(Circulation. 1995;92:1141-1147.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the Departments of Medicine and Public Health Sciences and the Division of Vascular Ultrasound Research, Bowman Gray School of Medicine of Wake Forest University, Winston Salem, NC.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results We quantified the mean of the IMT for 12 sites of the extracranial carotid arteries (common carotid, bifurcation, internal carotid, near and far walls, and left and right sides [mean aggregate]) as well as for various combinations of sites (eg, segment-specific means, far walls only, maximum of any site) in 270 patients with or free of coronary artery disease. Models including age and all the indexes of IMT identified the mean aggregate as the only variable independently associated with the status of coronary atherosclerosis for the group as a whole. Next most strongly correlated was the mean common plus bifurcation. When classification algorithms were tested for ability to correctly classify case patients and control subjects, the mean bifurcation, mean common plus bifurcation, and mean aggregate were most strongly related to case-control status; however, the predictive power of the mean common was also strong.
Conclusions These data support use of the mean aggregate extracranial carotid IMT for correlation with the status of coronary atherosclerosis; however, the data also support use of the mean common plus bifurcation, since there is little increase in predictive power of the mean aggregate over this index. Use of the common carotid alone is also justifiable and may be preferable for certain analyses.
Key Words: coronary disease carotid arteries
| Introduction |
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| Methods |
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45 years and catheterization that
identifies "case patients" (
50% stenosis of one or
more vessels) and "control subjects" (no lumen irregularities).
Equal numbers of case patients, control subjects, men, and women were
recruited according to a stratified random sampling strategy. Patients
with coronary stenosis of <50% were excluded
("nonobstructive" CAD). Exclusion criteria include clinical
instability (patients with myocardial infarction within the past 6
weeks, cardiogenic shock, or other evidence of clinical instability),
previous coronary artery bypass surgery or angioplasty, use of
certain medications or presence of certain clinical conditions that
would alter plasma lipids (use of hypolipidemic drugs or thyroid
medication, use of cortisone, liver disease, alcohol abuse,
creatinine
2.5, or heparin use), or certain unusual
conditions, for example, individuals with carcinoma. In addition,
patients with prevalent symptomatic cerebrovascular disease
are excluded (stroke, transient ischemic attack,
endarterectomy). Participants all provided informed
consent. For this study, individuals underwent initial risk factor profile testing approximately 6 to 8 weeks after their catheterization at a Preventive Cardiology Outpatient Clinic.
Clinical Evaluation
At the time of their clinic visit,
participants were interviewed
by the study coordinator using a standardized questionnaire. She
obtained information regarding their heart and vascular disease
history, vascular disease risk factor status, menstrual status,
medications, and prior diagnostic evaluations. Participants
also underwent measurement of height, weight, blood pressure, waist and
hip girth, and cardiovascular disease risk factors. The
presence of hypertension was defined by a history of the disease or a
systolic blood pressure >150 mm Hg or a diastolic blood
pressure >90 mm Hg. The presence of diabetes was defined by history
of the disease or by a fasting glucose level of >140 mg/dL. Smoking
status was recorded as the number of pack-years smoked.
Lipoprotein Analysis
Plasma total cholesterol and
triglyceride and lipoprotein cholesterol were
quantified in the Centers for Disease Control and
Preventionstandardized Lipid Laboratory of the Bowman Gray School of
Medicine according to the Lipid Research Clinics Program
procedures.18 Cholesterol and
triglyceride determinations were done on the Technicon
RA-500 by enzymatic methods. For the determination of plasma HDL
cholesterol concentrations, the heparin-manganese
precipitation procedure as described in the Lipid Research Clinics
manual was used. For total and HDL cholesterol
determinations, the RA-500 enzymatic method was used with the Technicon
reagent substituted by the Boehringer-Mannheim (BMD)
high-performance cholesterol
reagent.19 HDL plus LDL cholesterols were
recovered after ultracentrifugation (in the 1.006
infranatant), and LDL was quantified as the difference between the
1.006 infranatant cholesterol and the
cholesterol in the infranatant after precipitation of
LDL.
