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(Circulation. 2008;118:1314-1320.)
© 2008 American Heart Association, Inc.
Epidemiology |
From the Exposure, Epidemiology, and Risk Program, Department of Environmental Health (K.J.C., A.Z., J.S., F.E.S., D.R.G.), Environmental Statistics Program, Department of Biostatistics (B.A.C.), and Environmental Science and Engineering Program, Department of Environmental Health (H.S.), Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Mass; Cardiology Division, Brigham and Womens Hospital, Department of Medicine, Boston, Mass (P.H.S.); and Channing Laboratory, Brigham and Womens Hospital, Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass (A.L., F.E.S., D.R.G.).
Correspondence to D.R. Gold, Channing Laboratory, Brigham and Womens Hospital, Harvard Medical School, 181 Longwood Ave, Boston, MA 02215 USA. E-mail diane.gold{at}channing.harvard.edu
Received January 8, 2008; accepted July 17, 2008.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results— In a repeated-measures study including 5979 observations on 48 patients 43 to 75 years of age, we investigated associations of ambient pollution with ST-segment level changes averaged over half-hour periods measured in the modified V5 position by 24-hour Holter ECG monitoring. Each patient was observed up to 4 times within 1 year after a percutaneous intervention for myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome without infarction, or stable coronary artery disease without acute coronary syndrome. Elevation in fine particles (PM2.5) and black carbon levels predicted depression of half-hour–averaged ST-segment levels. An interquartile increase in the previous 24-hour mean black carbon level was associated with a 1.50-fold increased risk of ST-segment depression
0.1 mm (95% CI, 1.19 to 1.89) and a –0.031-mm (95% CI, –0.042 to –0.019) decrease in half-hour–averaged ST-segment level (continuous outcome). Effects were greatest within the first month after hospitalization and for patients with myocardial infarction during hospitalization or with diabetes.
Conclusions— ST-segment depression is associated with increased exposure to PM2.5 and black carbon in cardiac patients. The risk of pollution-associated ST-segment depression may be greatest in those with myocardial injury in the first month after the cardiac event.
Key Words: air pollution cardiovascular diseases myocardial infarction particulate matter ST-segment depression
| Introduction |
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Clinical Perspective p 1320
| Methods |
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3-month intervals. At the first visit, a baseline screening questionnaire regarding medications, pulmonary and cardiac symptoms, and smoking history was administered. Twenty-four–hour 3-lead Holter ECG monitoring (Marquette Seer Digital Recorder, Marquette Inc, Milwaukee, Wis) also was performed with electrodes in modified V5 and aVF positions. For subsequent visits, participants were administered a brief questionnaire regarding cardiac and respiratory symptoms and medication use and then received 24-hour Holter monitoring. The study design was reviewed and approved by the human subjects committees of the Brigham and Womens Hospital and the Harvard School of Public Health. The authors had full access to and take full responsibility for the integrity of the data. All authors have read and agree to the manuscript as written.
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Processing of Holter Recordings
As described in a previous study,4 the digital Holter recordings were downloaded to a MARS Ultra 60 playback system (Marquette Inc) for analysis. ST segments were evaluated for the average value for each half-hour interval and for ischemic episode. Recordings were visually scanned by an experienced analyst to censor artifacts. Custom algorithms were created to calculate the average value referenced to the P-R isoelectric values for each segment. Each participant obtained
48 successful half-hour–averaged ST-segments per visit during 24-hour Holter monitoring period for further data analyses. Separately, each ischemic episode was evaluated by the use of real-time ECG strips examined by an experienced analyst and physician blinded to air pollution status. A table of J-point values, ST-segment values, ST-segment slope, and heart rate was printed for each candidate episode beginning 10 minutes before each episode and ending 10 minutes after the resolution of each episode. The ST-segment value 60 ms after the J point was used to define the ST-segment value. An episode of ischemia was defined as
1 mm horizontal or downsloping ST-segment depression compared with the resting baseline that lasted
1 minute and was separated by
5 minutes from other episodes.
