(Circulation. 1995;91:2528-2540.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the Department of Cardiology (J.W.J., A.V.G.B.) and Department of Diagnostic Radiology and Nuclear Medicine (J.H.C.R.), University Hospital, Leiden; Department of Cardiology, University Hospital, Groningen (A.J.v.B., K.I.L.); St Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein (E.T.B.); Department of Medical Statistics, Leiden University (A.H.Z.); SCOR Laboratory for Lipid Research, Erasmus University, Rotterdam (H.J.); CORE Laboratory for Lipid Analysis, Lipid Reference Laboratory, University Hospital "Dijkzigt," Rotterdam (G.J.M.B.); and Interuniversity Cardiology Institute, Utrecht (F.M.v.R.), Netherlands.
Correspondence to Albert V.G. Bruschke, MD, Department of Cardiology, Bldg I, C5-P, University Hospital Leiden, Rijnsburgerweg 10, 2333 AA Leiden, Netherlands.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results REGRESS is a double-blind, placebo-controlled multicenter study to assess the effects of 2 years of treatment with the 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitor pravastatin on progression and regression of coronary atherosclerosis in 885 male patients with a serum cholesterol level between 4 and 8 mmol/L (155 and 310 mg/dL) by quantitative coronary arteriography. Primary end points were (1) change in average mean segment diameter per patient and (2) change in average minimum obstruction diameter per patient. Clinical events were also analyzed. Of the 885 patients, 778 (88%) had an evaluable final angiogram. Mean segment diameter decreased 0.10 mm in the placebo group versus 0.06 mm in the pravastatin group (P=.019): The mean difference between treatment groups was 0.04 mm, with a 95% CI of 0.01 to 0.07 mm. The median minimum obstruction diameter decreased 0.09 mm in the placebo group versus 0.03 mm in the pravastatin group (P=.001): The difference of the medians between the treatment groups was 0.06 mm, with a CI of 0.02 to 0.08 mm. At the end of the follow-up period, 89% (CI, 86% to 92%) of the pravastatin patients and 81% (CI, 77% to 85%) of the placebo patients were without new cardiovascular events (P=.002).
Conclusions In symptomatic men with significant coronary atherosclerosis and normal to moderately elevated serum cholesterol, less progression of coronary atherosclerosis and fewer new cardiovascular events were observed in the group of patients treated with pravastatin than in the placebo group.
Key Words: lipids coronary disease pravastatin atherosclerosis clinical trials
| Introduction |
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Little is known about the potential benefit of serum cholesterol reduction in the broader range of patients with coronary atherosclerosis who have normal to moderately elevated serum cholesterol levels and undergo various forms of primary treatment, in particular medical management, PTCA, or CABG. The Regression Growth Evaluation Statin Study (REGRESS) specifically addresses this large group of patients, which represents the majority of patients seen in clinical practice. The effect of lipid reduction by the 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitor pravastatin was assessed in a randomized study design using quantitative coronary arteriography (QCA) to determine the effect of 2 years of treatment on progression and regression of coronary atherosclerosis. This report focuses on the outcome of the analysis of primary end points and the occurrence of cardiac events.
| Methods |
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Eleven hospitals in the Netherlands, 7 university and 4 nonuniversity hospitals, participated in the study. Each participating hospital appointed a center coordinator who was responsible for patient recruitment, conduct of the study, and data collection. The trial was approved by the ethics committees of each of the participating institutions. Written informed consent was obtained from each patient.
Enrollment Procedure
All male patients who, from a review of
the records at the
participating centers, were scheduled to undergo coronary arteriography
were considered for entry into the study. The enrollment scheme is
shown in Fig 1
. The center coordinator reviewed the
patient chart to determine suitability on the basis of inclusion and
exclusion criteria presented in "Appendix B." Patients who
had clinical evidence of coronary artery disease, had a screening
cholesterol value
4.0 mmol/L (155 mg/dL) and <8.0 mmol/L (310
mg/dL), and met the other entry criteria were identified and approached
by the center coordinator for informed consent. Occasionally a patient
was approached before a cholesterol value was known, but in any case,
informed consent had to be obtained before the first coronary
arteriogram was performed so that special attention could be given to
the angiographic procedure.
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Potential candidates receiving therapy with lipid-lowering agents or drugs that could significantly affect serum lipid levels had their drugs withdrawn (at least 12 weeks for patients receiving HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors, clofibrate, or their analogues and at least 6 weeks for patients receiving bile acid sequestrants, nicotinic acid, or other prohibited drugs).
Directly after a patient was enrolled in the
study, a dietician was
consulted and a brochure issued by the Netherlands National Health
Program entitled "Advice on Health and Diet" was given to the
patient. Dietary advice comprised the following guidelines for
percentage energy intake: 10% to 15% derived from protein intake,
30% to 35% derived from lipid intake, and 50% to 55% derived from
carbohydrate intake. If a patient appeared to be a potential candidate
for inclusion, a fasting blood lipid sample for analysis by the
Lipid Reference Laboratory (Erasmus University and University Hospital
"Dijkzigt," Rotterdam, Netherlands) was obtained. Blood
samples for determination of serum cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, and
triglycerides were drawn after an overnight fast. For patients who had
experienced a myocardial infarction, samples had to be obtained at
least 8 weeks after the date of infarction. If the total cholesterol
value in this qualifying specimen was also between 4.0 and 8.0 mmol/L
(155 and 310 mg/dL) and the coronary arteriogram showed at least one
lesion that narrowed the lumen diameter by
50% (visually assessed),
the patient qualified for entry into the study.
