(Circulation. 1995;91:2868-2875.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the University of Pittsburgh, Pa (K.D., W.Y., S.K.); Rhode Island Hospital, Providence (D.W.); NHLBI, Bethesda, Md (P.D-N.); the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn (D.H.); the Montreal (Quebec) Heart Institute (M.B.); Emory University, Atlanta, Ga (S.K.); the University of Southern California, Los Angeles (D.F.); and the Washington (DC) Hospital Center (K.K.).
Correspondence to Katherine M. Detre, MD, DrPH, Professor of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, A531 Crabtree Hall/GSPH, Pittsburgh, PA 15261.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results Sixteen participating centers entered
consecutive patients who had angioplasty for the first time between
1977 and 1981 and between 1985 and 1986. Patients with recent
myocardial infarction (MI) were excluded. Vessel disease was defined
according to the Coronary Artery Surgery Study. Successful dilatation
required
20% reduction in luminal narrowing and <50% lumen
diameter stenosis after intervention. Routine annual follow-up was
conducted by telephone interview. The product-limit method was used to
estimate freedom from untoward events, Cox regression analysis to
model relative risk and adjusted relative risk of events between the
two registries, and logistic regression when the exact time of outcome
(such as recurrence of symptoms) was not known. Long-term event rates
were computed by vessel disease for all patients and for the cohort of
patients with initially successful PTCA. After adjustment for extent of
disease, diabetes, prior bypass surgery (CABG), hypertension, age, and
sex, the 5-year risk of death was similar in the two registry cohorts.
However, rates of MI, CABG, and a combined outcome measure of death,
MI, and/or CABG were significantly lower in the registry 2 cohort both
for all patients and for patients who were initially treated
successfully. Use of repeated PTCA was higher, and freedom from
symptoms without adverse events was significantly better in the latter
cohort.
Conclusions Compared with registry 1, the management of the registry 2 cohort resulted in lower 5-year morbid event rates and reduced CABG operations. Mortality rates remained similar. When symptomatic status was considered in combination with events, a significantly better outcome was seen overall and in the initially successful cohort. In registry 2, repeated PTCA was used with much greater frequency early after the initial procedure.
Key Words: angioplasty registries follow-up studies
| Introduction |
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Because several long-term follow-up reports are based on patients who were successfully treated with PTCA and because the success rate of PTCA changed so dramatically from the first registry to the second, the present report presents long-term results both for all patients and for patients with initially successful PTCA procedures.
| Methods |
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Definitions
Since the previous
publications,1 2 complete data
for 334 consecutive patients from Emory University Hospital became
available and were added to the registry 2 database so that the total
number of registry 2 patients was 2136. Correspondingly, the first
cohort was also reconstituted with 190 Emory patients who were not
included in the previous reports that compared registries 1 and 2.
Thus, the size of the complete registry 1 cohort is 1345.
Patients were classified as having single-, double-, or triple-vessel disease according to the definition of the Coronary Artery Surgery Study.4 Patients with 50% or greater stenosis of the left main coronary artery were classified as having double- or triple-vessel disease.
In the current report, successful dilatation was defined as a
reduction
of
20% in luminal diameter stenosis by visual assessment and a
post-PTCA stenosis of <50% luminal diameter narrowing for the
attempted lesions. This criterion differs from that of previous reports
that required only >20% reduction in percent stenosis. While the
definition for lesion success for this report differs from
previous registry reports, it is the definition recommended by the
Joint International Society and Federation/World Health Organization
Task Force on Coronary Angioplasty.5 Angiographic success
per patient was defined as successful dilatation of all attempted
lesions; partial success was defined as successful dilatation of at
least one but not all lesions attempted. Clinical success was defined
as complete or partial angiographic success without in-hospital death,
MI, or coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery.
MIs were documented by at least two of the following: clinical symptoms, ECG evidence (Q-wave criteria of a definite MI according to the Minnesota Code6 ), and enzyme changes (more than double the upper normal limits of creatinine kinase and/or the presence of creatinine kinaseMB). Infarctions after hospitalization for initial PTCA were recorded whether occurring alone, during a repeated PTCA, or during subsequent CABG. Hospital records were examined to verify that ECG findings, enzyme test results, and clinical symptoms were consistent with the registry definition of MI. CABG surgery after angioplasty was also considered to be an untoward event. Repeated angioplasty was defined as a procedure performed after discharge from hospitalization for initial PTCA. Patients were considered to have angina at 5 years if they experienced angina within 30 days before the follow-up contact. In the few cases where 6- but not 5-year angina status was available in registry 1, that information was used for the analysis.