Environmental Data
Ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and black carbon (BC) were collected at an ambient monitor site operated by the Harvard School of Public Health, which was a median distance of 17.6 km from participant homes. Hourly measurements of carbon monoxide (CO), ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulfur dioxide (SO2) were obtained from state monitoring sites in Boston, taking the mean of site values for each gas. There were 5 sites for NO2 and SO2 measurement; 4 sites for CO measurement; and 3 sites for O3 measurement. Continuous PM2.5 was measured with a tapered element oscillating microbalance (model 1400A, Rupprecht and Patashnick, Albany, NY). The tapered element oscillating microbalance sample filter is heated to 50°C, leading to season-specific temperature-related loss of semivolatile mass. Season-specific calibration factors were used to correct for the losses of mass.5 The calibration factors were obtained by regressing continuous PM2.5 concentrations averaged over 24-hour periods on the corresponding collocated integrated 24-hour Harvard Impactor (Air Diagnostics Environmental Inc, Harrison, Me) low-volume Teflon filter gravimetric measurements. BC was measured with a model AE-14 aethalometer (Magee Scientific Inc, Berkeley, Calif). Hourly temperature was obtained from the National Weather Service First Order Station at Logan Airport.
Statistical Analyses
We applied linear additive models6 to analyze the association between half-hour–averaged ST-segment levels and air pollutants, including PM2.5, BC, CO, O3, NO2, and SO2, at previous 1- to 6-, 12-, 24-, 48-, 72-hour means in single-pollutant models. The moving average was computed only if 75% of the data were present. Untransformed ST-segment levels were used for analyses because this outcome was normally distributed.7 Each regression model included fixed effects for participant, day of the week, and visit order. The models also adjusted for several smooth terms as fit by penalized cubic regression splines to reflect possible nonlinear effects of several continuous covariates. These terms included visit date, hour of the day, and apparent temperature.8 The smooth term hour of the day accounts for serial autocorrelation among measurements taken on the same day above that explained by the subject-specific intercepts in the model. Autocorrelation plots of the residuals were checked to see whether this term sufficiently accounted for autocorrelation in the data, and results suggested it did. Apparent temperature was calculated as follows: –2.653+(0.994xTa)+(0.0153xTd2), where Ta is the air temperature and Td is the dew point. To eliminate concurvity or correlation/collinearity between the penalized splines of date and apparent temperature, apparent temperature was regressed against date, with the residuals from this model included in all final models. All results are scaled to the interquartile increase in pollutant level for the appropriate cumulative average.
In secondary analyses, the additive mixed logistic regression models were used to estimate associations between the probability of ST-segment depression
0.1 mm and pollution. These analyses, which fall within the generalized additive mixed model9 framework, contained the same terms as the linear models, except that the participant-specific terms were treated as random effects. Effect modifications by medical diagnosis, visit (the first visit versus the rest of the visits), and daytime (9 AM to 10 PM) versus nighttime (11 PM to 8 AM) were assessed in separate linear additive models and additive mixed logistic regression models by including interaction terms between air pollution effects and each potential effect modifier. We also evaluated the sensitivity of the results to the potential effects of dropout by estimating the effect modification by visit after excluding participants having only 1 visit. Finally, multipollutant and single-pollutant analyses were performed when less tightly correlated pollutants potentially representing different sources or components could be jointly entered into the model. All statistical analyses were performed with R statistical software version 2.4.1. Estimates of the effects of air pollutants were scaled to interquartile range (IQR), the difference between the 25th and the 75th percentile, in levels for the appropriate hour mean of air pollutants.
| Results |
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Associations of Particulate Air Pollutants With ST-Segment Depression
Ambient levels of particulate air pollutants rose early in the morning at 4 AM and were at their peak between 7 and 8 AM, whereas half-hour mean ST-segment levels fell in the morning at 5 AM and were at their lowest between 3 and 4 PM. Pearson correlations showed moderate correlations between PM2.5 and BC (r=0.56) and low correlations between PM2.5 and O3 (r=0.20), SO2 (r=0.25), or NO2 (r=0.38) among all 2x2 combinations of the 6 air pollutants.
