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(Circulation. 1996;93:48-53.)
© 1996 American Heart Association, Inc.


Articles

Relation Between Symptom Duration Before Thrombolytic Therapy and Final Myocardial Infarct Size

Merritt H. Raitt, MD; Charles Maynard, PhD; Galen S. Wagner, MD; Manuel D. Cerqueira, MD; Ron H. Selvester, MD; W. Douglas Weaver, MD

From the University of Washington, Seattle (M.H.R., C.M., M.D.C., W.D.W.); Duke University, Durham, NC (G.S.W.); and Memorial Medical Center, Long Beach, Calif (R.H.S.).


*    Abstract
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*Abstract
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Background Myocardial salvage is most likely to occur when thrombolytic therapy is administered within 4 to 6 hours of the onset of symptoms of myocardial infarction. The impact of delays within this early time period on final myocardial infarct size are unknown. The purpose of this study was to quantitate the relation between final myocardial infarct size and duration of symptoms before initiation of thrombolytic therapy in patients treated within 6 hours of symptom onset.

Methods and Results The findings from patients in four prospective randomized trials of thrombolytic therapy were combined for analysis. The study population consisted of 432 patients presenting within 6 hours of onset of symptoms of first acute myocardial infarction who met ECG criteria that allowed estimation of myocardial area at risk before treatment with thrombolytic therapy and who had thallium-201 myocardial infarct–size measurements performed several weeks after infarction. ECG analysis revealed no difference in myocardium at risk for infarction as a function of duration of symptoms before initiation of thrombolytic therapy. In contrast, univariate and multivariate analysis showed that final infarct size was highly dependent on duration of symptoms before initiation of therapy. Each 30-minute increase in symptom duration before thrombolytic therapy was associated with an increase in infarct size of 1% of the myocardium. Final infarct size in patients treated 4 to 6 hours after symptom onset was indistinguishable from patients who did not receive thrombolytic therapy.

Conclusions These findings suggest that for patients treated within 4 to 6 hours of the onset of symptoms, there is a progressive decline in the extent of myocardium salvaged as the duration of symptoms before therapy increases. These results support efforts to minimize the time delay between symptom onset and initiation of reperfusion therapy in all eligible patients.


Key Words: myocardial infarction • thrombolysis • reperfusion


*    Introduction
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Reduction of infarct size is a central aim of thrombolytic therapy in patients with acute myocardial infarction.1 2 3 There is evidence from animal models that final infarct size is very sensitive to the duration of ischemia before reperfusion, with little salvage of myocardium realized if reperfusion is accomplished more than 2 hours after coronary occlusion.4 5 6 In human studies, the effect of the duration of symptoms before therapy on resulting infarct size (myocardial salvage) has been difficult to measure. This has been in part because of the use of indirect measures of infarct size, such as ejection fraction or myocardial enzyme release, but also because of the relative paucity of patients treated within the first 2 hours of symptom onset.3 7 8 The available data suggest that although there may be some survival benefit from later reperfusion therapy,9 10 11 relatively little salvage of myocardium occurs in patients treated more than 4 to 6 hours after symptom onset.12 13 14 It has not been well demonstrated how dependent infarct size is on duration of symptoms if therapy is given within this 4- to 6-hour threshold for myocardial salvage. Such information has important implications for the optimal treatment of patients who present early in the course of acute myocardial infraction. To address this question, we pooled data from four prospective studies of thrombolytic therapy in which final infarct size was quantitatively determined in a single nuclear medicine core laboratory.15 16 17 18 The patient group included 345 individuals treated an average of 2.4±1.4 hours after symptom onset, as well as 87 reference patients who did not receive thrombolytic therapy. The relation between final infarct size and time delay between symptom onset and initiation of thrombolytic therapy was determined.