Ultrasound
The ultrasound methodology for this trial was
similar to one
previously described.20 A Biosound 2000 II s.a.
high-resolution ultrasound unit equipped with an 8-MHz transducer was
used. Images were transcribed on SVHS 1/2-in videotape. An RMI 414B
tissue-mimicking phantom was used to monitor and ensure instrument
performance. Sonography and reading were done by trained and
certified sonographers and ultrasound readers with regular quality
control. Patients are examined in the supine position, and each carotid
wall and segment is interrogated independently from continuous angles
to identify the thickest intima-media site. Each scan of the common
carotid artery begins just above the clavicle, and the transducer is
moved cephalad through the bifurcation and along the internal carotid
artery. Three segments are identified on each side: the distal 1.0 cm
of the common carotid proximal to the bifurcation, the bifurcation
itself, and the proximal 1.0 cm of the internal carotid artery. At each
of the three segments for both near and far wall in the left and right
carotid arteries, the sonographer identifies two interfaces: on the
near wall, the first interface (interface 2) is the adventitial-medial
boundary and the second (interface 3) is the intima-lumen boundary; on
the far wall, the first interface (interface 4) is the lumen-intima and
the second (interface 5) is medial-adventitial. Thus, 2-3 and 4-5
define IMTs on the near and far walls, respectively. When these
interfaces have been demonstrated, the sonographer reduces gain and
time-gain control settings as low as possible to decrease artifacts and
then records the video images that include the maximum 2-3 and 4-5
IMTs at each of the 12 segments. Readers examine the videotapes and
identify frames that demonstrate the maximum 2-3 and 4-5 IMTs within
each segment. Frames are captured electronically and displayed on
high-resolution monitors, and wall maximum thicknesses are calculated
at each site.
Statistical Evaluation
For this study, case patients and
control subjects were compared
on the basis of several B-mode ultrasound characteristics of the
extracranial carotid arteries. The segment-specific mean of the maximum
of 4 sites for each of three segments (near and far wall, left and
right side) was calculated (mean common, mean bifurcation, mean
internal), as well as the mean of the aggregate of all 12 sites (4
sites at each of three segments, mean aggregate) and the mean of the
far wall at each of 6 sites. In addition, the segment-specific maximum
(maximum of the four wall thicknesses at each of the three segments)
was identified (max common, max bifurcation, max internal) and the
maximum of all 12 sites (max aggregate).
Statistical Methods
Descriptive statistics were computed for
variables of
interest. Statistics computed included means, SDs, and percentiles of
continuous variables (eg, age, lipid levels, IMT measurements) and
frequencies and relative frequencies of categorical factors (eg,
diabetes status, hypertension history) by case-control status and by
sex. Variables were examined to verify that assumptions of
statistical techniques were met. Univariable comparisons of mean
lipid levels and IMT measurements between case and control groups were
made with unpaired t tests. Univariable comparisons of
case-control differences in categorical factors were performed with
2 tests. Associations between IMT measurements
were examined with Pearson correlation coefficients both overall and by
sex.21
The logistic discriminant function was used to examine the differential abilities of each of the nine IMT measurements to effectively predict case-control status after age differences between case patients and control subjects were controlled for. This was done by use of separate logistic regression models, one for each IMT variable, each of which included age as a covariable. Comparisons between models were performed by examining medians and interquartile ranges of the resubstitution predicted probabilities of correct classification (ie, the probability of being a case for case patients and one minus the probability of being a case for control subjects22 ). Forward stepwise logistic regression was used to examine which IMT measurement or combination of measurements was best at predicting case or control status. Each IMT measurement was included as a candidate for selection after age was forced into the model. When variable selection was performed, the most significant (smallest P value) IMT with a value of P<.05 was selected first, then the next most significant factor with a value of P<.05 was entered after the factor(s) already selected was controlled for. Stepping continued until all factors with (type III) values of P<.05 were entered, and any factors that stepped into the model that became nonsignificant at a later step were removed.23
| Results |
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In this as in several other studies,20 24 25 there was a differential rate of "missing data" for scanning the common carotid, bifurcation, and internal carotid arteries. More than 99% of sites could be evaluated in the common carotid artery and 94% in the bifurcation, but only 78% could be evaluated in the internal carotid. The worst two sites in this regard were the near wall of the left and right internal carotid arteries, where 27% and 30% of the attempted interrogations were unsuccessful.
