(Circulation. 1996;94:2159-2170.)
© 1996 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
the Department of Genetics (B.D.M., C.M.K., J.B., M.C.M., D.L.R., B.D., J.E.H., R.D.H., R.M.S., A.G.C., J.L.V., J.W.M.), Southwest Foundation for Biomedical Research, San Antonio, Tex; and the Department of Medicine/Epidemiology (M.P.S.), University of Texas Health Science Center (San Antonio).
Correspondence to Braxton D. Mitchell, PhD, Department of Genetics, Southwest Foundation for Biomedical Research, PO Box 760549, San Antonio, TX 78245-0549. E-mail bmitchel@darwin.sfbr.org.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results Among Mexican Americans from San Antonio (Tex), we quantified the relative contributions of both genetic and environmental influences to a large panel of cardiovascular risk factors, including serum levels of lipids, lipoproteins, glucose, hormones, adiposity, and blood pressure. Members of 42 extended families were studied, including 1236 first-, second-, and third-degree relatives of randomly ascertained probands and their spouses. In addition to the phenotypic assessments, information was obtained regarding usual dietary and physical activity patterns, medication use, smoking habits, alcohol consumption, and other lifestyle behaviors and medical factors. Maximum likelihood methods were used to partition the variance of each phenotype into components attributable to the measured covariates, additive genetic effects (heritability), household effects, and an unmeasured environmental residual. For the lipid and lipoprotein phenotypes, age, gender, and other environmental covariates accounted in general for <15% of the total phenotypic variance, whereas genes accounted for 30% to 45% of the phenotypic variation. Similarly, genes accounted for 15% to 30% of the phenotypic variation in measures of glucose, hormones, adiposity, and blood pressure.
Conclusions These results highlight the importance of considering genetic factors in studies of risk factors for cardiovascular disease.
Key Words: epidemiology genetics risk factors lipoproteins lifestyle
| Introduction |
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The SAFHS was designed to investigate the genetics of heart disease and its risk factors in Mexican Americans. A basic premise of the SAFHS is that the genes that influence normal variation in physiological traits are likely to contribute significantly to CHD risk. Families participating in the SAFHS were therefore selected to be representative of the underlying San Antonio community. The goals of this report are twofold: first, to describe the basic design of the SAFHS; and second, to summarize the overall genetic and environmental contributions to phenotypic variation for a large panel of cardiovascular risk factors.
| Methods |
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16 years old who were residing in San Antonio. Once a proband was enrolled, all first-degree (eg, parents, siblings, and offspring), second-degree (eg, half-siblings, grandparents/grandchildren, aunts/uncles, nieces/nephews, and double cousins), and third-degree (eg, first cousins, great-uncles/great-aunts, and great-nephews/great-nieces) relatives of the proband and of the proband's spouse who were
16 years old were invited to participate. Spouses of these relatives were also invited to participate. Probands and participating family members received a medical examination in our clinic. Pregnant women were not eligible to participate; women reporting that they were pregnant were recontacted after their pregnancy to reschedule their examination. Occasionally, examinations were conducted in the participant's home. Examinations were conducted in the morning, after the participant underwent a 12-hour fast. The medical examination included an anthropometric assessment, a glucose tolerance test, and an interview component. All procedures were approved by the institutional review board, and all subjects gave informed consent.
Phenotypic Assessments
An anthropometric assessment was conducted in which height and weight were measured. Additional measurements of adiposity were also obtained, including a series of skinfold thicknesses, measured with Lange calipers, and circumferences, measured with a steel tape measure. These measures were used to derive several different indexes of adiposity, including body mass index (weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared), ratio of subscapular to triceps skinfold, and ratio of waist to hip circumference. Body composition was also assessed by bioimpedance. The systolic (first phase) and diastolic (fifth phase) blood pressures were measured to the nearest even digit using a random-zero sphygmomanometer (Hawksley-Gelman) on the right arm of the seated participant. Three readings were recorded for each individual, and the subject's blood pressure was defined as the average of the second and third readings.
