(Circulation. 2001;103:2323.)
© 2001 American Heart Association, Inc.
Brief Rapid Communications |
From the Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford (J.D.); Department of Public Health Sciences, St Georges Hospital Medical School, London (P.W.); Department of Primary Care and Population Sciences, Royal Free and University College of London Medical School (M.W., L.L., A.T.); ICRF Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Radcliffe Infirmary, Oxford (P.A.); and the University Department of Medicine, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow (A.R., G.D.O.L.), UK.
Correspondence to Dr Danesh, Clinical Trial Service Unit, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Infirmary, Harkness Building, Oxford OX2 6HE, England.
| Abstract |
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Methods and ResultsWe measured serum concentrations of D-dimer antigen in the stored baseline blood samples of 630 CHD cases and 1269 controls "nested" in a prospective cohort of 5661 men who were monitored for 16 years, and we conducted a meta-analysis of previous relevant studies to place our findings in context. In a comparison of men in the top third compared with those in the bottom third of baseline fibrin D-dimer values (tertile cutoffs, >94 versus <49 ng/mL), the odds ratio for CHD was 1.67 (95% CI, 1.31 to 2.13; P<0.0001) after adjustments for age and town. The odds ratio increased slightly after further adjustment for smoking, other classic risk factors, and indicators of socioeconomic status (1.79; 95% CI, 1.36 to 2.36). Strong correlations were observed of fibrin D-dimer values with circulating concentrations of C-reactive protein and serum amyloid A protein but not with smoking, blood lipids, blood pressure, and other risk factors.
ConclusionAlthough there may be an association between circulating D-dimer values and CHD, further studies are needed to determine the extent to which this is causal.
Key Words: heart diseases epidemiology coagulation fibrinolysis
| Introduction |
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| Methods |
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Laboratory workers who were blinded to case-control
status measured serum concentrations of D-dimer using a sensitive
enzyme immunoassay,9 with a
correlation coefficient of 0.93 for values in paired plasma and serum
samples from 20 healthy individuals. Because of fluctuations of
D-dimer values over time, case-control comparisons of measured baseline
values tend to underestimate any associations with CHD
risk.10 D-dimer measurements
were made in pairs of samples collected at an interval of 5 years in
1009 controls in a separate
study,11 yielding a
self-correlation coefficient of 0.51 (G.D.O. Lowe et al, unpublished
data); these data were used to estimate the magnitude of regression
dilution and to correct for
it.12 We prespecified
case-control analyses by thirds of D-dimer values in controls,
involving unmatched stratified logistic regression fitted by
unconditional maximum likelihood (STATA Corporation). For associations
between D-dimer and a variety of known and suspected risk factors,
emphasis was mainly given to differences more extreme than 2.6 SD
(2-tailed P
0.01) to
make some allowance for multiple comparisons. A meta-analysis
was conducted of prospective studies of D-dimer and CHD with >1 year
of follow-up published before 2000 using methods described
previously.12 Cases were
compared only with controls within the same studies to avoid potential
biases.
| Results |
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21=0.9;P>0.1).
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Meta-Analysis of Previous Prospective
Studies
Six previous prospective studies of D-dimer (including
4 studies in the general
population9 11 13 14
and 2 studies in cohorts defined on the basis of a history of
peripheral vascular
disease15 and myocardial
infarction16 ) were
identified. They involved a total of 905 CHD cases
(Figure 1
) and had a mean weighted age at entry of 63 years
and a mean weighted follow-up of 5 years. All studies used
enzyme-linked immunoassays and adjusted for smoking, blood pressure,
and blood cholesterol; only 2 studies also adjusted for
plasma fibrinogen
concentration.9 13
Together with the present study, the 7 available prospective
studies included 1535 CHD cases, and there was no significant
heterogeneity among them
(
26=11.1;
P=0.09). A combined
analysis yielded an OR of 1.7 (95% CI, 1.3 to 2.2:
Figure 2
) in individuals with baseline D-dimer values in the
top third versus those in the bottom third, which corresponded to mean
usual log10 D-dimer values of 2.1 versus 1.7
ng/mL (corresponding to 126 and 50 ng/mL,
respectively).
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| Discussion |
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70% greater in those in the
top third of D-dimer values compared with those in the bottom third
(Figure 2
Even so, the causal relevance of D-dimer to CHD remains
uncertain. The present study was unable to assess the effect of
adjusting for plasma fibrinogen concentration, but previous studies
have reported only modest correlations between D-dimer and plasma
fibrinogen values (for example,
r
0.20)9 13 17
and little reduction in the strength of association between D-dimer and
CHD after correction for baseline plasma
fibrinogen.9 13 It
has also been suggested that D-dimer values may reflect inflammatory
states,2 and in the
present study there were significant associations of D-dimer values
with two circulating markers of inflammation but not with clinical
evidence of CHD at baseline. Conversely, the possibility that D-dimer
values predict prothrombotic states is suggested by preliminary
associations with venous thrombosis and other conditions (such as
atrial fibrillation) associated with intracardiac thrombosis and
embolism18 19 20
and the rapid normalization of D-dimer values after
cardioversion19 or
warfarinization20 in
patients with atrial fibrillation.
| Conclusions |
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| Acknowledgments |
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Received January 24, 2001; revision received March 9, 2001; accepted March 15, 2001.
| References |
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