All coronary arteriograms performed were first reviewed by the center coordinator and were subsequently sent to the Central Angiographic Core Laboratory at the ICIN, Utrecht, Netherlands, for assessment of quality according to standard guidelines. If the views obtained or the film quality was inadequate, the patient was excluded from the trial.
Baseline determinations of other study variables were made during the dietary stabilization or during the interval between arteriography and receipt of certification of the angiogram. This included a complete history and physical examination, a 12-lead ECG, and a chest radiograph if not on file from the last 6 months.
After certification, the patients were divided into one of three blocks according to the type of primary management elected at the participating center: a PTCA block, a CABG block, and a medical management block. In each block, patients were then randomized to receive pravastatin 40 mg once daily or placebo.
Patients and physicians were blinded to the result of randomization throughout the study.
Treatment and Follow-up
During the period of treatment, the
patient was asked to stay on
a stable diet, to take the study drug as prescribed, and to refrain
from taking medications listed among the exclusion criteria. Patients
were urged to report any adverse reaction and all other clinical events
to the center coordinator at the hospital at which they were enrolled.
The patients were seen regularly by the center coordinator. Smoking
behavior was monitored during the trial. Follow-up lipid analyses and
safety laboratory tests were performed at months 2, 4, 6, 12, 18, and
24. All lipid laboratory tests were carried out at the Lipid Reference
Laboratory. Serum cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, and triglycerides were
measured on fasting blood samples by standard techniques at all visits.
Total cholesterol was measured with an enzymatic kit
(Boehringer Mannheim) and calibrated with a human serum
calibrator. HDL cholesterol was measured after precipitation of
apolipoprotein Bcontaining lipoproteins with a 4% tungstate solution
and centrifugation,15 and the triglycerides were analyzed
enzymatically (Bayer/Technicon) by a technique that included free
glycerol.16 LDL cholesterol was calculated according to
the Friedewald formula.17
The Lipid Reference Laboratory is an international member of the USA National Cholesterol Reference Method Laboratory Network chaired by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Atlanta, Ga).18 19 Pravastatin 40 mg once daily or placebo was administered at bedtime. Patients whose total cholesterol rose above 8.0 mmol/L (310 mg/dL) on repeated assessments and who did not respond to enhanced dietary effort were to have open-label cholestyramine added to their treatment. Patients whose total cholesterol decreased to <2.0 mmol/L (77 mg/dL) were to have the dose reduced by one half. Matching patients in the other cohort would have parallel changes in their treatment regimen. According to these guidelines, administration of cholestyramine was necessary in one patient (and matching control patient); dose reduction was never indicated.
Compliance was verified by tablet counts at each visit and averaged >90% for all participants. Compliance with the dietary guidelines was monitored regularly by dieticians and scored on standardized forms. Dietary adherence remained good throughout the study. The safety committee reviewed intercurrent events, adverse effects, laboratory results, and other relevant data at regular intervals during the trial. The safety committee, which was entitled to demand unblinded data, saw no reason to do so.
Follow-up coronary arteriography was scheduled for 24 months after the date of randomization and was actually performed after a mean±SD of 24.2±0.92 months. In 8 patients, a second angiogram was performed between 17 and 22 months after randomization because of progressive anginal complaints. These angiographic studies were performed according to the criteria set forth in the protocol, and the angiograms were therefore considered to be the final study angiogram.
Quantitative Coronary Arteriography
Quality assurance of
catheterization laboratories and cine films
was strictly maintained. Before the start of the study, the
catheterization laboratory of each participating center was inspected
by an experienced third party. During the first year of the study, this
was repeated every 3 months; later, these inspections were carried out
whenever a significant change in X-ray equipment was carried out or
changes in film quality were noted at the Angiographic Core Laboratory.
Among others, the following parameters were checked and corrected if
necessary: rotation and skew angle indicators of the gantry, position
of the isocenter, pincushion distortion, resolution of the X-ray
system, and quality of film development. Only catheters approved for
QCA were used.20 The distal tip of the catheter was cut
off and sent to the QCA Core Laboratory for measurement and was used as
a scaling device in the QCA analysis. Panning of the image had to
be avoided as much as possible. The protocol required administration of
coronary vasodilators (5 to 10 minutes before coronary arteriography, 5
to 10 mg isosorbide dinitrate was administered sublingually; this was
repeated during the procedure if necessary). The exact filming sequence
of the initial coronary cinearteriography and the precise rotational
and angulational views as well as table height were noted; optimal
projections were duplicated precisely at follow-up coronary
cinearteriography. Baseline and follow-up coronary arteriograms were
analyzed by QCA using the Cardiovascular Measurement System (CMS-MEDIS
Medical Imaging Systems). This system uses a high-quality cine-video
converter (CAP 35E) that allows a selected cine frame to be projected
onto a digital camera through a zoom lens (usually the optical
magnification used was x2.3). The video signal of the magnified region
of interest was subsequently digitized at a matrix size of
512x512x8
bits. For calibration, the boundaries of a nontapering part of the
catheter were determined automatically over a length of approximately 2
cm. To determine the contours of the vessel, the user only had to
indicate the beginning and end of the coronary segment to be analyzed,
after which a path line was computed connecting these two points. The
contours of the vessel were then computed in multiple iterations by the
minimal-cost contour-detection technique. The edge strength of a point
was based on the weighted sum of the first and second derivative
functions; this edge strength was corrected for the limited resolution
of the entire imaging chain, a procedure that is particularly important
for the accurate measurement of small vessels. A diameter function was
determined in absolute terms (in millimeters) by computing the shortest
distances between the left and right contours along the vessel
centerline. The reference diameter was defined as previously
described.21 Left ventricular ejection fractions of
baseline and follow-up angiograms were calculated according to the
area-length method after manual contour tracing.