Subjects were also administered a 75-g glucose equivalent load, and glucose and insulin levels were determined from a blood sample obtained 2 hours after the glucose challenge. Diabetes was diagnosed according to the World Health Organization plasma glucose criteria.4 Subjects were also considered to have diabetes if they were currently taking antidiabetic medication.
Biochemical Methods
Fasting blood samples were drawn for measurement of lipids and lipoproteins, glucose and insulin, and gender hormones. Serum samples were obtained from whole blood after clotting. Plasma samples were obtained from whole blood collected in disodium EDTA (or fluoride tubes for glucose) and kept on wet ice until separation of plasma and cell components. Plasma and cells were separated by centrifugation at 800g for 10 minutes. The resulting plasma supernatant was transferred to Tygon tubing, which was heat-crimped into sections containing
50 µL as described previously5 and stored at -75°C. This method provides multiple samples of serum that are thawed only once and also prevents desiccation and oxidation of samples during prolonged storage.
Total plasma cholesterol, HDL-C, HDL3-C, and triglycerides were directly measured. Cholesterol and triglyceride concentrations were assayed enzymatically with commercial reagents supplied by Boehringer-Mannheim Diagnostics and Stanbio, respectively. HDL-C was measured after precipitation of apoB-containing particles from thawed plasma by the use of dextran sulfate-Mg2+.6 Levels of HDL3-C were obtained using a dual-precipitation method,7 and levels of HDL1+2-C were derived from these measures by subtraction. Levels of LDL-C were derived by subtracting HDL-C and VLDL-C (estimated as one fifth of total triglyceride levels) from total cholesterol.8 LDL-C concentrations were computed only for those individuals with triglyceride levels of <400 mg/dL. The interassay coefficients of variation for control samples in these assays were 2.1% for total plasma cholesterol, 4.6% for HDL-C, 5.4% for HDL3-C, and 3.7% for triglycerides.
Lp(a) concentrations were measured with a commercial assay kit (MacraLp[a] ELISA kit, Strategic Diagnostics) with an EL340 microplate reader (Bio-Tek). Apolipoprotein concentrations were measured in a commercial laboratory (Medical Research Laboratories); apoB and apoAI were determined by the use of nephelometry,9 10 11 apoAII and apoE were determined by competitive immunoassays,12 13 and LpAI was determined by electroimmunoassay.14 LCAT activity was measured using an exogenous substrate system as previously described.15 The interassay coefficients of variation were 4.3% for Lp(a), 3.5% for apoAI, 4.4% for apoAII, 2.9% for apoB, 8.1% for apoE, and 6.8% for LpAI. Four control sera were used for the LCAT activity assay, with coefficients of variation ranging from 2.9% to 4.3%.
Plasma glucose was measured using an Abbott V/P Analyzer, and serum concentrations of insulin and DHEAS were measured using commercial radioimmunoassay kits (Diagnostic Products Corp). Serum concentrations of SHBG were measured using a commercial double-antibody system (Diagnostic Systems Laboratory). The interassay coefficients of variation were 7.9% for DHEAS and 9.0% for SHBG. The coefficient of variation between duplicate aliquots measured in a single laboratory run was 6.5% for the fasting and 8.0% for the 2-hour insulin concentrations.
Interviews
Interviews were administered to determine social, behavioral, and lifestyle factors that might be associated with cardiovascular risk. Information was also obtained regarding the individual's past medical history, educational background, household income level, reproductive history, and smoking and alcohol consumption patterns. Women were classified as postmenopausal if they reported having had both ovaries removed or if
12 months had elapsed since their last menstrual period.
