(Circulation. 1995;91:901-904.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
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From the Department of Medicine, The University of Alberta (Canada), Edmonton (P.W.A.), and the Department of Health Sciences, Bowman Gray School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC (C.D.F.).
Correspondence to Dr P.W. Armstrong, Chair, Department of Medicine, 2F1.30 WMC, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alta, Canada T6G 2R7.
Key Words: clinical trials safety monitoring editorials
| Introduction |
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The Data and Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB) is now considered a critical component of the administration and conduct of large multicenter clinical trials. Early cessation of large trials because of major advantages or untoward effects of the treatment under study has recently underscored the pivotal internal peer review role of the DSMB. Although the general need for treatment monitoring has been recognized by the National Institutes of Health since at least 1979, surprisingly little information exists concerning terms of reference, authority, composition, and operating procedures by which such groups function.1 It is the purpose of this essay to explore these issues further, with the intent of fostering a constructive dialogue and framework from which to construct DSMB guidelines.
| Who Composes the DSMB? |
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| What Is the Relationship Between the DSMB and Other Groups? |
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| What Is the Function of the DSMB? |
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| What Are the Considerations Associated With DSMB Decision Making? |
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There are several examples of cardiovascular trials that were terminated earlier than planned. Three treatment arms of the Coronary Drug Project were terminated early in the 1970s because of adverse experiences10 11 ; these decisions to terminate were not controversial. In 1989, the Beta-Blocker Heart Attack Trial was stopped early because of strong evidence of a beneficial effect of propranolol on all-cause mortality.12 A favorable effect had been more or less expected, given the prior published report of benefit in the Norwegian Timolol Study.13 By contrast, the very early termination of the Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Trial (CAST) because of increased risk of arrhythmic death attributed to encainide and flecainide created a lengthy debate.14 The ethics of continuing this trial were questioned; however, the DSMB felt that overwhelming evidence was necessary to offset strongly held prior assertions concerning the clinical value of antiarrhythmics. Importantly, the CAST trial was also a caveat for proponents of surrogate end points, since suppression of ventricular arrhythmias did not accurately predict the effect on mortality. Monitoring of cardiovascular clinical trials over the past quarter century has provided important contributions to clinical research. Given the tenuous nature of many assumptions that modulate sample size calculations (such as the magnitude of the treatment effect), it is not surprising that some trials are terminated earlier than planned because of a greater-than-projected benefit, whereas others conclude in the face of unexpected major adverse events. The multiplicity of mechanisms of new drug actions sometimes conspires to offset the anticipated benefit of agents undergoing evaluation. It should also be appreciated that the patient monitoring associated with entry into a clinical trial and the scrutiny with which adverse effects are evaluated are more intense and comprehensive than those that normally occur in general medical care. Accordingly, unfavorable side effects have the potential for greater harm when applied to a broader patient population for which the therapy is ultimately intended and in whom surveillance of unfavorable side effects is less detailed.
DSMB members participating in such decision making must also take into account the consistency of the data and evidence emerging over the course of the study and be cognizant of random variations in event rates. Another key element for the DSMB to consider is the currency of the data under review and whether they typify an adequately representative cross section of the trial cohort to be studied. Moreover, the diversity of actions of a therapeutic agent under study and the nature of the disease process may conspire to produce an early clustering of harmful effects before emergence of late, long-term beneficial effects, ie, the treatment impact may vary throughout the planned period of observation. This highlights the need for caution and patience lest a decision to discontinue a trial be too precipitous. Complex therapy, such as certain surgical procedures, may be associated with a learning curve during implementation, with resultant diminished effectiveness and increased complication rates early in the experience of a new center in a multicenter trial. This phenomenon may also be manifest in complication rates associated with small- as opposed to large-volume centers. Finally, differing margins of benefit and harm in a variety of patient groups are a common challenge in large clinical trials; unless these groups are predefined from the outset, such analyses are unlikely to be useful in influencing the decision for early termination of the study. When comparing novel therapy with established treatment, it is important to realize that small absolute differences may be of major clinical significance in a disease that is widely prevalent.15
The nature, feasibility, cost-effectiveness, and general applicability of the treatment strategy inevitably arise as factors in DSMB deliberations. Hence, a therapy administered through an implantable infusion pump requiring frequent supervision and home care presents a degree of difficulty that would be offset only by a substantial improvement in symptoms or survival. These issues need to be framed in the context of the prevalence of the disease under study as well as its natural history, morbidity, and mortality. In diseases such as advanced cancer and heart failure, which cause substantial suffering as well as major mortality, one is ideally seeking a therapeutic strategy that would both relieve suffering and prolong useful life. Paradoxically, however, DSMBs may find themselves evaluating a trial in which suffering may be ameliorated but mortality not affected favorably but actually increased. Acquisition of such knowledge may be of importance and potentially clinically relevant, thereby underlining a need for a balance between statistical stopping guidelines, ethical perspicacity, common sense, and good clinical judgment.