Follow-up
At each participating site, patients had annual
telephone
interviews conducted by the site coordinator. Information on
hospitalizations for MI or repeated revascularization, symptoms,
activity level, employment status, angina, cardiac catheterizations,
and daily medications used at the time of contact was collected and
reported on standard forms. Additional data were collected if a patient
reported catheterization, a repeated PTCA, or CABG after the initial
angioplasty.
In registry 2, there were 585 patients who underwent at least one repeated PTCA procedure within 5 years of initial angioplasty. Of these patients, 563 (96%) had complete angiographic information available. In registry 1, no angiographic data were collected for repeated angioplasty procedures after the first year of follow-up. Therefore, comparison of lesions at the time of repeated revascularization between registries 1 and 2 is limited to 1 year. Information collected at the time of the repeated PTCA was used to determine whether the repeated procedure was performed on the same arterial segments as in the initial PTCA.
Statistical Methods
To compare patients in registries 1 and
2, differences in means
for continuous variables were assessed by t tests and
differences in proportions of categorical variables by
2 tests. Statistical significance was defined as
a two-sided probability value less than .05. Life table analysis
with the product-limit method7 was used to estimate rates
of survival and freedom from morbid events. Univariate
Cox8 regression analysis was used to estimate the
crude relative risk of registry 2 versus registry 1 for each untoward
event, with time to event as the outcome variable and registry cohort
as the only independent variable. The adjusted relative risk of
registry 2 versus registry 1 for each adverse event was estimated with
multivariate Cox regression analysis. Baseline patient-specific
factors including age, sex, history of MI, hypertension, diabetes,
hypercholesterolemia, congestive heart failure, vessel disease,
dominance, ejection fraction, prior bypass, angina status, length of
chest pain, and high surgical risk were considered for adjustment. The
indicator variable for registry cohort was forced to stay in the model.
The Cox regression analysis was then performed, with backward
elimination used to identify significant adjustment factors. Factors
with significance level of 0.1 or less remained in the final model. The
corresponding 95% CI of each estimated risk was also displayed. If the
CI excludes unity, then the hypothesis of equal risk of the two
registry cohorts is rejected.
Because of a lack of exact dates for the recurrence of angina, composite end points, including events and symptomatic status at the 5-year follow-up, were modeled by multivariate logistic regression with the odds ratio of registry 2 to registry 1 as measures of comparison. The strategy for variable selection in the adjusted logistic models was the same as for the Cox regression models.
| Results |
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Differences in baseline characteristics and in PTCA strategy between
the two registries1 changed little after the addition of
patients from Emory University Hospital. Briefly, patients in the
cohort from 1985 through 1986 were on average 5 years older (58 versus
53 years, P<.001) and were twice as likely to have
double-vessel disease and three times as likely to have triple-vessel
disease (31.2% versus 16.2% and 20.9% versus 6.9%, respectively) as
the registry 1 cohort. They had significantly more cardiac risk
factors, including abnormal left ventricular function, prior MI, prior
CABG, congestive heart failure, diabetes, and hypertension. Patients in
registry 2 also had a longer history of chest pain (28 versus 17
months, P<.001) and reported unstable angina more
frequently. As Table 1
shows, significantly more
patients in registry 2 underwent multilesion or multivessel PTCA. The
frequency of PTCA attempts of bypass grafts was similar.
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With the new definition, lesion success was 82% in registry 2 compared with only 58% in registry 1. This large difference was due primarily to the high percentage (20%) of lesions that could not be passed with the early devices used in registry 1. As a result, patients in registry 1 were less likely to have partial and complete angiographic success and clinical success. The rates in registry 1 were 58%, 56%, and 55% compared with 87%, 75%, and 83%, respectively, in registry 2. In-hospital mortality (1% for both registries) and nonfatal MI (4.4% in registry 2 and 4.9% in registry 1) were similar between the two registries. As expected, a large difference was found between registries in the rate of CABG within the initial hospitalization period. Surgery during initial admission was performed in 25% of patients in registry 1 (6% underwent emergency and 19% underwent elective CABG after an unsuccessful PTCA) compared with 6% (4% emergency and 2% elective) in registry 2 (P<.001).
Discharge medications differed significantly between registry 2 and registry 1, especially use of aspirin (85% versus 34%), persantine (76% versus 33%), and calcium channel blockers (78% versus 11%). Use of ß-blocker was 24% versus 14%, respectively.