A food frequency questionnaire was administered to obtain information about usual dietary intake. We developed our food frequency questionnaire, following the approach of Willett et al,16 specifically for use in this Mexican American population.17 The questionnaire consisted of 102 different food items, chosen because in aggregate, they accounted for 80% to 85% of the consumption of the following nutrients: total calories, total protein, total fat, and total carbohydrates. By applying nutrient values obtained from the nutrient tables provided by the US Department of Agriculture18 19 20 and other sources, we were able to compute the daily consumption of the specified nutrients (in g/d). The daily consumption of fat, carbohydrates, and protein can also be expressed as a percentage of total daily caloric consumption.
Physical activity was assessed using a modified version of the Stanford 7-Day Physical Activity Recall Instrument.21 22 Subjects reported the weekly number of hours they sleep and engage in moderately strenuous, heavy, and very heavy physical activities. Examples of activities corresponding to each category are provided to assist the subject's responses. Light physical activity is defined as the difference between the total possible hours of weekly activity (ie, 7 daysx24 h/d=168 hours) and the number of hours accounted for by sleep and moderate, heavy, and very heavy activity. Each category of physical activity is scored in weekly METs, in which 1 MET equals the energy expenditure of 1 kg/body wt per hour or an oxygen uptake of 3.5 mL/kg per minute.
Statistical Methods
The overall aim of these analyses was to determine the extent to which genes, measured environmental factors, and household factors contribute to variation in a large panel of CHD-related traits. Information on the covariance among relatives was used to estimate the polygenic (or additive genetic) component of variance.
The level of trait, y, for individual i (yi) was modeled as follows23 :
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g2,
h2, and
e2. The likelihood of the phenotypes of family members is assumed to follow a multivariate normal distribution with covariance matrix
, where
is a function of the coefficient of relatedness between individuals and the residual additive genetic, household, and environmental variances. Estimates of the mean and variance values were obtained using maximum likelihood methods.23 The significance of covariate effects on each phenotype was initially evaluated by considering a model in which phenotypic variation was influenced by the measured covariates and residual environmental factors only (ie, the genetic and household effects were constrained to be zero). All 22 covariates were allowed to enter the model. Robust standard errors were estimated, and the significance of each covariate was evaluated using a robust score test.24 Those covariates whose effects were significant at the .10 level were retained for all subsequent analyses, even if the significance levels decreased after inclusion of genetic and household effects in the model. We used this less-restrictive significance level to increase the probability of including all important covariates in the final models.
After the initial covariate analyses, the constraints on the genetic and household effects were removed, and maximum likelihood methods were used to estimate simultaneously the effects of the covariates, heredity, and household. The significance of the genetic and household effects was also evaluated using the score test. To test whether the set of environmental covariates included in each analysis accounted for a significant component of the phenotypic variation in that trait once the genetic and household effects were accounted for, the likelihood ratio test was performed. This test compares the likelihood of a full model (covariates and additive genetic and household effects) with that of a nested model (additive genetic and household effects only). The likelihood ratio statistic is distributed asymptotically as a
2 statistic with df equal to the difference in number of parameters in the two models being compared.
The relative proportions of the variance explained by the measured environmental covariates, genes, and household were calculated as the variance attributable to that particular component divided by the total phenotypic variance. The residual variance that was not accounted for by the three components corresponds to the residual environmental variance or the proportion of the variance attributable to unmeasured environmental factors.
The analysis of each phenotype was restricted to those individuals for whom all covariate data were complete. Dietary interviews were not obtained from 212 individuals, including 154 who resided in Mexico. This left a total of 1024 individuals for whom dietary information and at least some of the phenotypic information were collected. Seventy-four of these individuals had missing information on one or more of the covariates and were therefore excluded from the subsequent analyses. Differences between the remaining 950 individuals and the sample sizes shown for the multivariate analyses represent the number of individuals for whom a particular phenotypic measurement was not obtained. In addition, lipoprotein phenotypes were not analyzed for individuals currently taking lipid-lowering medications (n=23), and blood pressures were not analyzed for 112 individuals currently taking antihypertensive medications. Insulin values were not analyzed for individuals with previously or newly diagnosed diabetes (n=188). Glucose values were not analyzed for diabetic subjects currently taking antidiabetic medications (n=108). Insulin, triglyceride, SHBG, and Lp(a) levels were log-transformed before analysis to reduce skewness; 0.1 mg/dL was added to each Lp(a) concentration before the transformation. Diabetes, use of diabetes medications, and duration of diabetes were not considered as potential covariates for the analyses of glucose and insulin but were considered in all other analyses.