For QCA, the coronary
tree was divided into 13 segments, according to
the American Heart Association classification, excluding the
posterolateral branches (Fig 2
).22
Obstructions within these segments were coded and analyzed separately
if the diameter narrowing was
20% at either baseline or follow-up.
As a result, obstruction data were always available in paired format
(baseline and follow-up) with at least one of the two severities >20%
diameter stenosis. Baseline and follow-up coronary arteriograms of each
patient were viewed simultaneously on a double Tagarno projector
(Tagarno A/S) by an experienced cardiologist blinded to treatment
allocation. Matching segments and obstructions in both coronary
arteriograms were carefully selected by use of identical projections.
Preferably, end-diastolic frames were selected for QCA; if
this was not feasible (for example, because of overlap with other
branches), corresponding frames at another point in the cardiac cycle
were selected. All QCA analyses were reviewed by a QCA expert and
corrected if necessary.
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If a segment or lesion was adequately visualized in two (preferably orthogonal) projections and free of significant foreshortening in both views, the average values of all parameters in both projections were calculated. Segments that were opacified solely by collateral circulation (generally distal to total occlusions) were excluded from QCA. In case of a new occlusion, the segment was measured by QCA only at baseline and in case of a recanalization, only at follow-up.
Visual analysis of all films was performed with consensus readings and a 38-segment coding system.23 Bypass grafts were coded according to a modified Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS) system.24 The result of visual analysis was considered a secondary end point.
End Points of the Trial
The angiographic end points of this
trial were defined before
the study was unblinded. The primary end point of the trial was a
comparison between the pravastatin and placebo groups for (1) change in
average mean segment diameter (MSD) on a per-patient basis and (2)
change in average minimum obstruction diameter (MOD) on a by-patient
basis. Fig 3
shows a stylized diagram of a vessel
indicating areas encompassing MSD and MOD. To calculate average MSD per
patient, the MSDs of all qualifying segments were added and divided by
the number of contributing segments; segments that were occluded or
located distal to an occlusion at either baseline or follow-up were not
included because no meaningful MSD value can be calculated for these
cases. Calculations for average MOD were done in the same manner,
except that obstructions that had progressed to occlusion or occlusions
that had recanalized were not excluded (MOD of occlusion equals 0);
segments distal to occlusions were also excluded from the MOD
analysis, since no meaningful MOD can be calculated for segments
distal to an occlusion. Thus, no data were inferred.
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In addition,
patients were categorized with regard to MOD and clinical
events as regressors, stable patients, and progressors according to the
following (prespecified) definitions. A progressor is a patient with at
least one lesion worsening by
0.4 mm (2 times medium term
variability)10 or development of a lesion that reduces the
lumen diameter by
0.4 mm. A regressor is a patient with at least one
lesion improving by
0.4 mm and no lesions worsening
0.4 mm. A
stable patient is a patient with no lesions worsening or improving by
0.4 mm. Patients with regressing and progressing lesions were
considered to be progressors because simultaneous progression and
regression reflect an unstable process in coronary atherosclerosis.
These definitions have been reviewed previously.10 If a
patient had suffered a clinical event, he was considered to be a
progressor irrespective of angiographic outcome.
Because PTCA and CABG procedures may influence progression considerably, we excluded in the primary analysis lesions and segments modified or conceivably modified by PTCA or CABG. In patients in whom PTCA was performed, the entire coronary artery in which the PTCA (and guide wire manipulation) was performed was excluded. To determine whether a particular segment was influenced by CABG, the following algorithm was used: If a particular segment in a coronary artery was grafted and no occlusions were present at baseline coronary arteriography, all segments in the same artery were considered to be influenced by the bypass graft. If occlusions were observed, all segments that were filled directly by the native system were considered to be not influenced by the bypass graft.
Clinical Events During the Trial
The following clinical
events were analyzed. (1) Myocardial
infarction (fatal or nonfatal): To establish a diagnosis of a new
myocardial infarction, two of the following three criteria had to be
met: characteristic angina
30 minutes in duration, new ischemic Q
waves or ST-Twave changes in the ECG, and elevation of serum creatine
kinaseMB fraction to
3 times the upper limit of normal. (2)
Coronary heart disease death (other than known fatal myocardial
infarction): no known nonatherosclerotic cause and presence of cardiac
symptoms within 72 hours of death. (3) Nonscheduled PTCA or CABG: PTCA
and CABG not planned in the original block division of REGRESS (eg,
PTCA in the medical management block, CABG in the PTCA block, second
PTCA in the PTCA block, etc). (4) Stroke and transient ischemic attack
(TIA): motor paralysis, sensory or speech dysfunction, diplopia, or
visual disturbance lasting more (stroke) or less (TIA) than 24 hours.