The Figure
presents the cumulative crude 5-year
event rates by vessel disease for both registries for all patients and
for the patients with initially successful PTCA. The crude 5-year
cumulative mortality rate for patients with single-vessel disease was
6.8% in registry 2 and 4.4% in registry 1. For patients with
double-vessel disease, the corresponding rates were 11.2% and 7.6%;
for triple-vessel disease, the rates were 14% and 17.9%,
respectively. Successful cohorts with single-vessel disease experienced
6.0% and 3.3% mortality; with double-vessel disease, 10.9% and
6.9%; and with triple-vessel disease, 9.7% and 7.8% in registries 2
and 1, respectively. After the first 6 months from the initial PTCA (7
to 60 months), mortality rates were similar in the patients with
initially successful PTCA and in all patients for both registry
cohorts, except for the small number of patients with triple-vessel
disease in registry 1. In the patients with successful initial PTCA in
the registry 2 cohort, the annual mortality rate was nearly constant
over 5 years, amounting each year to about 1.2% for single-vessel
disease and 2.0% for multivessel disease.
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Crude 5-year MI rates were highest for patients with triple-vessel disease, 20.3% and 25.8%; the rates were 15.1% and 17.7% for double-vessel disease and 10.6% and 13.0% for single-vessel disease for registry 2 versus registry 1 patients. Thirty to forty percent of the MIs were reported periprocedurally during initial hospitalization. Again, although patients with multivessel disease continued to have nearly twice the MI rates as those with single-vessel disease, after 6 months from the first PTCA, initial success no longer affected MI rates.
The 5-year cumulative CABG rate was greatly influenced by whether patients were from registry 1 or 2 and by the extent of vessel disease. In registry 2, the CABG rate was 25.9% for triple-vessel disease, 23% for double-vessel disease, and 15% for single-vessel disease; approximately half of the surgeries occurred during initial hospitalization. Corresponding rates in registry 1 were 54.3%, 50.5%, and 35.7%, and roughly 70% to 85% of these occurred during initial hospitalization. Again, after the first 6 months, CABG rates did not depend on initial success, only on vessel disease. In the patients with successful initial PTCA in registry 2, about half of the subsequent CABG procedures were performed during the first year of follow-up. The annual rates thereafter were about 1%, 2%, and 3% for single-, double-, and triple-vessel disease, respectively. Repeated PTCA was more frequent in registry 2 than in registry 1. Respective 5-year cumulative repeated PTCA rates were 26.4% versus 17.3% for single-vessel disease, 28.7% versus 13.2% for double-vessel disease, and 34.8% versus 26.8% for triple-vessel disease. When only patients with successful PTCA were considered, the corresponding rates were all higher.
Table 2
summarizes the crude 5-year cumulative event
rates overall and the unadjusted and adjusted relative risks of events
(registry 2 relative to registry 1). Adjustments were made for the
number of diseased vessels, sex, age, ejection fraction, history of
congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, prior CABG, and
unstable angina. For all patients undergoing PTCA, after adjustment for
the excess baseline risk in registry 2, the risk of 5-year mortality
was not significantly different from that in registry 1 (ie, the CI
includes unity). However, rates of MI, of CABG, of the combined events
of death-MI and death-MI-CABG, and of any repeated revascularization
were all significantly lower in registry 2, while the rate of
subsequent PTCA was significantly higher.
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When only cohorts with initial success were compared, the reductions of the 5-year untoward event rates in registry 2 relative to registry 1 adjusted to inequalities were found to be more modest. While the lower MI rate, decreased use of subsequent CABG, and decreased combined events of death-MI-CABG in registry 2 remained statistically significant, the decreased need for any repeated revascularization seen overall was no longer evident. Of the two modes of revascularization, repeated PTCA was more frequently used (P=.14).
Table 3
compares 5-year event- and symptom-free status
in registries 1 and 2 for all patients and for patients with initial
PTCA success. Events are presented with and without adjustment for
inequalities of risk at baseline. Five-year survival without MI, CABG,
or angina was 54% in registry 2 and 41% in registry 1, a significant
difference even without adjustment for the excess risk in registry 2.
Other outcome measures, such as survival without angina or survival
without MI or angina, were also significantly better in registry 2, but
only after adjustment for the excess risk. Similarly, for patients with
initially successful angioplasty, superior results in registry 2 were
seen for all end points after adjustments.
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At 5 years, 73.1% of registry 2 patients reported using aspirin, 50.6% used calcium antagonist, 24.0% used ß-blockers, and 14.0% used nitroglycerin. In registry 1, use of aspirin and calcium antagonists was much lower.
Investigation of the repeated PTCAs during the 5-year follow-up
revealed clear trends in registry 2 (Table 4
). In the
first 6 months, when more than half of all repeated PTCAs occurred,
more than two thirds of the procedures were performed on target
lesions, 21% on new lesions, and 10% on both new and target lesions.