| Results |
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Because we recruited extended families, the sample of examined individuals included a very large number of relative pair types. The sample included information on 2405 pairs of first-degree relatives (1082 parent-offspring pairs and 1323 sibling pairs), 2851 pairs of second-degree relatives (2393 avuncular pairs [aunt/uncle-niece/nephew], 353 grandparent-grandchild pairs, and 105 half-sibling pairs), and 3199 pairs of third-degree relatives (2317 cousin pairs, 552 great-avuncular pairs, 308 half-avuncular pairs, and 22 great-grandparent-great-grandchild pairs). A representative pedigree is shown in the Figure
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The mean levels of covariates are shown by age and gender in Table 2
. The prevalence of diabetes increased from <2% in individuals below the age of 30 to 40% to 45% in individuals >70. Mean caloric intake declined with age in both men and women. Approximately one half of the daily caloric intake was derived from carbohydrate, whereas slightly >30% was derived from fat. Approximately 30% to 35% of men and 12% to 15% of women in this population reported that they currently smoked. The mean number of formal years of education ranged from
5 to 11 years. Approximately 20% of women <30 reported current use of oral contraceptives, and
15% of women between the ages of 50 and 69 reported current use of estrogens.
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Mean levels of the unadjusted quantitative phenotypes are shown in Table 3
according to age and gender. Regression coefficients for the environmental covariates, estimated simultaneously along with the effects of heredity and household, are shown in Tables 4 through 6![]()
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. For the lipids and lipoproteins (Table 4
), age and/or gender effects were significant for every phenotype except LCAT activity. Diabetes or a related variable (eg, use of antidiabetic medications and/or duration of diabetes) was significantly associated with concentrations of HDL3-C, HDL1+2-C, triglycerides, apoAII, apoB, apoE, and LpAI. One or more of the dietary variables was significantly associated with concentrations of HDL1+2-C, triglycerides, apoAI, and LpAI. Current smoking was significantly associated with lower concentrations of HDL-C and HDL3-C, whereas alcohol intake was associated with significantly higher concentrations of HDL-C, HDL1+2-C, apoAI, apoAII, and LpAI. Use of oral contraceptives and/or postmenopausal estrogens was associated with significantly higher concentrations of total cholesterol, HDL3-C, triglycerides, apoAI, apoAII, apoB, and LpAI and with significantly lower concentrations of apoE and Lp(a).
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The environmental correlates of glucose and hormone levels are shown in Table 5
. Women had significantly higher concentrations of 2-hour glucose and insulin, SHBG, and DHEAS than did men. Concentrations of fasting and 2-hour glucose, 2-hour insulin, and SHBG increased with age, whereas concentrations of DHEAS decreased. Both fasting and 2-hour glucose concentrations were associated with a higher percentage of calories consumed as total protein. Higher physical activity levels were associated with lower concentrations of both fasting and 2-hour insulin, whereas smokers also had significantly lower concentrations of 2-hour insulin than did nonsmokers. Fasting insulin concentrations were significantly associated with total dietary cholesterol and saturated fat intake and with lower consumption of alcohol. Concentrations of SHBG and DHEAS were inversely associated with the presence of diabetes (or use of antidiabetic medications). SHBG concentrations were also higher in smokers and in oral contraceptive users, whereas DHEAS concentrations were higher among those with greater education and were lower among users of oral contraceptives and estrogens.