(5) Death (all other): acceptable documentation was obtained from
hospital records, a death certificate, or autopsy report.
Criteria to include the events in the database were as follows: (1) In subjects who completed the study according to the protocol, all events after randomization until the time of the follow-up coronary arteriography were counted irrespective of whether the patient was on double-blind medication. Events occurring during or within 24 hours after a "block scheduled" PTCA or CABG and the follow-up angiogram were not counted. When a PTCA was performed instead of a scheduled CABG or a CABG instead of a scheduled PTCA, this procedure was not counted as a clinical event. (2) For the subjects in whom an emergency angiogram was performed before the end of the study because of symptoms, events were counted for the full 24-month treatment period, even if the emergency angiogram was considered to be the final study arteriogram. (3) In subjects who discontinued the study prematurely, without a final coronary arteriogram, and for whom no subsequent follow-up information was available, events were counted up until the discontinuation date.
All cardiovascular clinical events were evaluated and identified according to the above guidelines by two physicians for inclusion or exclusion in the clinical events analysis before unblinding took place.
Substudies
A number of substudies were performed in addition
to the
angiographic main study. Substudies include B-mode ultrasound studies
of the carotid and femoral arteries, ambulatory ECG monitoring,
specialized lipid research, and DNA studies. The results of these
studies will be reported separately.
Statistical Analyses
Baseline characteristics of the
different patient groups were
compared and tested for balance with Pearson's
2test, Student's t test, or one-way
ANOVA, where appropriate. The effects of treatment on the lipid levels
were assessed with mixed-model ANOVA with random patient effects and
fixed treatment and time effects. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to
estimate time to first coronary event or death, and the treatment
groups were compared by the log-rank test and Cox regression model.
Finally, the angiographic effect of treatment on MSD was assessed by
ANCOVA, with baseline levels as covariates. The effect of treatment on
MOD was analyzed with nonparametric methods (Mann-Whitney test, rank
ANOVA) because of the extremely skewed distribution of MOD. Therefore,
we presented the median MOD and the median change of the MOD to
illustrate treatment effects. Differences between hospitals with
respect to these effects were investigated by mixed-model ANOVA. A
value of P
.05 was considered to be significant. The
SPSS and BMDP (1L, 2L, 5V) statistical
packages were used to perform the calculations.
| Results |
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Three patients stopped their study medication but had a follow-up angiogram performed. They were included for the angiographic analysis according to the intention-to-treat principle.
The
biographical and baseline data of the study patients according to
placebo or pravastatin treatment allocation are listed in Table
1
. Overall, the mean age ±SD was 56.2±8.1 years.
Approximately half the patients had a history of previous myocardial
infarction, and one third to one quarter were hypertensive and were
current smokers. By the criterion of a stenosis of
50% being
considered significant, approximately 60% of the patients had
multivessel coronary disease. Panel visual analysis at the Central
Core Laboratory revealed that some patients had no lesions with a
diameter stenosis of
50%; in all these cases, however, there were
(multiple) less severe lesions. Patients with <50% diameter stenosis
were included in the group with single-vessel disease. The treatment
groups were well balanced with respect to baseline characteristics,
listed in Table 1
, and concomitant medication as shown in Table
2
.
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Effect of Treatment on Serum Lipid Levels
The serum lipid
levels for the two treatment groups at baseline
and during the trial are listed in Table 3
. Lipid levels
in the placebo group did not change markedly during the study. In the
pravastatin group, maximum lipid reduction was achieved within 2
months. Total cholesterol and LDL cholesterol and triglycerides were
lowered significantly, that is, total cholesterol dropped by 20%
during the study period, LDL cholesterol dropped by 29%, and
triglycerides dropped by 7%. HDL cholesterol increased significantly,
by 10%, during the study period.
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Clinical Events
The clinical events of the study patients
according to treatment
allocation are listed in Table 4
. Of the 152 clinical
events, 140 (92%) were cardiac events, 8 (5%) were of cerebrovascular
origin, and 4 (3%) were noncardiovascular events. In the placebo group
there were 12 and in the pravastatin group there were 7 nonfatal
myocardial infarctions, a reduction of 42% (P=.24). In the
placebo group 47 patients and in the pravastatin group 20 patients
needed a nonscheduled PTCA (reduction, 57%; P=.004). The
incidence of the other clinical events, including the noncardiac
events, did not clearly differ between the two treatment groups. In Fig
5
, Kaplan-Meier curves are displayed (time to first
clinical event) for the pravastatin and the placebo groups. After 2
years of treatment, 89% (95% CI, 86% to 92%) of the patients in the
pravastatin group and 81% (CI, 77% to 85%) of the patients in the
placebo group were without clinical events (P=.002). This
effect in favor of pravastatin did not vary significantly among
hospitals (P=.52).