Between 6 months and 1 year, 56% of repeated procedures were done on
target lesions, 27% on new lesions, and 19% on both types of lesions.
After 1 year, the trend was completely reversed: 24% of the procedures
were done for the target lesion only, 65% for new lesions only, and
11% for both. In registry 1, with only 1-year detailed angiographic
information available, the first 6-month trend was similar to that of
registry 2, but between 6 months and 1 year, very few new lesions
(14%) were attempted with repeated PTCA.
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| Discussion |
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Registry 2 patients were 5 years older; 19% had triple-vessel and 31% had double-vessel disease compared with 7% and 14% in registry 1. Significantly more registry 2 patients reported prior bypass, prior MI, poor left ventricular function, and more complex coronary lesions. Thus, comparison of crude event rates between the two registries is biased. To achieve a fair comparison, statistical adjustment for the differing patient characteristics was necessary. After adjustment, mortality rates of the two cohorts were similar, whereas untoward event rates, including MI, bypass surgery, death-MI-CABG, and need for any repeated revascularization, were significantly lower in registry 2. When performed in registry 2, repeated revascularizations tended to be repeated PTCA, which was significantly higher than in registry 1, particularly during the first year after the initial PTCA. While more than 80% of the procedures repeated in the first year involved the target lesion, this rate was reduced to 30% after 1 year.
Compared with event rates for all patients, event rates in the successfully treated cohorts were much lower in both registries and were similar to event rates reported by others.9 10 11 12 13 The better 5-year prognosis in the successfully treated cohorts in both registries was due almost entirely to the fact that patients with unsuccessful PTCA (by definition) incurred adverse periprocedural events. Event rates 7 to 60 months after the initial PTCA were nearly identical in the entire cohorts and in the groups who had successful angioplasty. Indeed, multivessel disease patients who had initially unsuccessful PTCA did not experience substantially higher late mortality than patients who had an initially successful PTCA. Among successfully treated patients, the more recent cohort fared significantly better in terms of 5-year MI, CABG, and death-MI-CABG. Reductions in the events occurred at the price of greater use of repeated PTCA.
The adjusted odds of achieving both event- and angina-free status were significantly higher in registry 2, regardless of initial success. This improvement is likely to be related to the more liberal use of repeat PTCAs and medications, to more extensive initial revascularization, and possibly to lifestyle changes. Unmeasured patient, lesion, or procedural characteristics that could not be controlled in the analysis, as well as temporal changes in intensity of ascertainment, also could have contributed to the improved results. It is interesting to note that whatever the reasons, they influenced long-term morbidity and angina but not mortality.
By its concept and nature, a therapeutic registry has both strengths and limitations. According to specifications in the manual of operations, the PTCA Registry has relied since its inception on the voluntary efforts of individual investigators to accumulate clinical and angiographic data. Because of funding constraints, there was no central laboratory to review all angiograms from the registries. Clinical events, particularly MIs, were not adjudicated by an independent review committee. Thus, it is possible that the intensity of ascertainment of MIs has increased with time. This would have resulted, however, in an increased rather than a decreased diagnosis of MI, thereby lending strength to the finding of the reduction of such events in the second registry compared with the first. Because routine, annual follow-up contact was made by telephone, risk factor measurements, such as blood lipids and blood pressure, were not performed as part of the registries. It is also unfortunate that information on attempts at cardiac rehabilitation and risk factor intervention, the importance of which was not well recognized in the late 1970s, was not collected.
Finally, applicability of the long-term PTCA Registry results to guide treatment selection for symptomatic coronary artery disease is limited by the lack of control groups, comparable patients who were managed by medical treatment or by CABG.14 Comparison with CABG for selected patients with multivessel disease is forthcoming from randomized clinical trials. Although the Angioplasty Compared to Medicine (ACME) trial15 compared PTCA with medical therapy for single-vessel disease, to the best of our knowledge, no randomized study is currently under way to compare long-term clinical course after intervention with PTCA to noninvasive management for double- or triple-vessel coronary artery disease.
The strength of the PTCA Registry mechanism is the continuity of the participating centers, the commitment of the investigators and clinic coordinators, and the prospective nature of data collected with a uniform protocol. Monthly submission of logs of all consecutive first PTCA procedures per center in registry 2 allowed verification that all patients were entered in the registry during recruitment. For this reason, even the PTCA arms of the more contemporary randomized clinical trials of PTCA versus CABG16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 or PTCA versus other devices26 27 28 will not be a replacement for the long-term PTCA Registry experience. The registry includes all patients; the clinical trials exclude certain patients. For example, except for RITA,19 20 single-vessel disease and prior procedures are excluded from the CABG studies, and multivessel and graft disease is excluded from the device studies.