Increases in the mean 1- to 24-hour PM2.5 and BC levels predicted depression of half-hour–averaged ST-segment levels (Figure 1). For ST-segment depression as a continuous outcome, the cumulative effect was strongest at 24 hours and waned after 48 hours (Figure 1). This association persisted with adjustment for elevation in half-hour–averaged heart rate, which itself was associated with a very small but significant ST-segment depression (estimated effect, –0.004 mm for an IQR increase in mean half-hour heart rate; 95% CI, –0.005 to –0.003). An interquartile increase in 12- to 24-hour PM2.5 and BC predicted a small but significant decrease in the mean half-hour heart rate (eg, –1.03 bpm for 12-hour BC; 95% CI, –1.65 to –0.41).
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Logistic regression analyses showed that increases in PM2.5 and BC also were associated with an increased risk of ST-segment depression
0.1 mm (Table 3). Cumulative effects were greatest at 48 hours. The estimated risk increased 1.43-fold per IQR increase in the mean 48-hour PM2.5 (95% CI, 1.19 to 1.74) and 1.72-fold per IQR increase in the mean 48-hour BC (95% CI, 1.28 to 2.31) (Figure 2).
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Associations of Gaseous Air Pollutants With ST-Segment Depression
In single-pollutant models, elevation in the mean 12-hour and 24-hour NO2 and SO2 levels also predicted depression of half-hour–averaged ST-segment levels. No significant association of ST-segment depression was observed with CO and O3. The effect of the traffic marker BC11 predominated in models with both BC and PM2.5 (Table 3). Findings were similar for PM2.5 and NO2, a somewhat less specific marker for traffic. In models with PM2.5 and SO2, effects were divided between the 2 pollutant measures, neither of which is specific to a particular source (see Discussion).12,13
Effect Modification by Medical Condition and Time Since Hospitalization
In models in which 12-hour and 24-hour average pollution predicted ST-segment level as a continuous outcome, we found the effect of PM2.5 and BC to be modified by myocardial infarction discharge diagnosis, time since discharge (visit number), diabetes diagnosis, and diurnal pattern (Table 4). Participants with myocardial infarction discharge diagnosis showed a change of –0.042 mm in ST segment associated with increased previous 12-hour mean PM2.5, whereas participants without myocardial infarction discharge diagnosis showed a change of –0.012 mm in ST-segment level (P for interaction=0.002). We also found stronger effects of particulate pollution on participants at the first visit than at the rest of the visits (P for interaction <0.001). Participants with diabetes (42% of whom had ever had a myocardial infarction; 75% of whom had coronary artery disease diagnoses without current myocardial infarction at the time of enrollment) showed higher response to increased levels of particulate pollution than those without diabetes (P for interaction <0.001). Participants showed higher response to increased level of PM2.5 effect during daytime. There was no effect modification by personal smoking or environmental tobacco smoke. Except for the comparison of daytime and nighttime, evidence for effect modification in the logistic models was not consistent between pollutants and between cumulative averages. Use of β-blocker, calcium channel blocker, statin, or angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor medications did not modify the effects of air pollution on ST-segment depression.
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| Discussion |
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Potential mechanisms through which ambient pollution may increase the risk of ischemia in vulnerable patients with coronary artery disease have been reviewed.15,16 Mechanisms considered include impaired fibrinolytic activity and decreased myocardial oxygen supply related to either vasoconstriction or transient thrombus formation, possibly resulting from systemic or local inflammation,17,18 oxidative stress,19 endothelial dysfunction,20,21 and/or autonomic dysfunction.22 Patients with type 2 diabetes are known to have chronic endothelial vascular dysfunction, chronic systemic inflammation, oxidative stress, and chronic autonomic dysfunction,23–25 all of which may increase the risk of acute pollution effects.
Although the Air Pollution and Health: A European Approach 2 (APHEA2) project suggested that SO2 itself plays an independent role in triggering ischemia heart disease admissions,26 at the low levels found in Boston, SO2 is more likely to be a marker for exposure to pollution from a number of sources, including diesel exhaust, home heating fuel oil, and regional power plant emissions.12,13 BC is a more specific surrogate for diesel and nondiesel traffic particle exposure that is either local or regionally transported,11 and the multiple-pollutant model including PM2.5 and BC suggested a strong traffic effect. We found no associations of either O3 or CO on ST-segment level. CO, known to have ischemic effects on the risk of arrhythmia at high levels,27 was likely encountered at levels too low for measurable effects in this study, and given the local nature of CO levels that are above background, imprecision in exposure estimations also may have contributed to the null associations.28 Ozone, which has well-documented and reproducible pulmonary effects,29 has not been as reproducibly related to cardiac effects in large epidemiological studies, even in high-O3-level cities like Mexico City.30
Although the half-hour pollution-associated decrements in ST-segment levels were small in continuous models, we also found pollution effects on the risk of ST-segment depression
0.1 mm. Palinkas and colleagues31 found changes of similar magnitude measured during stress testing to be predictive of subsequent increased risk of adverse cardiac events among patients with chest pain syndromes. This finding supports the likelihood that the more subtle pollution-related ST-segment depression represents ischemia.
