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From The Cardiovascular Research Institute (A.M.R., K.S.C., E.M., J.S.R.,
P.L.W., Y.C.D., C.F.L.) and the Biostatistics Center (S.W.G.) of George
Washington University, Washington, DC; the Thoraxcentrum, Rotterdam, the
Netherlands (M.L.S.); Duke University, Durham, NC (R.M.C.); the Cleveland
(Ohio) Clinic (E.J.T.); and the University Hospital Gasthuisberg, Leuven,
Belgium (F. Van de W.).
Correspondence to Allan M. Ross, MD, Director, Cardiovascular Research Institute, George Washington University, 2150 Pennsylvania Ave, NW, Suite 4-412, Washington, DC 20037.
Methods and ResultsWe calculated 2-year survival differences
among 2431 myocardial infarction patients according to early infarct
artery patency and outcome left ventricular ejection
fraction using Kaplan-Meier curves. Hazard ratios for significant
survival determinants were derived from Cox regression models. Two-year
vital status (minimum, 688 days) was determined in 2375 patients
(97.7%). A substantial mortality advantage for early complete
reperfusion (Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction [TIMI]
grade 3) and for preserved ejection fraction occurred beyond 30 days.
The unadjusted hazard ratio for the TIMI 3 group compared with lesser
grades at 30 days was 0.57 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.35 to
0.94) and 30 days to
ConclusionsSuccessful reperfusion and myocardial salvage produce
significant mortality benefits that are amplified beyond the initial 30
days.
Core Angiographic Laboratory Procedures and Cineangiographic
Analysis
Follow-up Methods
Statistical Analysis
Survival by early infarct flow grade is displayed as Kaplan-Meier
curves for the entire 2-year period in Fig 1A
Ejection fraction was measured from contrast ventriculograms at a mean
time of 90.9 hours after treatment (25th percentile was 3.3 hours; the
50th percentile, 114.6 hours; and the 75th percentile, 153.6 hours).
Two-year survival curves for the patients stratified by last
in-hospital left ventricular ejection fraction demonstrated
that 30-day deaths occurred in 3.1% of those whose ejection fraction
was >40% and 12% for those with more severely depressed function
(unadjusted hazard ratio, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.16 to 0.37; Fig 2A
The effect of ejection fraction was also analyzed as a
continuous variable. The probability of death was determined by
logistic regression for the early, late, and combined time periods (Fig 3
Figs 4
Previous large-scale trials in patients with acute myocardial
infarction have shown that intravenous
thrombolytic therapy reduces in-hospital or 30- to
35-day mortality compared with placebo or conservative
management,4 11 12 13 14 15 but beyond 30 days, the
survival curves have been consistently parallel for the
following 1 to 5 years, indicating no further treatment
advantage.3 5 6 16 17 Similar findings have been
observed in comparative trials of different
thrombolytic agents, and provided that a patient is
alive at 30 days, no additional separation in survival rates over time
has been evident.8 18 19
To explain these previous observations, it has been hypothesized that
survival curves do not widen after 1 month, in part because reperfusion
therapy saves mostly high-risk patients, leaving a paradoxically
vulnerable subgroup in the cohort alive at 30
days.20 In actuality, there has not been a high
rate of late fatalities in any group followed years beyond the index
infarct. The risk of postmyocardial infarction death (in this data
set) is highest in the first 24 hours and declines steeply thereafter,
reaching a nadir after about 200 days. The relative paucity of late
deaths is, in fact, a likely contributor to the previous difficulty in
showing late divergence of survival curves. It should also be
appreciated that when two groups start with equal numbers, parallel
survival curves after initial separation may seem to imply the same
absolute number of patients deceased over a period of time, but in
actuality, a lower relative mortality rate is present in the upper
curves of such analyses because of a larger residual
denominator.
We now believe that a more likely explanation for late parallel event
curves is that the older trials used regimens that were not markedly
superior to conservative therapy: the TIMI 3 patency rate 90 minutes
after therapy with streptokinase is
Although no long-term study of intravenous
thrombolytic therapy has previously shown an increased
survival advantage, some older reports of small numbers of patients
given intracoronary streptokinase have reported significantly
lower 1-year mortality in patients with complete reperfusion compared
with patients with partial or no reperfusion. Simoons et
al16 reported on 533 patients randomized to
either intracoronary streptokinase or conventional therapy.
Ejection fraction assessed between days 10 and 40 was the best
predictor of long-term survival in both patient groups, and the
beneficial effect of better systolic function increased over
time. This is consistent with our findings in a much larger
population, one treated with intravenous
thrombolysis and characterized by angiography at early
and uniform times after treatment.