*    Methods
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*Methods
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Patients
Patient data from four studies of thrombolytic therapy were combined for analysis: the Western Washington Randomized Trial of Intracoronary Streptokinase in Acute Myocardial Infarction,15 the Western Washington Intravenous Streptokinase in Acute Myocardial Infarction Trial,16 the Western Washington Myocardial Infarction Registry and Emergency Department Tissue Plasminogen Activator Treatment Study,17 and the Myocardial Infarction Triage and Intervention Trial.18 All analyzed patients presented within 6 hours of onset of symptoms of acute myocardial infarction, had ST elevation on ECG, and had no contraindications to thrombolytic therapy. In the two older studies,15 16 patients were randomized to thrombolysis with streptokinase or standard therapy without thrombolysis. In the two more recent trials,17 18 recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) was used in all patients.

To minimize the number of factors confounding the estimation of infarct size, patients with a prior history of myocardial infarction, those who died before or failed to have follow-up nuclear studies performed, and those in whom the Aldrich ECG score (see "ECGs") could not be calculated were excluded from the study. The age, gender, duration of chest pain before therapy, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, and year of patient enrollment were gathered prospectively and were available for each patient.

ECGs
Initial pretreatment ECGs for all eligible patients were analyzed by investigators who were blinded to the patients' clinical presentation, hospital course, and radionuclide infarct size. The location of each patient's infarct was recorded as anterior (ST elevation in leads V1 through V4) or inferior (leads II, III, and aVF). In each ECG lead, the presence or absence and magnitude of ST elevation and ST depression were noted, as well as the presence of T-wave inversion or abnormal Q waves as defined by Selvester et al.19 These values were used to calculate the Aldrich score. The Aldrich score is a quantitative estimate of the percentage of myocardium at risk, or the amount of myocardium that would be expected to be infarcted if thrombolytic therapy were not administered. The score is calculated for anterior infarction by use of the formula: 3[1.5(number of leads with ST elevation)-0.4]. For inferior infarction, the formula is 3[0.6(sum of ST elevation in Leads II, III, and aVF)+2.0].20 This method has been validated by comparison with final infarct size as measured by the Selvester method in patients not receiving reperfusion therapy.20 21

Radionuclide Studies
There were 1138 patients enrolled in the four trials, 293 of whom were excluded because of previous myocardial infarction and 150 because ECG abnormalities precluded calculation of the Aldrich score. Of the remaining 695 patients, 432 (62% of all eligible patients) survived and had resting quantitative thallium-201 tomographic measurement of infarct size performed a mean of 52±43 days after therapy. Infarct-size measurements were performed at a single, central, nuclear medicine laboratory at the Seattle Veterans Administration Hospital. The studies were read by investigators who were unaware of the details of treatment and hospital course. Quantitative perfusion defect-size (infarct-size) determination was performed by use of image acquisition and processing methods that have been reported and validated previously.22

Statistical Analysis
Two-tailed Student's t test and linear regression were used to assess the statistical significance of the univariate correlation between individual patient clinical and ECG characteristics and infarct size. Multivariate stepwise linear regression was used to select independent predictors of infarct size. ANOVA was used to test the association between infarct-size measurements and time from symptom onset to treatment. The method of Tukey was used to compare selected subgroups based on time to treatment.


*    Results
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Baseline Patient Characteristics
Baseline characteristics of the 345 patients who received thrombolytic therapy and the 87 control patients are shown in Table 1Down. Age, sex, initial heart rate, systolic blood pressure, and ECG characteristics, including the Aldrich-score prediction of infarct size, were similar in all four contributing studies. Mean duration of symptoms before thrombolytic therapy became progressively shorter with each study, with an overall mean delay until treatment of 2.4±1.4 hours. Because the control patients all came from the two older studies, the time from symptom onset to hospital admission in the control patients was about 25 minutes longer than for the treated patients. Otherwise, treatment and control patients were similar with respect to baseline characteristics.


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Table 1. Baseline Characteristics of Patients Who Received Thrombolytic Therapy and Control Patients Who Did Not

Infarct Size
The Aldrich score was used to assess whether there was an association between duration of symptoms before initiation of thrombolytic therapy and amount of myocardium at risk. A weak negative correlation was observed (r=-.10, P=.03), suggesting that patients who were treated later were at risk for somewhat smaller infarcts than those who were treated earlier in their hospital course. In contrast, there was a positive correlation between larger final infarct size and a longer duration of symptoms before initiation of therapy (r=.25, P<.0001). Other variables that had a significant positive correlation with larger infarct size included several that were derived from the initial ECG, including number of abnormal Q waves, sum of ST elevation, sum of ST depression, and Aldrich score (Table 2Down). Although some of the correlation coefficients in Table 2Down were highly statistically significant, it should be recognized that the strength of association between infarct size and significant covariates was moderate, with no coefficient exceeding .30.