Our study has several limitations. The magnitude of ST-segment depression in these patients was generally small; averaging over half-hour periods likely combined periods of greater and lesser levels of ST-segment depression. It is unknown whether the small, but statistically significant, ST-segment values represent transient myocardial ischemia or transient inflammatory responses to exacerbations in air pollution. Compared with the effect modification results for the continuous outcome analyses, the results for the logistic analyses were less stable and less consistent, perhaps as a result of loss of information incurred by dichotomizing the primary end point. The use of central-site pollution measurements for these analyses may have resulted in some misclassification of exposure. This limitation may be more relevant for BC, which has more local traffic sources, than for PM2.5.32 Short-term exposures may be less well estimated than longer-term averaged exposures because they may be influenced more by brief local personal exposures that differ from exposures measured at the central site. That may account in part for the somewhat stronger associations with longer (24-hour) averaged exposures in the continuous models. It is also true that in the logistic models we cannot discount that the null findings at shorter lags may be due to exposure misclassification. Alternatively, with the logistic models, the evidence for an effect with longer or greater cumulative exposure may suggest that longer/greater cumulative exposure to pollution may be needed for a more extreme (although from a clinical point of view still modest) level of ST-segment depression. The sample size is relatively small, limiting the potential to evaluate interactions between participant characteristics and pollutant exposure. In addition, because of the selective nature of the population pool, the generalizability to other patient populations may be limited. However, there is no reason to believe that the internal comparisons within and between subjects are biased.
Our study suggests immediate and longer cumulative effects of air pollution on ST-segment depression. Although cumulative effects of PM2.5 and BC on ST-segment level peaked at 6 to 48 hours, effects also were seen in relation to the prior 1- to 2-hour–averaged pollution levels, which is consistent with the findings of Peters et al1 and Mills et al2 that exposure to traffic can trigger myocardial infarction. However, it is possible that the longer-term summary air pollution for 6 to 48 hours simply is a more accurate measure of air pollution exposure than the single-hour measurement and thus correlates to end points better. The time course of effect may remain unclear, but at the least we can see rapid effects after exposure to air pollution.
Of the >1 million patients who suffer a myocardial infarction in the United States each year, one quarter to one third of survivors will die within 12 months, and a significant proportion will experience reinfarction or sudden death over the ensuing years.33 The immediate post–myocardial infarction period has been well demonstrated to be a period of increased risk of recurrent events and electric instability.34 In a double-blind, randomized, crossover study of 20 men with a history of myocardial infarction exposed to exercise plus either diesel exhaust or filtered air, diesel pollution was demonstrated to worsen the effects of vigorous exercise on the risk of ST-segment depression.35,36 Our study suggests that these effects of air pollution on increased risk of ST-segment depression and ischemia may be heightened in the immediate period after an acute coronary event, when risk of ischemia might be reduced by reduction in pollution exposure, including exposure to traffic.
| Acknowledgments |
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This work was supported in part by National Institute of Environment Health Sciences (NIEHS) P01 ES009825, NIEHS–00002, Environmental Protection Agency R832416–01–0, and National Science Council 095–SAF–I–564–602–TMS.
Disclosures
Drs Coull and Schwartz have received a grant from the American Chemistry Council. Dr Suh has received consultant money for evaluating pollution monitoring methods for the Sierra Club. Drs Suh, Schwartz, Coull, and Zanobetti have received a research grant from the Electric Power Research Institute. The other authors report no conflicts.
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Related Article:
Circulation 2008 118: 1307-1308.
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