A potential limitation of this study is that the groups forming these
analyses are defined by an outcome (TIMI flow, ejection
fraction) which is then related to a second outcome, mortality.
However, the rigorous conditions of this clinical trial design lead to
valid and generalizable inferences because there was no self-selection
into the defined groups and the investigation of the relationships
between the outcomes was prospectively planned. Nonetheless, it remains
possible that common patient baseline characteristics predispose
specifically to both the angiographic and the clinical outcome. In an
attempt to compensate for these circumstances, we adjusted for the
coexistence of mortality influencing baseline variables by entering
them into multivariable analysis. TIMI flow grade and
ejection fraction retained their late survival predictive power after
such correction. We also found that the impact of reperfusion on
survival from 30 days to 2 years is about the same or better than it is
at 30 days in each of the four independent treatment groups, so within
this data set, there are four replications of the beneficial late
effect of early reperfusion on survival.
Longer-term survival may also be favorably influenced by certain
pharmacological treatments, specifically ß-blockers, ACE
inhibitors, and lipid-lowering agents, and by
percutaneous coronary
revascularization procedures. Our data collection
is not complete concerning all medical and mechanical therapies over
the entire 2-year period, but we have details concerning some of these
therapies during the index hospitalization, including discharge
medications. Patients with TIMI 3 flow at 90 minutes had fewer
angioplasties (1.5% versus 25.2%, P=.001) during their
initial angiogram and were less likely to have been discharged on an
ACE inhibitor (15.6% versus 21.9%, P=.008)
than those with lesser TIMI flow grades. When patients were stratified
by ejection fraction, ß-blockers were more often prescribed (67.6%
versus 47.5%, P=.001) for patients with preserved
ventricular function, while the reverse is true for ACE
inhibitors (14.6% versus 44.6%, P=.001). The
differences tend to conform to advised patterns of practice, eg, ACE
inhibitors for poor left ventricular function
and rescue percutaneous transluminal coronary
angioplasty for closed arteries.
In summary, this study has provided intriguing evidence that successful
early reperfusion and myocardial salvage correlate with a survival
advantage that continues to increase well beyond the first month after
myocardial infarction. These observations, although hypothesis
generating, further underscore the need to develop more effective
reperfusion strategies. Although cost analysis was not a
component of this study, the substantial additional late benefits
should be taken into account in considerations of the
cost-effectiveness of aggressive infarct treatment strategies.
Study chairman: Allan M. Ross. Coordinating Center: George Washington
University, Washington, DC: Coinvestigators: C. Lundergan, J.
Reiner, K. Coyne, and P. Walker; Coordinators: D. Bashford and Y.
Draoui; Data Management: D. Boyle; Data Analysis: S.
Greenhouse; Research Assistant: C. Fink; Administrator: A. Bhatt.
NonNorth American Coordinating Centers: Cardialysis, Rotterdam,
Netherlands: Investigator: M. Simoons; Coordinator: T. Baardman. UZ St
Raphael-Gasthuisberg, Leuven: Investigator: F. Van de Werf;
Coordinator: R. Struyven.
Participating Centers (Ordered by Patient Recruitment)
France (n=433): Hôpital Cochin, Paris: A. Py; Hôpital
Tenon, Paris: A. Vahanian and O. Nallet; Center Hospitalier
Universitaire, Caen: G. Grollier and B. Valette; Hôpital du
Haut-Lévêque, Pessac: P. Besse and C. Durrieu;
Hôpital de Hautepierre, Strasbourg: M. Mossard and R. Arbogast;
Hôpital Purpan, Toulouse: P. Bernadet and D. Carrié;
Hôpital Trousseau, Tours: B, Charbonnier and G. Pacouret;
Hôpital Hôtel Dieu, Rennes: C. Almange and H. Le Breton;
Center Hospitalier, Rennes: J. Daubert and C. Lecercq; Hôpital
Saint Jacques, Clermont Ferrand: J. Cassagnes Hôpital
Lariboisiére, Paris: P. Beaufils and P. Rapoport; Hôpital
Bichat, Paris: J. Juliard and G. Steg; Hôpital Broussais, Paris:
J. Guermonprez, L. Guize, and M. Iliou; Hôpital
Boucicaut-Vaugirard, Paris: C. Guerot, O. Grenier, and A. Lafont; CHU
La Miletrie, Poitiers: R. Barraine and D. Coisne; Center Hospitalier
Universitaire, Grenoble: J. Machecourt; Center Hospitalier
Régional, Besancon: J. Bassand and F. Schiele.