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Angiographic Findings
Of the 885 patients enrolled in the
trial, a second angiogram was
obtained in 778 patients (88%), as shown in Fig 2
. For the
primary
analysis, the angiographic data of 125 patients (56 patients in the
placebo group and 69 patients in the pravastatin group) could not be
used because all coronary segments of these patients were considered to
be influenced by a performed PTCA or CABG (see "End Points of the
Trial" section). There were no differences in baseline
characteristics between the patients with and those without a second
angiogram (Table 5
), except for a slightly higher age, a
somewhat larger proportion of patients with multivessel disease, and a
higher New York Heart Association angina class in the group with a
second (not informative) angiogram, which is to be expected. In total,
4209 coronary segments, with a mean±SD of 6.6±3.0 per patient,
containing 4340 stenoses, with a mean of 6.8±4.0 per patient, were
measured quantitatively and included in the primary analysis.
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Primary End Points
Table 6
shows the mean
baseline and follow-up
values and changes in quantitative estimates of MSD and MOD by
treatment group. Baseline MSD and MOD did not differ significantly
between the treatment groups. Both groups showed net progression,
having smaller MSDs and MODs at follow-up than at baseline. However, in
the placebo group, mean MSD decreased 0.10 mm, whereas in the
pravastatin group, mean MSD decreased 0.06 mm (P=.019): The
mean difference was 0.04 mm, with a 95% CI of 0.01 to 0.07 mm. MOD
behaved similarly: In the placebo group, the median MOD decrease was
0.09 mm, whereas the median MOD decrease in the pravastatin group was
0.03 mm (P=.001): The difference of the medians was 0.06 mm,
with a 95% CI of 0.02 to 0.08 mm. If new total occlusions were
excluded from the MOD analysis (as was done for the MSD
analysis), the difference between treatment groups was essentially
the same. The treatment effects did not vary significantly among
hospitals (P>.22).
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Relation Between Baseline Lipid Levels, Change in MOD and MSD, and
Occurrence of Clinical Events
In Table 7
, the median
change of the MOD and the
mean change of the MSD are given for patients (in quartiles) treated
with placebo or pravastatin with respect to different levels of
baseline total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and
triglycerides. In patients with a baseline LDL cholesterol <3.8 mmol/L
(147 mg/dL), the median change of MOD was 0.10 mm in the placebo group
and 0.03 mm in the pravastatin group. The effect of pravastatin could
therefore be estimated as a reduction in progression of 0.07 mm in 2
years. In patients with a baseline LDL cholesterol between 3.8 and 4.3
mmol/L (147 and 166 mg/dL), the thus-defined pravastatin effect was
0.04 mm; in patients with a baseline LDL cholesterol between 4.3 and
4.8 mmol/L (166 and 186 mg/dL), 0.06 mm; and in patients with baseline
LDL cholesterol levels >4.8 mmol/L (186 mg/dL), 0.04 mm. The effect of
pravastatin did not differ significantly between the four subgroups
with regard to LDL cholesterol levels (P>.38). For the
other baseline lipid values, essentially the same results were
obtained. With respect to MSD, the pravastatin effect also did not
differ between the subgroups with regard to lipid levels.
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No interaction could be demonstrated between baseline lipid levels, baseline patient characteristics, and the change in MOD-MSD or the occurrence of clinical events during the study.
Effects of Pravastatin on Change in MOD and MSD With Regard to the
Different Randomization Blocks: Medical Management, PTCA, and CABG
The
effect of pravastatin therapy on change of median MOD was 0.06
mm less progression for the medical management block, 0.08 mm less
progression for the PTCA block, and 0.03 mm less progression for the
CABG block. With respect to change of the mean MSD, the effect of
pravastatin was 0.05 mm, 0.03 mm, and 0.05 mm less progression for the
medical management block, PTCA block, and CABG block, respectively. The
effect of pravastatin (restricted to segments not influenced by PTCA or
CABG) did not differ significantly between the three randomization
blocks (P=.34 for MOD and P=.54 for MSD).
Categorical Approach: Regressing, Stable, and Progressing
Patients
Of the 885 randomized patients, 641 had an informative second
arteriogram that could be used to determine whether the patient was
angiographically a progressor or regressor. There were 323 angiographic
progressors (142 pravastatin and 181 placebo patients). Of these
patients, 41 (13%) had experienced a clinical event. There were 234
angiographically stable patients (118 pravastatin and 116 placebo
patients) and 84 regressors (54 pravastatin and 30 placebo patients).
Of these 318 patients, 47 (15%) experienced a clinical event, and
thus, these 47 patients were considered (clinical) progressors. Of the
remaining 244 patients without an informative second arteriogram, 39
experienced a clinical event, and these patients were also considered
to be (clinical) progressors. The remaining 205 patients could not be
classified as either progressing or regressing and were therefore
excluded from the present analysis. In Table 8
,
the regressing, stable, and progressing patients are compared with
respect to the most relevant baseline characteristics. Progressing
patients received pravastatin medication less often
(P=.0035) and had somewhat larger baseline MSD and MOD
values. No clear relation between other baseline characteristics,
including lipid values, and fraction of progressing or regressing
patients could be demonstrated (all P>.05).