Table 6
shows the environmental correlates of the adiposity measures and blood pressure. Women had significantly higher levels of body mass index but lower levels of waist-to-hip ratio, subscapular-to-triceps ratio, and systolic and diastolic blood pressures compared with men. Higher body mass index and waist-to-hip ratio were both significantly associated with the presence of diabetes and with higher total dietary cholesterol intake, whereas waist-to-hip ratio was also associated in women with the onset of menopause. Higher subscapular-to-triceps ratios were significantly associated with physical inactivity. Both systolic and diastolic blood pressures were significantly higher in diabetic than in nondiabetic subjects, whereas systolic blood pressure was also associated with higher total caloric intake.
Table 7
shows the components of variance for the panel of cardiovascular risk factors. The columns in this table represent the number of individuals with complete data and the proportion of the total phenotypic variance attributable to the measured covariates, additive genetic effects, household effects, and residual environmental factors, respectively. For all of the phenotypes except SHBG, DHEAS, systolic blood pressure, and waist-to-hip ratio, a larger proportion of the phenotypic variance was attributable to genes than to the measured environmental risk factors, including gender and age. For most of the lipid and lipoprotein phenotypes, the proportion of the variance attributable to genes was at least three times as large as the proportion attributable to measured environmental factors. The heritabilities of all traits, with the lone exception of waist-to-hip ratio, were significantly greater than zero.
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The proportion of the total phenotypic variance accounted for by the measured covariates ranged from 1.4% (for Lp[a] concentrations) to 33% (for DHEAS concentrations). For the lipids and lipoproteins, this proportion was <17%. In contrast, the heritabilities for the lipids and lipoproteins ranged from 21% (for LCAT activity) to 69% (for Lp[a] concentrations), with genes accounting for 35% to 45% of the total phenotypic variability in most of these traits. The heritabilities of the glucose and hormone phenotypes were somewhat lower, ranging from 13% (for 2-hour insulin and SHBG concentrations) to 35% (for fasting insulin concentrations). Genes accounted for 18% and 28% of the total phenotypic variation in systolic and diastolic blood pressures, respectively, whereas the heritabilities of body mass index and subscapular-to-triceps ratio were 42% and 32%, respectively.
The proportion of the total phenotypic variability accounted for by household effects tended to be considerably smaller than that accounted for by the genetic effects. In fact, household effects were significant for only nine traits: HDL1+2-C, LDL-C, apoE, LpAI, LCAT activity, fasting insulin, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, and waist-to-hip ratio. Household membership accounted for
5% to 12% of the total phenotypic variability in these traits.
| Discussion |
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We have simultaneously estimated the contributions of genes and a variety of epidemiological covariates to phenotypic variability in levels of cardiovascular risk factors. Although numerous studies have attempted to distinguish between the effects of environmental and genetic factors on cardiovascular risk factors, none have considered the wide range of environmental covariates or analyzed the range of cardiovascular risk factors as described in this study. The covariates, genetic effects (heritability), and household effects together accounted for
50% to 60% of the total phenotypic variability in most of the lipid/lipoprotein, blood pressure, and anthropometric phenotypes and 30% to 50% of the total phenotypic variability in glucose and hormones concentrations. Age, gender, and the other covariates together accounted for relatively little of the phenotypic variation in most of these traits (generally <15%, with a few exceptions), whereas variation attributable to genetic effects accounted for a relatively large amount (typically twofold to sixfold more than the measured environmental covariates). The further contribution of household effects toward accounting for variation in these phenotypes was marginal (range, 0% to 12%).
