) asymptomatic subjects with moderate CACS had
a large (
15%) perfusion defect compared with 19 of 124 (15.3%) of
those with a severe score (P<0.001).
CACS predicted an abnormal SPECT regardless of subject age or sex
although women with severe CACS were less likely to have an abnormal
SPECT compared with men (16% versus 51%, P=0.004; Table 3
). An abnormal SPECT was again observed
predominantly in subjects with CACS
400. In the total population of
3895 subjects, only a minority (10%) had a score
400 (Table 1
).
|
Exercise SPECT Versus EBCT
Most subjects who performed ETT had a normal SPECT and stress ECG
(71%) and a low-risk Duke treadmill score (68%). However, 15% of 338
subjects with a low- or moderate-risk Duke score had an abnormal SPECT,
and 16 (4.7%) had large (
15%) perfusion defects. Few of the 342
subjects had an abnormal SPECT and concomitant ECG ischemia
(4.4%) or a high-risk Duke score (1%).
Although a similar percentage of subjects had an abnormal SPECT
(16.1%) or stress ECG (17.5%, P=NS), only the former was
related to total CACS (Figure 2
). No one
with a score
100 had an abnormal SPECT compared with 40% of those
with scores
400; an abnormal exercise ECG was observed across a wide
spectrum of CACS severity (Figure 2
). The mean CACS was
significantly lower in subjects with a normal compared with an abnormal
SPECT regardless of the exercise ECG findings (Figure 3
). The Duke treadmill score
significantly decreased as CACS increased from
100 (9.05±4.5) to 101
to 399 (7.89±4.5) to
400 (6.48±6.25, P<0.007; Figure 4
). Yet the vast majority of subjects had
either a low- or moderate-risk Duke score that was evenly distributed
across all CACS severities (Figure 4
). A
representative subject with severe CACS who had
discordant SPECT and exercise ECG results is shown in Figure 5
.
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Predictors of an Abnormal SPECT
Total CACS was an important univariate predictor of an
abnormal SPECT (Table 4
). By logistic
regression, CACS was the best single predictor of an abnormal SPECT
(P<0.0001), followed by male sex (P<0.01) and
diabetes mellitus (P<0.01). In those who performed ETT,
total CACS was again the best predictor (P<0.0001),
followed by male sex (P<0.05) and maximal exercise heart
rate (P<0.05). Univariate and
multivariate test results were similar in the 357
asymptomatic patients and in the entire 411 subject
cohort.
|
| Discussion |
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400. In fact, total CACS
400 identified a group in whom a large percentage of subjects (46%)
had demonstrable ischemia. Conversely, only 6.6% of those with
scores <400 had an ischemic defect size by SPECT, and
virtually all (99.3%) were small. These observations suggest that CACS
400 could be used to improve the selection and use of more definitive
and expensive tests such as SPECT for identifying individuals at high
risk for cardiac events within the next year. In our study, the best predictor of an abnormal SPECT was CACS. This result is consistent with previous studies demonstrating that the angiographic extent and severity of CAD are directly related to CACS severity11 12 and that angiographic stenosis severity best predicts an abnormal SPECT.2 16 Our findings emphasize that EBCT is more sensitive than either ETT or SPECT for detecting subclinical CAD in which aggressive risk factor modification is warranted and can further identify a subset of individuals at high risk for silent myocardial ischemia in whom additional diagnostic testing and treatment are advisable.