Belgium (n=261): UZ St Raphael-Gasthuisberg, Leuven: F. Van de
Werf and R. Struyven; Hôpital de la Citadelle, Liege: J. Boland,
B. Koper, and M. Massoz M; Clinique Générale Saint-Jean,
Brussels: M. Castadot and D. Colsoul; Clinique University de
Mont-Godinne, Yvoir: E. Schroeder; AZ Middelheim, Antwerpen: P. Van den
Heuvel.
Netherlands (n=197): Medisch Spectrum, Enschede: G. Molhoek and R.
Lalisang; Spaarne, Ziekenhuis Heemstede: E. Müller; Dijkzigt,
Rotterdam: M. Simoons, M. van de Brand, T. Baardman, P. Kint, and D.
van Berkel.
Canada (n=177): University of Alberta Hospital, Edmonton: J.
Burton and C. Kee; Victoria General Hospital, Halifax, NS: C. Kells and
T. Fawcett; Vancouver (BC) General Hospital: A. Fung and C. Davies; St
Paul's Hospital, Vancouver, BC: C. Thompson, D. Heinrich, and B.
Mercier.
Australia (n=101): Flinders Medical Center, S.A. Adelaide, P. Aylward,
and B. Krieg; Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards NSW: G.I.C.
Nelson and J. Padley.
Switzerland (n=46): University Clinics, Basel: M. Pfisterer and R.
Hämmerli.
Germany (n=42): Krankenhaus am Urban, Berlin: W. Dissmann and H. Topp;
Medizinische Universität zu Lübeck, Lübeck: H.
Djonlagic, V. Kurowski, and A. Sheikhzadeh.
Spain (n=31): Hospital Gen Gregorio Maranon, Madrid: J. Delcan, E.
Garcia E, and J. Joriano.
Ireland (n=26): St James's Hospital, Dublin: M. Walsh, N. Walsh, and
U. White; Mater Hospital, Dublin: D. Sugrue and A. Hennesy.
Received September 11, 1997;
revision received December 12, 1997;
accepted December 16, 1997.
2.
Multicenter Post-Infarction Research Group. Risk
stratification and survival after myocardial infarction. N
Engl J Med. 1983;309:321336.
3.
Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Streptochinasi
nell'Infarcto Miocardico. Long-term effects of intravenous
thrombolysis in acute myocardial infarction: final
report of the GISSI study. Lancet. 1987;2:871874.[Medline]
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4.
ISIS-2 (Second International Study of Infarct
Survival) Collaborative Group. Randomized trial of
intravenous streptokinase, oral aspirin, both, or neither
among 17,187 cases of suspected acute myocardial infarction: ISIS-2.
Lancet. 1988;2:349360.[Medline]
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intravenous anistreplase in acute myocardial infarction:
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6.
Terrin M, Williams D, Kleiman N, Willerson J, Mueller
H, Desvigne-Nickens P, Forman S, Knatterud G, Braunwald E, for the TIMI
investigators. Two- and three-year results of the
thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) phase II
clinical trial. J Am Coll Cardiol. 1993;22:17631772.[Abstract]
7.
The GUSTO-I Investigators. An international randomized
trial comparing four thrombolytic strategies for acute
myocardial infarction. N Engl J Med. 1993;329:673682.
8.
Califf R, White H, Van de Werf F, Sadowski Z,
Armstrong P, Vahanian A, Simoons M, Simes R, Lee K, Topol E, for the
GUSTO-I Investigators. One-year results from the Global Utilization of
Streptokinase and TPA for Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO-I)
Trial. Circulation. 1996;94:12331238.
9.
The GUSTO-I Angiographic Investigators. The effect of
tissue plasminogen activator, streptokinase, or
both on coronary artery patency, ventricular
function, and survival after acute myocardial infarction. N
Engl J Med. 1993;329:16151622.
10.
Lee K, Woodlief L, Topol E, Weaver D, Betriu A, Col J,
Simoons M, Aylward P, Van de Werf F, Califf R, for the GUSTO-I
Investigators. Predictors of 30-day mortality in the era of reperfusion
for acute myocardial infarction: results from an international trial of
41 021 patients. Circulation. 1995;91:16591668.
11.
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Streptochinasi nell'Infarto miocardico). Effectiveness of
intravenous thrombolytic treatment in acute
myocardial infarction. Lancet. 1986;1:397401.[Medline]
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ISAM (Intravenous Streptokinase in Acute
Myocardial Infarction) Study Group. A prospective trial of
intravenous streptokinase in acute myocardial infarction
(ISAM): mortality, morbidity, and infarct size at 21 days. N
Engl J Med. 1986;314:14651471.[Abstract]
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AIMS Trial Study Group. Effect of
intravenous APSAC on mortality after acute myocardial
infarction: preliminary report of a placebo-controlled clinical trial.