We estimated only one component of the total possible genetic effect on these phenotypes: specifically, the heritability. Heritabilities, which represent the additive effects of genes only, assume no interaction between alleles at a single locus (ie, no dominance effects) or between different loci (ie, no epistatic effects). Both dominance and epistatic effects frequently contribute to phenotypic variation, and more-detailed genetic analyses (eg, complex segregation analysis) are required to characterize these nonadditive genetic effects. Among SAFHS participants, we have already detected evidence for major genes with dominance effects that influence plasma concentrations of HDL-C,28 LDL-C,29 apoAI,30 apoB,29 fat mass by bioimpedance,31 and serum concentrations of 2-hour insulin.32
Direct comparisons of our results with those obtained from other studies are difficult. First, our sample included a wide range of different types of related individuals, and for this reason it provides greater power to discriminate between effects attributable to genes and those due to shared households than do samples based on nuclear families only. Second, the SAFHS study population consists of randomly ascertained families and thus permits inferences to be made about the relative importance of genetic and environmental factors in influencing phenotypic variability at the population level. Such inferences cannot be made from studies in which the probands are ascertained according to extreme values of some phenotype (eg, hypercholesterolemia, glucose intolerance, and so on). When families are ascertained according to "affected" probands, a small number of loci with relatively large effects may contribute disproportionately to the underlying phenotypic variability.
Because heritability represents that portion of the total phenotypic variance that is attributable to variation at the genetic level, the heritability of the same trait will differ between populations that differ in the distribution of environmental risk factors for that trait. For example, with all other factors being equal, the heritability of HDL-C concentrations will be higher in populations with a low frequency of alcohol consumption than in populations in which alcohol consumption varies widely.
Comparisons between studies must also take into account which covariates were included in the analysis. We considered a wide range of potential covariates, but we did not include other phenotypes with strong genetic determinants. For example, we did not adjust for the effects of body mass index on lipoprotein phenotypes because this adjustment would have had the effect of removing from the heritability any pleiotropic effects of obesity genes. Had we adjusted for body mass index, we would have observed a higher proportion of variance explained by measured covariates (at the expense of the overall genetic component of variance).
Finally, the heritability was expressed in our study as the proportion of the total (rather than residual) phenotypic variability. Thus, we estimated that 39% of the total phenotypic variance in serum cholesterol is attributable to additive genetic effects. An equivalent expression of this heritability is that 47%, or 0.392/(1-0.128-0.038), of the residual phenotypic variance can be attributed to additive genetic effects after accounting for the effects of household, age, gender, and other environmental covariates.
With these precautions in mind, it is worth noting that the heritabilities for many traits estimated in our study are consistent with those obtained by other researchers. For example, the heritability of total cholesterol in our population was 39%, which compares with estimates of 40% to 60% reported by others.33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Similarly, our estimates of the heritability of HDL-C, LDL-C, and triglycerides (46%, 40%, and 40%, respectively) are reasonably close to those estimated from other populations (40% to 60% for HDL-C,36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 50% to 60% for LDL-C,37 38 39 40 41 44 and 35% to 50% for triglycerides35 36 38 39 44 ). Hasstedt et al42 estimated that genes accounted for 28% of the phenotypic variability in HDL3-C, whereas the heritability of this trait in our population was 38%. The heritability of apoAI concentrations in our population was 43%, which falls well within the range reported in several other studies,35 38 46 although at least two additional studies failed to find any evidence for genetic transmission of this trait.47 48 The estimated heritability of apoAII concentrations has ranged from 25% to 35%,38 47 48 which, again, is in close agreement with the estimated heritability of 34% in our population. Berg35 estimated that the heritability of apoB concentrations was 66% from a sample of twins, although in another study, Hamsten et al38 estimated a higher heritability in children (51%) than in their parents (14%), prompting them to speculate that apoB concentrations may be heavily influenced by exogenous factors in older individuals. In our study, the overall heritability for apoB concentrations was 31%, although we did not consider any age interactions in our analyses. Nearly all of the phenotypic variability in Lp(a) concentrations is reported to be due to genes,35 49 although the heritability was only 69% in our population.