Admittedly, the reported PTCA Registry results do not reflect state-of-the-art intervention, for it is impossible to have both long-term follow-up and the latest in procedural outcome. Yet the 76% clinical success rate (by quantitative angiographic estimation) obtained by PTCA in the 1991-1992 Coronary Angioplasty Versus Excisional Atherectomy Trial (CAVEAT)26 is consistent with the 85% success rate (by caliper visual estimation) obtained in a comparable group of registry 2 patients. Possible changes in lesion morphology targeted for more current intervention are known to affect initial results29 but not long-term outcome.30 We speculate, therefore, that regardless of the improvements in PTCA technology since 1985, it is unlikely that they had a greater impact on outcome than the improvements observed from registry 1 to registry 2. Provided that patient and lesion characteristics are similar today, we could expect a higher degree of initial success and a similar or somewhat improved long-term clinical outcome in successfully treated patients compared with that seen in the successful cohort of registry 2. Perhaps if current revascularization practice placed more emphasis on simultaneous risk factor interventions, this could have a beneficial impact on long-term prognosis.
| Acknowledgments |
|---|
Main Investigators and Institutions
Clinical
Centers
Boston University Medical Center/University
Hospital, Boston, Mass: Alice K. Jacobs, MD, and David P. Faxon,
MD (former) (principal investigators), and Caroline Melidossian
(coordinator); Emory University Hospital, Atlanta, Ga:
Spencer B. King III, MD (principal investigator), Neal Scott, MD, and
John Douglas, MD (associate investigators), and Dee Anderson
(coordinator); Georgetown University Hospital, Washington,
DC: Kenneth M. Kent, MD (former) (principal investigator), and Katie
Kehoe (coordinator); Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston,
Mass: Peter C. Block, MD (former) (principal investigator), and
Elizabeth Block (coordinator); the Mayo Clinic, Rochester,
Minn: David R. Holmes, Jr, MD (principal investigator), Guy S. Reeder,
MD, and J.F. Bresnahan, MD (associate investigators), and LaVon Hammes
and Susie Brevig (coordinators); Medical Center Hospital,
Houston, Tex: Mahdi Al-Bassam, MD (principal investigator), and Debbie
Lance (coordinator); Medical College of Pennsylvania,
Philadelphia, Pa: Lamberto G. Bentivoglio, MS, MD (principal
investigator), and Eileen Shappell (coordinator); Medical College
of Virginia, Richmond, Va: Michael J. Cowley, MD (principal
investigator), George W. Vetrovec, MD (associate investigator), and Kim
Kelly (coordinator); Miami Heart Institute, Miami, Fla:
James Margolis, MD (principal investigator), Arthur J. Gosselin, MD
(former), and Hazel Yon (coordinator); Montreal Heart
Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada: Martial G. Bourassa, MD
(principal investigator), and Micheline Labbe and Claudette Faille
(coordinators); NHLBI, Bethesda, Md: Richard O. Cannon, MD
(principal investigator), and Rita Mincemoyer and Anette Stein
(coordinators); Seton Medical Center, Daly City, Calif:
Richard K. Myler, MD (principal investigator), and Mary Murphy
(coordinator); Rhode Island Hospital/Brown University,
Providence, RI: David O. Williams, MD (principal investigator), and
Shirley Emin (coordinator); St. Francis Regional Medical
Center, Wichita, Kan: Joseph P. Galichia, MD (principal
investigator), and Pat Patterson and Jo Robinson (coordinators):
St. Luke's Episcopal Hospital, Houston, Tex: Terry
Ferguson, MD (principal investigator), Louis L. Leatherman, MD
(former), Arthur J. Springer, MD, and Samantha Beba (associate
investigators), and Brenda Lambert (coordinator); and St. Luke's
Hospital, Milwaukee, Wis: Gerald Dorros, MD (principal
investigator), and Joann Brandt (coordinator).
Data
Coordinating Center
University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pa:
Katherine
M. Detre, MD, DrPH, and Sheryl F. Kelsey, PhD (principal
investigators), Wanlin Yeh, MS (statistician), Verna Niedermeyer (data
coordinator), Polly Swanson and John Winegarten (data managers), Kevin
Kip (graduate student researcher), Donna Gibbons (administrative
secretary), and Rita Wolk (secretary).
Program Office
NHLBI, Bethesda, Md: Patrice
Desvigne-Nickens, MD.
Received October 10, 1994; revision received December 14, 1994; accepted December 27, 1994.
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