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Table 2. Univariable Correlation Between Baseline Patient Characteristics and Final Infarct Size

Stepwise linear regression was used to identify predictors of final infarct size as measured by thallium-201 imaging in 323 treatment patients for whom complete information was available (Table 3Down). Variables considered for entry in the model are listed in Table 2Up. Time to treatment was an important predictor of infarct size, and it was the second variable to enter the model. The positive association between time to treatment and infarct size was such that a 29-minute increase in time to treatment was associated with an absolute increase of 1% in infarct size. It is important to recognize that other factors were also independently predictive of final infarct size: number of abnormal Q waves on admission ECG (the first variable to enter the model), sum of ST elevation on admission ECG, anterior infarct location, sum of ST depression, and male sex. Together, all six variables explained 22% (r=.47) of the variation in infarct size. Time to therapy remained an important predictor of larger infarct size when year of therapy and use of rt-PA were included in the analysis.


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Table 3. Multivariable Predictors of Final Infarct Size in Order of Entry Into the Model

Fig 1Down shows the Aldrich-score estimation of myocardium at risk and actual final infarct size by thallium-201 tomography as a function of duration of symptoms before initiation of thrombolytic therapy in treated patients as well as in 87 comparable patients who did not receive thrombolytic therapy. Pretreatment estimates of myocardium at risk are similar for each time interval, again suggesting minimal influence of time to therapy on amount of myocardium at risk. The strong association between duration of symptoms before therapy and resulting final infarct size is depicted. Patients treated within 1 hour after symptom onset had infarcts 40% as large as those treated 4 to 6 hours after symptom onset; patients treated after intermediate time periods had infarcts of intermediate size. There was no statistical difference in final infarct size between patients treated 4 to 6 hours after symptom onset and those who did not receive thrombolytic therapy. Figs 2Down and 3Down show that this relation between time to treatment and resulting infarct size is present in both anterior and inferior infarction.



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Figure 1. Bar graph shows estimated myocardium at risk (Aldrich score) and final myocardial infarct size, expressed as a percent of the myocardium, for patients with acute myocardial infarction treated with thrombolytic therapy at various time intervals after the onset of symptoms as well as for patients who did not receive thrombolytic therapy. Duration of symptoms before therapy was a significant predictor of final infarct size (P<.0001 by ANOVA). There was no difference in final infarct size between patients treated more than 4 hours after symptom onset and those who did not receive thrombolytic therapy. The number of patients from which the determinations were calculated is shown.



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Figure 2. Bar graph shows estimated myocardium at risk (Aldrich score) and final infarct size, expressed as a percent of myocardium, in subsets of patients with acute anterior myocardial infarction (MI) by time to treatment (P<.0001).



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Figure 3. Bar graph shows estimated myocardium at risk (Aldrich score) and final infarct size, expressed as a percent of myocardium, in subsets of patients with acute inferior myocardial infarction (MI) by time to treatment (P<.0001).

Thrombolytic Agent
Nearly all patients treated within 2 hours of symptom onset received rt-PA; therefore, no assessment can be made of the role of streptokinase in limiting infarct size when given in this very early time period. Results of multivariate analysis showed that a shorter duration of symptoms before therapy remained an independent predictor of smaller infarct size for both drugs.