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| Discussion |
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The differences between the placebo and the pravastatin groups were highly significant but small. However, these data should be interpreted with caution. Changes in average values between baseline and follow-up, even if used on a per-patient basis as was done in REGRESS, are very useful to show differences between groups but do not depict in any detail the changes that occur in individual patients in whom progression is often limited to one or a few segments or lesions. Thus, the effect on single segments or lesions may become "diluted" if average values for the entire coronary arterial tree are used. Furthermore, an interval of 2 years is a relatively short period of time in a chronic disease process like atherosclerosis, which often begins at a relatively young age. Many observational studies have shown that progression of coronary atherosclerosis is a time-related phenomenon.25 On the other hand, changes occurring over a certain period of time cannot simply be extrapolated to longer time intervals, because there are indications that progression, especially of individual lesions, may occur in bouts rather than as a continuous process.26
Although cardiac events did not represent a primary end point, we included cardiac events in this report because of their clinical significance and because they may influence the outcome of the analysis of progression. The latter is particularly true for patients who needed PTCA or CABG during follow-up. It is highly probable that progression in these patients with usually increasing (or at least not improving) symptoms was more pronounced than it was in patients in whom the clinical condition did not call for mechanical intervention (the fact that perhaps plaque instability and not gradual progression is the underlying cause in some of these patients is of secondary importance in this context). However, progression leading to initially nonscheduled interventions is not immediately apparent in the analysis of progression because segments in which PTCA is performed and segments influenced by bypass grafts should be excluded from primary analysis of progression and regression. There are two options to deal with this problem. The first option is to analyze angiograms made before the intervention. This, however, was not feasible in our study because, in many instances, these angiograms were not made according to the standards required for QCA follow-up angiograms. Furthermore, the variable time interval between baseline angiogram and preintervention angiogram would have made a correct interpretation of the findings very difficult. Therefore, we chose the second option, that is, we analyzed events separately for differences between the placebo and the pravastatin groups. Apart from being of direct clinical importance, the markedly lower event rate in the pravastatin group corroborates the angiographic finding of reduced progression.
Comparison With Other Studies
Quantitative comparison of
REGRESS with other angiographic
progression (or regression) studies is difficult because of the lack of
uniformity in study design and interpretation of the angiographic data.
An important aspect of study design concerns the administration of
vasodilators before or during coronary arteriography. In many studies,
vasodilators were not or not always
used.1 3 4 5 7 8 10
Recently it has been shown that lowering of serum cholesterol may
restore endothelial function and thus reduce vasomotor
tone.27 28 If no endothelium-independent
vasodilators are given, this could lead to differences in angiographic
outcome between treatment groups that are not due solely to differences
in progression or regression. Other problems relate to differences
between studies in definition of angiographic end points and
interpretation or exclusion of certain segments or lesions (eg,
bypassed segments, lesions treated by PTCA, and occluded segments). In
addition, it has been shown that different QCA systems may behave
differently in absolute values. Whether this is also true for changes
between baseline and follow-up has yet to be assessed, but the
possibility should be considered.
Three angiographic progression trials using an HMG-CoA reductase inhibitor as monotherapy have been reported, namely, the Monitored Atherosclerosis Regression Study (MARS),9 the Canadian Coronary Atherosclerosis Intervention Trial (CCAIT),10 and the Multicentre Anti-Atheroma Study (MAAS).11 The first two studies used lovastatin, and the last study used simvastatin.
In MARS, the primary end point (change in mean percent diameter stenosis assessed by quantitative arteriography) was not statistically different between treatment groups; however, a subdivision showed a significant beneficial effect on stenoses that narrowed the lumen diameter >50%. These results are not entirely comparable with our results because we elected to use absolute diameters. Percentage stenosis may underestimate progression if diffuse luminal narrowing occurs that also reduces the reference diameter. In MARS, mean global change score, used as a secondary end point, showed a significant difference between the treatment groups.9
In CCAIT, the primary end point was change in minimal lumen diameter.10 This criterion is similar to the MOD used in REGRESS; furthermore, the same QCA system was used. In CCAIT, a mean difference between treatment groups of 0.04 mm in minimal lumen diameter was noted, which is on the same order as the difference of 0.06 mm in median MOD found in REGRESS and was also statistically significant. In MAAS, two arteriographic end points were used that were almost identical to the end points used in REGRESS; in a period of 4 years, the treatment effects were 0.06 and 0.08 mm for mean and minimum lumen diameter, respectively.11 All three studies (MARS, CCAIT, and MAAS) showed some reduction of cardiac events; in contrast to REGRESS, however, this did not reach statistical significance in any of these studies. The lack of statistical significance could be due to the smaller number of patients compared with REGRESS; however, the relative differences between placebo and treatment groups were also smaller. In the Pravastatin Limitation of Atherosclerosis in the Coronary Arteries (PLAC I) study (which has not yet been reported in extenso), a total of 408 patients was sufficient to show a statistically significant reduction in clinical events in favor of the pravastatin group.12 A significant reduction in the incidence of clinical events by pravastatin was also demonstrated in the Pravastatin Multinational Study.29 Apart from sample size, patient selection appears to be an important determinant in the occurrence of clinical events and the magnitude of the effect of therapy. In the relatively high-risk population of the Familial Atherosclerosis Treatment Study (FATS), a statistically significant reduction of clinical events was achieved by treatment with colestipol in combination with lovastatin or niacin in a series of only 146 patients.5 On the basis of presently available data, it is impossible to determine whether drug-specific factors play a role in the reduction of clinical events. In REGRESS, the effect on clinical events occurred earlier than would be expected on the basis of retardation of progression. We therefore hypothesize that factors other than cholesterol lowering may be involved, such as a direct effect on plaque structure and a direct or indirect effect on (fluctuations in) vascular tone.27 28 30 This aspect merits further investigation.