Mean and maximum age-adjusted IMTs for (1) the aggregate of all three
segments, (2) the three segments individually, (3) the common plus
bifurcation, and (4) the bifurcation plus internal in 270 participants
with and without coronary artery disease are presented
in Table 2
. This table also shows data for the mean
aggregate for the far wall only. There are significant differences
between case patients and control subjects for the group as a whole and
for men and women separately for every index of IMT. In general, the
case-control differences in the mean bifurcation, the mean bifurcation
plus common, and the mean aggregate were greater than differences in
other indexes of IMT for the group as a whole (T=5.84, 5.85, and 5.93,
respectively). For men, case-control differences in the mean
bifurcation, the mean common plus bifurcation, the mean internal, and
the mean aggregate were greatest (T=3.70, 3.85, 3.97, and 4.19,
respectively), whereas in women, the case-control differences in the
mean bifurcation, the mean common plus bifurcation, the max
bifurcation, and the max aggregate were greatest (T=4.47, 4.31, 4.58,
and 5.03, respectively). In the group as a whole and for men and women
separately, the case-control differences in the mean bifurcation, the
mean common plus bifurcation, and the mean aggregate were
consistently large, whereas the differences in the common
carotid were relatively small compared with other indexes of IMT. Of
interest, while there were large differences in mean internal
associated with the status of coronary
atherosclerosis in men, these differences were
considerably less in women. Similarly, the max aggregate, which showed
the largest difference associated with the status of coronary
atherosclerosis in women, showed the smallest
difference in men. Evaluation of data from the far wall only did not
result in greater case-control differences than the mean aggregate (T
for the mean aggregate far wall only for the group as a whole and for
men and women separately was T=5.34, 3.43, 4.05, respectively; for the
mean aggregate, T=5.93, 4.19, 4.08, respectively). SEMs were
consistently lowest for the common carotid, followed by the
common carotid plus bifurcation and the mean aggregate. SEMs were
consistently considerably higher for the maximum indexes.
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As shown in Table 3
, segment-specific indexes and
aggregate indexes were highly correlated with one another (correlation
coefficients range from r=.395 to r=.945). In
general, the mean of the bifurcation, internal, and common carotid were
correlated with one another in the group as a whole and in men and
women separately (correlation coefficients range from r=.466
to r=.707), with the bifurcation and the internal carotid
showing the strongest association with one another (r=.653,
r=.707, and r=.588 for the group as a whole
and
for men and women separately), as has previously been
noted.26 Correlations of the segment-specific maxima with
one another were weaker than for the means (range of correlations, from
r=.395 to r=.612) but also were strongest for
the
association of the bifurcation with the internal carotid artery
(r=.578, r=.612, and r=.530
for the
group as a whole and for men and women separately). The
segment-specific and aggregate maxima were highly correlated with the
mean segment-specific and mean aggregate indexes of IMT (range of
correlation coefficients, from r=.87 to
r=.94),
and the mean aggregate index correlated with the mean segment-specific
indexes, whereas the maximum aggregate index correlated with the
maximum segment-specific indexes (correlations were stronger with the
bifurcation and internal than with the common carotid artery).
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Next, we carried out logistic regression to estimate the independent
association of age and the nine measures of carotid IMT with the status
of coronary atherosclerosis (Table 4
). In this analysis, the
mean aggregate was the
only variable selected for the group as a whole. The maximum
aggregate was selected for women, and both the maximum and mean
aggregates were selected for men. Other IMT thickness measures did not
remain significant in multivariable analysis because of
intercorrelations among sites as described above. We repeated this
analysis incorporating only the five mean indexes (three mean
segment-specific indexes, the mean common plus bifurcation, and the
mean aggregate). In this analysis, the mean aggregate was the
only variable selected for the group as a whole and for men,
whereas the mean bifurcation was selected for women. In models
including only the mean internal, mean bifurcation, mean common, and
mean common plus bifurcation, the mean common plus bifurcation was
selected for the group as a whole, the mean internal was selected for
men, and the mean bifurcation was selected for women.
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Finally, we tested individual classification algorithms for their
ability to correctly classify case patients and control subjects (Table
5
). In this analysis, including age and IMT in
the model, the mean bifurcation, the mean common plus bifurcation, and
the mean aggregate consistently showed greater power to
discriminate case patients from control subjects for the group as a
whole and for men and women separately compared with other IMT indexes.
The analyses described above (Table 4
) identify the mean
aggregate (for all patients and for men) and the mean bifurcation (for
women) as the best discriminators of CAD case patients from control
subjects after exclusion of the (relatively unstable) maximum indexes.