*    Discussion
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*Discussion
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Limitation of Infarct Size
Our analysis demonstrates that a shorter duration of symptoms before initiation of thrombolytic therapy is associated with a smaller final infarct size in patients treated within 4 hours of symptom onset. Each 30-minute delay in initiating thrombolytic therapy was associated with an increase in infarct size equal to 1% of the myocardium. This finding was independent of both clinical and ECG variables indicative of infarct location and myocardium at risk. The observation that final infarct size becomes progressively larger as the interval from symptom onset to therapy increases suggests that in this time frame (within 6 hours of onset of symptoms), myocardial salvage is not an all-or-nothing phenomenon but instead is highly dependent on duration of symptoms before therapy. Thus, to minimize infarct size, continuing efforts should be made to reduce the time from symptom onset to initiation of thrombolytic therapy in patients presenting within 6 hours of symptom onset. There is evidence that such optimization of myocardial salvage may translate into reduced mortality.8 In the Fibrinolytic Therapy Trialists' Collaborative Group study of 58 600 patients enrolled in randomized trials of thrombolytic therapy, there was a strong linear relation between lower mortality and shorter duration of symptoms before therapy in patients treated within 6 hours of symptom onset.11 This progressively increasing mortality benefit that results from earlier therapy in patients treated relatively soon after symptom onset may well be the result of improved myocardial salvage.

Methodological Considerations
Past efforts to determine the relation between duration of symptoms of acute myocardial infarction before initiation of thrombolytic therapy and resulting infarct size have been limited both by the methods used to estimate infarct size and by the population of patients studied. Mortality is not a specific marker of infarct size after thrombolytic therapy, because treatment may affect mortality through mechanisms other than myocardial salvage.1 2 3 7 The inaccuracy of ejection fraction and segmental wall motion as indexes of infarct size has been recognized increasingly.7 The relation between infarct size and ejection fraction can be obscured by stunning or hibernation adjacent to the infarct region and by hyperkinesis of unaffected regions of the left ventricle. Analysis of segmental wall motion improves the accuracy of these measures of infarct size23 but if performed too early is subject to error due to myocardial stunning. Enzyme release has been used to measure infarct size in several studies13 14 but is an indirect estimate dependent on assumptions regarding the kinetics of enzyme release and clearance. ECG-based measures of final infarct size have also been used24 25 but have been shown to be inaccurate in patients treated with thrombolytic therapy.26 Although chronically ischemic myocardium may still cause some error, direct estimation of infarct size by measuring perfusion defect size with single photon emission computed tomography avoids most of these problems.27 Two aspects of our protocol would minimize error as a result of chronic ischemia. First, we performed rest injections, thereby eliminating any effects due to preceding exercise-induced worsened relative hypoperfusion. Second, overestimation of infarct size as a result of resting ischemia in peri-infarct regions has been shown to be minimized by waiting a mean of 8 weeks after infarction, whether or not patients were treated initially with thrombolytic therapy.28 29

Despite the advantages of our methods, our model explained only 22% of the observed variability in final infarct size. This finding is most likely the result of not being able to include variables indicative of whether thrombolytic therapy, once administered, was actually successful in achieving prompt and long-lasting recanalization of the infarct-related artery. A patient treated very early who does not achieve reperfusion or who has reocclusion with infarction 24 hours later will contribute significantly to the lack of precision of the model. Furthermore, in patients who do achieve long-lasting infarct artery patency, time to therapy, although an important clinical variable, does not directly measure time to reperfusion, which is probably the critical variable in predicting early myocardial salvage.

Bassand et al27 used quantitative single photon emission computed tomography to estimate infarct size and showed that overall thrombolytic therapy reduced infarct size compared with treatment with heparin, but these investigators did not examine the relation between duration of symptoms before therapy and eventual infarct size. To our knowledge, this is the first study to use these methods to estimate infarct size, to show a relation between duration of symptoms and myocardial salvage, and to delineate the time window for salvage. Christian et al30 used sestamibi computed tomography imaging to measure myocardium at risk and infarct size in patients treated a mean of 4.7 hours after symptom onset, but they were unable to demonstrate a direct correlation between duration of symptoms and infarct size despite eliminating patients who did not have successful reperfusion. Given our finding that myocardial salvage occurs primarily in groups of patients treated relatively soon after symptom onset, with little salvage observed in those treated after 4 hours of symptoms, it is not surprising that in the study of relatively late therapy by Christian et al30 infarct size was more dependent on measures of collateral flow and factors affecting the myocardium at risk than on duration of symptoms. In the present study, patients were treated a mean of 2.4 hours after symptom onset, including 12% treated within 1 hour of their first symptoms. As a result, the effect of duration of symptoms before therapy on infarct size was much more prominent. Although we did not have direct tomographic measurements of the amount of myocardium at risk, which was a limitation of this study, we were able to estimate myocardium at risk by using the Aldrich score, other clinical indicators of myocardium at risk, and comparison with untreated controls. The Aldrich score alone appears to somewhat overestimate infarct size in inferior infarction (Fig 3Up) and, although more accurate, to overestimate size in anterior infarction (Fig 2Up).21 The reasons for the inaccuracy of the Aldrich score are unclear. The score is most valuable to our study in that it shows no trend toward increasing or decreasing myocardium at risk as a function of duration of symptoms before initiation of thrombolytic therapy.