Limitations of the Study
In REGRESS, only men were included.
We fully recognize the
importance of obtaining data in women; however, it appeared practically
impossible to include, in a reasonable period of time, a number of
women high enough to be expected to show statistically significant
differences between treatment groups for women only. The CCAIT study
and MARS both included women and showed no marked differences between
men and women; however, the numbers of women were too small to allow a
meaningful separate statistical evaluation for the latter
category.9 10 Even in the Scandinavian Simvastatin
Survival Study (4S), which included 4444 patients, the number of women
was apparently not high enough to show a beneficial effect on the
primary end point (total mortality) in this group, although there was a
significant reduction of major coronary events.31
Nevertheless, at present we would probably include women if we
designed a similar trial.
REGRESS was designed to include medical management patients, PTCA patients, and CABG patients. This design was elected because PTCA and CABG represent therapeutic modalities that have become an integral part in the treatment of patients with coronary artery disease. Excluding these patients would have introduced a serious selection bias. However, their inclusion resulted in the problem that the angiographic data of 125 patients who underwent PTCA or CABG appeared unsuitable for analysis of the primary end points, because all available segments were influenced by the intervention. This appears to be an unavoidable problem. Because of the required study length in almost every angiographic intervention trial, there are scheduled and nonscheduled PTCA and CABG procedures that may influence the progression pattern. This problem can be solved in part only by comparing baseline characteristics of patients with suitable versus unsuitable angiograms, separate analysis of the segments influenced by mechanical intervention, and counting nonscheduled procedures as events. In REGRESS, the only differences in baseline characteristics concerned age and New York Heart Association functional class, which corroborates the supposition that exclusion of the 125 patients did not influence the outcome of the study significantly.
Clinical Implications
The retardation of progression and
reduction of cardiac events
that could be achieved by cholesterol reduction in a wide range of
patients with normal to moderately elevated serum cholesterol levels
raises the question whether cholesterol lowering should be an integral
part in the management of patients with coronary atherosclerosis,
regardless of initial serum cholesterol level. The present study
and recently reported other studies justify at least serious
consideration of this option. However, for several reasons,
administration of lipid-lowering drugs on such a large scale may not be
achievable, and therefore, future studies should be directed toward
identifying patients who will benefit most.
Another question concerns the significance of the type of intervention by which cholesterol lowering is achieved. Apart from pravastatin and other HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors, diet (with or without reduction of other risk factors) and a variety of cholesterol-lowering drugs have been shown to have a beneficial effect on progression of coronary atherosclerosis.3 7 8 13 Most of these studies included selected groups of patients (eg, postinfarction patients, patients who had had bypass surgery) or used different angiographic end points and therefore, like the studies mentioned earlier, are difficult to compare with REGRESS. A risk factor reduction study that used angiographic methods and criteria that are very similar to those used in REGRESS is the Stanford Coronary Risk Intervention Project (SCRIP).13 In the risk reduction group of SCRIP, total cholesterol was lowered intentionally by diet and exercise from 6.03 mmol/L (233 mg/dL) to 5.03 mmol/L (195 mg/dL) (16.4% reduction), and per year there was 0.021 mm less decrease of minimal diameter than in the usual-care group. There were also fewer cardiac events in the risk reduction group than in the usual-care group (25 versus 44). However, this may not be interpreted as a beneficial effect of simple risk reduction because at the end of the study, 90% of the patients in the risk reduction group and 23% of the patients in the usual-care group used lipid-lowering drugs. It seems that the gain by a combination of measures was not greater than may be achieved by cholesterol lowering only.
Conclusions
In symptomatic men with significant coronary
atherosclerosis and
normal to moderately raised serum cholesterol, in the group of patients
treated with pravastatin, less progression of coronary atherosclerosis
and fewer new cardiovascular events were observed than in the placebo
group. Pravastatin therapy was well tolerated. Further studies are
required to determine the efficacy in women and to identify patients
who will benefit most.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Appendix A |
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Committees (per December 31, 1993)
Executive Committee. A.V.G. Bruschke, MD (principal
investigator); K.I. Lie, MD (principal investigator); J.W. Jukema, MD
(project manager); A.J. van Boven, MD; A.H. Zwinderman, PhD; F.M. van
Rappard, PhD.
Steering Committee. A.V.G. Bruschke, MD (Leiden); K.I. Lie, MD (Groningen); J.W. Jukema, MD (Leiden); M. Bootsma, MD (Leiden); A.J. van Boven, MD (Groningen); E. de Groot, MD (Utrecht); M. Galjee, MD (AZVU, Amsterdam); J.A. Henneman, MD (Alkmaar); R.J.G. Peters, MD (AMC, Amsterdam); A.G.H. Kessels, PhD (Maastricht); A. Backx, MD (Nijmegen); E.G. Mast, MD (Nieuwegein); G.T. Meester, MD (Utrecht); G.P. Molhoek, MD (Enschede); J.H.C. Reiber, PhD (Leiden); R. Rienks, MD (Utrecht); F. Vermeer, MD (Maastricht); A.J.A.M. Withagen, MD (Delft); I. Hoogendam, MD (Bristol-Myers Squibb BV, Netherlands); ex officio: R. Belder, MD (Bristol-Myers Squibb Inc, Princeton, NJ); M. McGovern, MD (Bristol-Myers Squibb Inc, Princeton, NJ); R.L. Kirkeeide, MD (Houston, Tex).