Table 5
provides an estimate of the additional power associated
with the mean aggregate (for the group as a whole and for men) and of
the bifurcation (for women) over the mean common plus bifurcation, and
therefore, of the increase in predictive power associated with
quantification of the mean internal. For the group as a whole, the
median probability of correct classification is .649 for the mean
aggregate and .639 for the mean common plus bifurcation. For men, the
corresponding probabilities are .646 and .620. For women, the internal
is one of the weakest predictors, and the median probabilities for the
mean bifurcation versus the mean common plus bifurcation are .656
versus .655. Thus, information from the internal carotid adds very
little to the predictive power of the mean common plus bifurcation in
any group. Furthermore, increase in predictive power associated with
the mean aggregate compared with the mean common carotid was not
dramatic (eg, median probability of correct classification for the mean
aggregate for all patients was P=.649 and for the mean
common, P=.607).
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| Discussion |
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Another approach to quantification of carotid arterial disease (as in the Cardiovascular Health Study) has been to measure the far wall IMT of the common carotid and internal carotid (really internal carotid plus bifurcation) separately and, in addition, to obtain Doppler ultrasound quantification of percent stenosis of the internal carotid.3 41 These data can be used either separately or in the aggregate to characterize individuals according to "wall thickening" or "plaque."
A final alternative to use of the mean of various measurements at segments or in the aggregate is to use the single maximum IMT observed over all sites. The approach that quantifies mean IMT has the advantage of stability and of capturing extent of disease, whereas the approach that quantifies the maximum focuses on severity of disease and probably better identifies arterial plaques. Both approaches are likely to be informative in cross-sectional studies; for longitudinal studies, the greater stability associated with mean measurements is likely to improve analytic power.
The present study identifies strong associations of coronary artery status with mean (near plus far wall) IMT at each of three carotid segments as well as with the mean aggregate IMT. Associations of IMT with CAD were no stronger when information from only the far wall was used, and measurement variability of data from the far wall exceeded that of the near plus far wall. Individual segment-specific and aggregate maxima were strongly correlated with CAD. However, variability of the index represented by the maximum of all sites was greater than for any other index.
In multivariate analysis of the entire roster of potential predictors for the group as a whole, the mean aggregate appeared most informative. In sex-specific analysis for women, the maximum aggregate was most informative, and for men, the mean and maximum aggregates were both predictive, further supporting the importance of the maximum index in cross-sectional analysis. When the individual maximum measurements were not included in the predictive equations, the mean aggregate was most predictive in the group as a whole and in men, whereas the mean of the bifurcation was strongest in women. Including only the segment-specific means in the predictive equation, the mean common plus bifurcation had the strongest predictive power for the status of coronary atherosclerosis in the group as a whole, whereas the mean bifurcation was strongest in women and the mean internal in men. However, from the classification algorithms, the differences in predictive power associated with various indexes of carotid arterial disease were trivial in comparison with the strength of association of each with CAD.
Thus, for cross-sectional studies including men and women, the mean aggregate and/or the individual maximum is the best index of extracranial carotid disease because of their strength of association with CAD. For studies of disease progression or clinical trials, the mean aggregate is probably preferable because of its smaller measurement variability. For those investigators who would prefer not to include the internal carotid in analysis because of difficulty in visualization and lesser stability of measurements of this segment, an ideal B-mode protocol for cohort studies or clinical trials would most likely include the mean of the near and far walls of both the common carotid artery and the bifurcation. Both segments are easily accessible, and inclusion of data from the bifurcation would probably expand the informativeness above that of either segment alone. In our analysis, adding information from the internal carotid to that from the common and bifurcation provided very little additional power to categorize the status of coronary atherosclerosis.
On the other hand, much of the literature that associates extracranial carotid disease with incident CHD focuses on stenosis of the internal carotid artery (eg, see Reference 29); one other study in which segment-specific analyses were compared with one another for ability to predict prevalent CHD found stenosis of the internal carotid artery to be most highly predictive.3 Salonen and Salonen8 observed the highest correlation with incident CHD to be plaque or stenosis of the common carotid/bifurcation. Thus, for prediction of incident CHD, an index of stenosis by Doppler or one derived from the maximum IMT observed at all sites may be as strong as or stronger than the mean aggregate index.
Finally, these data also support use of the common carotid artery alone, particularly for studies of associations of risk factors with carotid arterial disease, cohort studies, or clinical trials, in that it, too, is associated with the status of coronary atherosclerosis. It is excellent in regard to measurement stability, and since it is much easier to interrogate than other segments, it may be ideal for certain (eg, computerized) measurements.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Received November 22, 1994; revision received February 27, 1995; accepted February 27, 1995.
| References |
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