A potential limitation of this study is bias produced by the exclusion of 263 otherwise eligible patients in the contributing studies from the analysis because they did not have follow-up radionuclide studies. Patients did not have infarct-size measurements for two main reasons: either they died before scheduled follow-up, or they refused follow-up, usually because of the distance they lived from the core laboratory.22 Comparison of excluded patients with included patients reveals that those excluded were treated after a longer duration of symptoms (3.2±1.7 versus 2.4±1.4 hours, P<.0001) but had similar Aldrich scores on presentation (19.7±8.3 versus 18.7±8.5, P=.21). Because these patients were treated later, and because many of the deaths probably represent failure of thrombolytic therapy, one would expect that their exclusion would result in an underestimation of the final infarct size, predominantly in patients treated relatively late after symptom onset. Thus, if we had been able to include these patients, we might have expected an even stronger correlation between longer duration of symptoms before thrombolytic therapy and larger final infarct size.

Implications for Health Policy
The Myocardial Infarction Triage and Intervention (MITI) trial18 and the European Myocardial Infarction Project31 trial showed that prehospital administration of thrombolytic therapy is feasible and probably indicated when there are delays of 90 minutes or more from prehospital assessment to hospital treatment. In addition, these studies showed that emergency department– and hospital-based causes of delays in initiation of therapy can be effectively overcome when prehospital identification of candidates for thrombolytic therapy is performed by use of clinical checklists and prehospital ECGs. Patients randomized to in-hospital therapy in MITI experienced a delay of only 20 minutes from arrival in the emergency department to initiation of therapy.18 It is hoped that the demonstration of a progressive increase in infarct size as the time from symptom onset to initiation of thrombolytic therapy increases, even in patients treated relatively early in the course of acute myocardial infarction, will provide renewed urgency to efforts to eliminate avoidable delays in initiation of thrombolytic therapy.

Summary
Determinants of final myocardial infarction size were examined in patients who received thrombolytic therapy within 6 hours of symptom onset. A variety of clinical and ECG variables were tested, and a shorter duration of symptoms before therapy was found to be a strong independent predictor of smaller infarct size regardless of infarct location. The relation between final infarct size and duration of symptoms before therapy suggested no distinct time threshold for complete myocardial salvage but instead a continuous relation between duration of symptoms before therapy and final infarct size. Therapy that was started 4 to 6 hours after symptom onset was not associated with significant reductions in infarct size compared with untreated patients. Continued efforts to shorten the time from development of symptoms of acute myocardial infarction to provision of reperfusion therapy are warranted, especially in patients presenting within 6 hours of symptom onset.


*    Acknowledgments
 
This work was supported in part by grant RO1-HL-38454 from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. The authors would like to thank all of the physicians and nurses who participated in the Western Washington and MITI trials that form the basis of the present study, as well as Susan Shattuc, MS, for preparation of the figures.


*    Footnotes
 
Reprint requests to W. Douglas Weaver, MD, MITI Coordinating Center, University of Washington Medical Center, 1910 Fairview Ave E, Ste 205, Seattle, WA 98102.

Received July 8, 1994; revision received June 8, 1995; accepted August 8, 1995.


*    References
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up arrowIntroduction
up arrowMethods
up arrowResults
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*References
 

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