Identifying High-Risk Individuals With Ischemia
The presence and extent of scintigraphic ischemia
predict short-term risk for cardiac events.3 4 5 6 Patients
who have a normal or minimally abnormal SPECT have a <1%/y risk of
death or myocardial infarction compared with a 5- to 10-fold-higher
event rate with larger defects (
15%).3 4 5 6 In our study,
total CACS
400 defined a population at high risk for having
scintigraphic ischemia. In fact, 15% of subjects with CACS
400 had large (
15%) perfusion defects compared with <1% of those
with lower scores. Thus, most cardiac events should occur in the small
subset of subjects with high CACS. Indeed, a recent large clinical
trial reported that asymptomatic subjects with CACS <400
had an exceedingly low (<0.5%) 1- to 2-year cardiac event rate, with
virtually all events occurring in individuals with higher
scores.20
EBCT for Detection of Subclinical CAD
We specifically chose to compare SPECT and EBCT because of
the well-recognized accuracy of SPECT in detecting
CAD.2 16 17 18 However, most of our subjects (78%) with
coronary calcium had a normal SPECT and would have been
incorrectly labeled as not having coronary
atherosclerosis. Likewise, only 4 (1.3%) with an
abnormal EBCT had a high-risk Duke score. Our results support previous
studies demonstrating that asymptomatic subjects with
cardiac risk factors generally have normal ETT and perfusion
scans.7 8 9 In the Lipid Research Clinics
trial,9 only 8.3% of 3775 asymptomatic men
with hyperlipidemia had exercise-induced ECG
ischemia. In a study of middle-aged siblings of patients with
premature CAD, the stress ECG was abnormal in only 10% and thallium
imaging in 22%.7 In the Baltimore Longitudinal Study on
Aging, few asymptomatic subjects had an abnormal stress ECG
(16%) or thallium perfusion scan (14%).8 Although
subjects who had abnormal results for both tests had a reduced
event-free survival (52%), this was observed in only 5% of
individuals screened; likewise, only 4.4% of our subjects had both
abnormal ETT and perfusion imaging.
The low incidence of abnormal ETT or SPECT precludes their use as primary screening tests for early detection and treatment of CAD. The low incidence of ECG ischemia, particularly of a high-risk Duke score, in our study across a broad spectrum of CACS further emphasizes the poor diagnostic accuracy of ETT in identifying significant CAD in asymptomatic subjects.7 8 9 In fact, ETT and SPECT have both received a class III indication (ie, no justification for their use) for screening asymptomatic individuals.21 22 These tests, however, remain the cornerstone for evaluating risk in symptomatic patients with known or suspected CAD.1 2 3 4 5 6 19
Detection of subclinical CAD seems desirable, particularly in view of recent primary prevention trials demonstrating that aggressive risk factor modification, including treatment of hyperlipidemia, reduces the incidence of subsequent cardiac events.9 23 24 Moreover, many asymptomatic individuals with subclinical CAD die suddenly25 and would not have been identified with ETT or SPECT. In this regard, EBCT is appealing as a relatively low-cost, primary screening technique through which coronary atherosclerosis can be detected and potentially treated before the development of critical coronary artery stenosis and/or stress-induced myocardial ischemia.
Study Limitations
Subjects with CACS >100 were well represented in our
study (29%), but <5% of those with lower scores had SPECT. It is
unlikely, however, that studying a larger population with CACS
100
would have altered our results because these individuals generally have
insignificant CAD by angiography.11 12 14 Another issue is
whether our results vary with subject age. We observed similar
correlations between SPECT and EBCT when individuals were dichotomized
at 50 years of age; analysis by decade of life would require a
larger sample size. Because of the small number of women who had SPECT,
further study in this group is warranted.
Clinical Implications
In asymptomatic populations who have clinical
characteristics similar to those of our cohort, 61 of every 100
individuals screened will have an abnormal EBCT, but only 10 will have
CACS
400, warranting further evaluation with SPECT. Coronary
angiography can then be appropriately reserved for the very few
patients (1% to 2%) who have significant myocardial ischemia.
Our study emphasizes the effectiveness of selectively combining SPECT
with EBCT to identify individuals with silent myocardial
ischemia who may require more intensive therapy with either
anti-ischemic medications and/or coronary
revascularization.
Conclusions
CACS severity measured by EBCT can identify a high-risk group with
silent myocardial ischemia among an otherwise low-risk
heterogeneous population with cardiac risk factors. Our
results support the role of EBCT as a primary screening tool for
identifying individuals with various degrees of subclinical CAD,
particularly those at high risk for short-term events in whom
aggressive diagnosis and therapy are advisable.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Guest editor for this article was Bruce Brundage, MD, Bend Memorial Clinic, Bend, Ore.
Received May 25, 1999; revision received August 9, 1999; accepted August 26, 1999.
| References |
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