The heritability of blood pressure estimated from previous studies has ranged from 15% to 40%,33 34 36 50 51 whereas we estimated heritabilities of 18% and 28% for systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respectively, in our population. A wide range in the heritability of body mass index has been reported, ranging from 25% to 60%,36 52 53 compared with 42% in our Mexican American population. We estimated the heritability of fasting glucose concentrations to be 18% compared with estimates of 25% to 30% reported elsewhere.54 55
Also consistent with prior studies, environmental risk factors accounted for a relatively small proportion of the phenotypic variation in most of our analyses. Associations have been reported previously between different measures of physical activity and a variety of cardiovascular risk factors, including lipid and lipoprotein levels, body mass index, and blood pressure,56 57 although in general the reported associations have been weak. In our study, physical activity was not independently associated with any of the above phenotypes, but it was significantly associated with a lower subscapular-to-triceps skinfold ratio and with lower serum insulin levels. This latter result is consistent with several previous studies suggesting a positive association between levels of physical activity and enhanced insulin sensitivity.58 59 60
Dietary variables were significantly associated with several of the phenotypes, although the magnitudes of these associations were modest. Willett61 argues that the reasons most studies observe relatively poor correlations between dietary intake and serum lipid concentrations are that endogenous sources of variability overwhelm exogenous sources and that the exogenous sources (ie, dietary intake) are very difficult to measure. As in other studies, alcohol consumption in our study was significantly associated with elevated concentrations of HDL-C and apoAI62 and with lower concentrations of fasting insulin.63 Alcohol consumption was also significantly associated with elevated concentrations of HDL1+2-C, apoAII, and LpAI. Current smokers had markedly lower concentrations of HDL-C than nonsmokers, as has been previously observed,64 and they had lower concentrations of HDL3-C and 2-hour insulin and higher concentrations of SHBG. Diabetes status was not significantly associated with Lp(a) concentrations in our analysis, although a modest association has been reported previously from the SAFHS once the effects of protein size variation were accounted for in the analysis.65
The extended family structures embedded within our sample enabled us to estimate household effects from the data independent of additive genetic effects. Household effects are attributable to unmeasured nongenetic factors, which are shared more closely by individuals living in the same households than by individuals living in different households. They may represent unmeasured dietary or other lifestyle factors. In our study, household effects were significantly greater than zero for nine phenotypes, although the estimated magnitude of these effects was small, ranging from 5% to 12% of the total phenotypic variation.
After accounting for covariate, genetic, and household effects, the proportion of the variance that remains unexplained for most of the phenotypes in this study ranged from 40% to 60%. For many of these traits, some of this unexplained phenotypic variance can likely be attributed to the nonlinear effects of environmental risk factors on specific genotypes. Although such genotypexenvironment effects can be difficult to detect, these interactions may nevertheless profoundly influence many of these phenotypes.
It is likely that we have underestimated the effects of some of the environmental covariates. For example, the relatively crude instruments that we used to assess dietary intake and physical activity may underestimate considerably the "true" effects of these variables on cardiovascular risk. We also have not considered possible interactions among the measured environmental factors, such as between diabetes and gender. The likely effect of these shortcomings is to underattribute variance to the measured environmental factors and overattribute variance to the unmeasured (residual) environmental factors. In addition, there may remain important environmental determinants of cardiovascular risk that we have not yet attempted to measure.
The results of these analyses are being used to guide our ongoing investigations into the determinants of cardiovascular risk factors. The inclusion of environmental covariates in the analysis will improve our power to detect genetic linkage. By accounting for the known effects of measured covariates on the phenotypic variance, the genetic signal in the remaining "unexplained" portion of the variance will be strengthened. Conversely, the power of epidemiological analyses to detect environmental risk factors should be strengthened by accounting for variability attributable to genes. By considering both genes and environmental risk factors together, we hope not only to identify specific genes that contribute to the high proportion of the variance in these traits but also to determine how the effects of environmental factors influence the expression of these genes.
| Selected Abbreviations and Acronyms |
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| Acknowledgments |
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Received January 30, 1996; revision received April 30, 1996; accepted May 5, 1996.
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