Policy Advisory Board. H.J.J. Wellens, MD, chairman (Maastricht); J.C. Birkenhäger, MD (Rotterdam); M.R. Hayden, MD (Vancouver, BC, Canada); W.B. Kannel, MD (Boston, Mass); S.B. Knoebel, MD (Indianapolis, Ind); F. Sturmans, PhD (Maastricht); ex officio: M. McGovern, MD (Princeton, NJ); R.L. Kirkeeide, MD (Houston, Tex).
Safety Committee. E.L. Noach, MD (Leiderdorp); P.J. Hoedemaeker, MD (Leiden); A.E. Meinders, MD (Leiden); ex officio: A.V.G. Bruschke, MD (Leiden); K.I. Lie, MD (Groningen); G.T. Meester, MD (Utrecht).
Data Management Committee. G.T. Meester, MD, chairman (Utrecht); J.W. Jukema, MD (Leiden); W.A. Dijk, MSc (Groningen); N. Fineberg, MD (Indianapolis, Ind); A.G.H. Kessels, PhD (Maastricht); ex officio: B. Rodda, PhD (Princeton, NJ).
Angiography Committee. A.V.G. Bruschke, MD, chairman (Leiden); J.H.C. Reiber, PhD (Leiden); E.T. Bal, MD (Nieuwegein); F. Bär, MD (Maastricht).
Clinical Chemical Committee. H. Jansen, PhD, chairman (Rotterdam); G.J.M. Boerma, PhD (Rotterdam); J.J. van Doormaal, MD (Groningen); J.J.P. Kastelein, MD (Amsterdam); A. van der Laarse, MD (Leiden).
Technical Committee. N. Bom, chairman, PhD (Rotterdam); R.G.A. Ackerstaff, PhD (Nieuwegein); W.A.E.M. Aengevaeren, MD (Nijmegen); E.G. Mast, MD (Nieuwegein); R. Rienks, MD (Utrecht); F.W.A. Verheugt, MD (Amsterdam); J.W. Viersma, MD (Groningen).
| Appendix B |
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2. A qualifying baseline lipid and lipoprotein measurement by the Lipid Reference Laboratories, with a total cholesterol level between 4.0 and 8.0 mmol/L (155 and 310 mg/dL) after about 4 weeks or more of dietary advice. If the patient has incurred a myocardial infarction, approximately 8 weeks must elapse before the qualifying cholesterol level is measured. Patients undergoing CABG or PTCA procedure must have qualifying cholesterol before procedure or while on stable therapy of antianginal drugs.
3. At least one coronary stenosis
50% (visually
assessed) in a major
coronary artery. Cineangiograms must be certified by the Center
Coordinator and one other qualified cardiologist to ensure that the
film is of a quality that permits computerized quantitative
analysis (QCA). The fact that the film has been certified will be
recorded on the Case Report Form.
Exclusion Criteria
1. Age
70 years at entry at the initial coronary
cinearteriography.
2. Inability or unwillingness to consent to and undergo a repeat coronary cinearteriography. Noncompliance with recommended treatment. Enrollment in another study protocol that includes a coronary cineangiogram and experimental drug therapy.
3. Fasting cholesterol
<4.0 mmol/L (155 mg/dL) or
8.00 mmol/L (310
mg/dL), or triglycerides
4.0 mmol/L (354 mg/dL) as determined by the
CORE lipid laboratory.
4. Life-threatening illnesses other than coronary artery disease in which life expectancy is less than the study duration, or one of the following conditions: (a) malignancy; (b) cardiac valve disease requiring valve replacement; (c) cardiomyopathy; (d) previous CABG; (e) previous PTCA within 1 year before randomization; (f) cardiac pacemaker implant; (g) clinical congestive heart failure after medical management, requiring diuretics (ejection fraction <0.3 if performed); (h) complete A-V block; (i) complete left bundle branch block; (j) Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome.
5. Use of
lipid-lowering drugs
6 weeks before qualifying lipid
measurement (
12 weeks for fibrates or HMG-CoA reductase inhibitor).
History of poor response to other HMG-CoA reductase inhibitor (<15%
decrease in total cholesterol at usual dose).
6. Immune disorder (systemic lupus, dysproteinemia, or major hypersensitivity or allergic disorders) or use of immunosuppressive therapy or corticosteroids.
7. Significant metabolic disease: (a) renal
disease: nephrotic
syndrome, decreased renal function with serum creatinine
150 µmol/L
(2.5 mg/dL); (b) hepatobiliary disease with ASAT or ALAT >1.5xnormal
upper limit; (c) chronic or recurrent pancreatitis; (d) severe
overweight (Quetelet index >30 kg/m2); (e) muscle
disorders; (f) oral or insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, uncorrected
hypothyroidism or hyperthyroidism (a euthyroid patient on stable
replacement of thyroid hormone is acceptable); (g) treatment with
chronic corticosteroids or androgens; (h) porphyria.
8. Significant gastrointestinal disease or surgery that might interfere with drug absorption.
9. Excess ethanol consumption (>3 drinks/d) (1 drink=45 g of 40% liquor or equivalent).
Received January 11, 1995; accepted February 7, 1995.
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