If the terms of reference and composition of the board are vital to its successful collaboration in the conduct of clinical trials, so too is its operational strategy. Whereas a component of the DSMB meetings may appropriately be open to the principal investigator and sponsor, the major work of the DSMB should be conducted in strict confidence. It cannot be overemphasized that breaches of this confidence by any member of the DSMB can seriously undermine the successful conduct and overall integrity of the trial as well as its ultimate interpretation. Preparation of the data according to treatment groups with appropriate confidence limits should be undertaken in a comprehensible and user-friendly fashion according to a format discussed at the outset and probably analogous to figures and tables to be published in the final report. An adequate number of end points and length of time should have elapsed between meetings to provide enough information from which to make informed judgments. Although information presented to DSMBs has traditionally been identified as arising from treatment or control groups, a more balanced approach to data interpretation and trial monitoring may be achieved by blinding (where possible) treatment assignment. When this approach is used, DSMB members are disciplined to assess similarity or differences between two groups of unknown identity and then required to consider how their judgment would be affected if the strategy under investigation were assigned to one or another group. At any point in the progress of the trial, the DSMB may choose to unblind itself if separation of the groups is sufficient to contemplate a recommendation or special analysis, change, or cessation of the trial. In the event that a harmful effect is evident, the threshold for earlier termination than planned may be lower than when benefit occurred. If effective therapy for the condition under investigation already exists, then a more stringent threshold for harm can be incorporated into the trial by use of an asymmetrical statistical design as opposed to the more conventional parallel analysis.16
It is difficult to overestimate the importance of careful recording of the DSMB discussions and conclusions, since they may be of vital importance and heavily scrutinized at the conclusion of the trial by all interested parties, including regulatory agencies. Moreover, each DSMB meeting is greeted with anticipation and concern by the investigators, the sponsor, the steering committee, and local ethical review boards who are charged with surveillance of events at individual sites. Special care must be taken not to raise undue confidence or anxiety resulting from the DSMB deliberations, especially as they relate to the likelihood of early termination of the trial or emerging differences or lack of differences between the study groups. Ideally, unless there are concerns about the conduct of the trial, ie, the accuracy or timeliness with which information is conveyed from investigative sites to the data monitoring center and on to the DSMB or the rate of entry of patients and development of events, a terse written statement from the DSMB chairman to the principal investigator about the desirability of continuing the trial provides the best communication. In the event that the DSMB concludes that the trial should be terminated, it must communicate this recommendation rapidly and effectively to the steering committee and sponsor. In this circumstance, extensive discussion will likely be required among these three groups regarding the nature, weight, and consistency of the evidence that led to the recommendation. Authority for implementation or recommendation to temporarily suspend, stop, or modify a trial rests with the steering committee, which would be expected to act on it in concert with the sponsor with all deliberate speed.
The DSMB is in a unique position to provide the steering committee and sponsor with informed and incisive commentary about the trial results and their interpretation at the conclusion of the study. The collaborative role of the DSMB in this regard should not be underestimated, since it may enhance the overall interpretation, synthesis, and publication of the final report as written by the principal investigator and the steering committee.
Careful definition of the terms of reference, composition, reporting structure, relationships, and operational strategy of Data and Safety Monitoring Boards can further enhance the already crucial role they play in the monitoring and successful conduct of clinical trials.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Received September 29, 1994; accepted December 12, 1994.
| References |
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