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Hampton J, for the ASSET (Ango-Scandinavian Study of Early
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Simoons ML, Vos J, Tijssen J, Vermeer F, Verheught F,
Krauss X, Cats V. Long-term benefit of early
thrombolytic therapy in patients with acute myocardial
infarction: 5 year follow-up of a trial conducted by the
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© 1998 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports
Extended Mortality Benefit of Early Postinfarction Reperfusion
![]()
Abstract
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Methods
Results
Discussion
Appendix 1
References
BackgroundReperfusion therapy for
myocardial infarction, understood to reduce mortality by preserving
left ventricular function, was initially expected to
provide increasing benefits over time. Surprisingly, large controlled
thrombolysis trials demonstrated maximum benefit at 4
to 6 weeks with no subsequent increased treatment advantage. Such
studies, however, compared groups by assigned treatment, not
physiological effectiveness.
688 days was 0.39 (95% CI, 0.22 to 0.69).
Consequently, early TIMI 3 flow was associated with approximately a 3
patient per 100 mortality reduction the first month with an additional
5 lives per 100 from 30 days to 2 years. For ejection fraction >40%
compared with
40%, the unadjusted hazard ratio was 0.25 (95% CI,
0.16 to 0.37) at 30 days and 0.22 (95% CI, 0.15 to 0.33) after 30 days
through 2 years (lives saved,
9 and 11 per 100, respectively).
Key Words: myocardial infarction thrombolysis reperfusion follow-up studies mortality
![]()
Introduction
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Methods
Results
Discussion
Appendix 1
References
The generally
accepted view of the benefits of restoration of normal infarct related
artery flow (Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction [TIMI]
grade 3 flow)1 in acute myocardial infarction is
that early complete reperfusion preserves left ventricular
function, which in turn increases the likelihood of survival. Extension
of this model would lead to an expectation that patients with
successful early reperfusion and improved ejection fraction would
exhibit not only increased early survival but also a further increase
in survival benefit with the progression of time. Such an outcome would
be consistent with observations from the
prethrombolytic era demonstrating a strong correlation
between late ejection fraction after myocardial infarction and
long-term risk of mortality.2 Surprisingly,
however, large clinical trials in the thrombolytic era
have shown that patients assigned to reperfusion therapy demonstrate a
maximum survival advantage at 4 to 6 weeks after infarction compared
with a control group. Thereafter, the survival curves remain parallel
over variable periods of long-term
follow-up.3 4 5 6 A similar pattern has been
observed in follow-up of a year or more comparing patients assigned to
different active therapy groups. In The Global Utilization of
Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator
for Occluded Coronary Arteries Trial
(GUSTO-I),7 for example, the 30-day survival
advantage of alteplase over streptokinase is maintained but not
amplified 12 months after infarction.8 Because a
significant number of treated patients fail to achieve normal (TIMI 3)
flow in response to therapy, previously developed models that purport
to detail independent determinants of long-term survival but that use
variables that only indirectly relate to reperfusion (eg,
assignment to active treatment) rather than actual achieved early TIMI
3 flow may underestimate the true long-term advantage of successful
reperfusion. The purpose of this analysis was to describe the
effect of early and complete reperfusion of the infarct artery and the
resultant preservation of left ventricular function on
long-term (2-year) survival.
![]()
Methods
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Methods
Results
Discussion
Appendix 1
References
Study Patients
The GUSTO-1 angiographic study has been described in detail
previously.9 Briefly, in the angiographic study,
2431 patients who met the following enrollment criteria were enrolled:
chest pain lasting <6 hours and elevation of the ST segment in at
least two contiguous leads. Patients were randomized to one of four
thrombolytic regimens and to one of four times (90
minutes, 180 minutes, 24 hours, or 5 to 7 days) for initial
coronary angiography and ventriculography after the start of
thrombolytic therapy. Patients randomized to
angiography at 90 minutes also had follow-up angiography at 5 to 7
days. For the purposes of this analysis, we used the final TIMI
flow grade determined from an initial angiogram obtained 90±45 minutes
after the start of lytic therapy. Correlations between left
ventricular function and survival used data from the last
available contrast ventriculogram obtained during the index
hospitalization period for all patients.
All films were interpreted by an experienced angiographer
(A.M.R., C.F.L., and J.S.R.) who had no knowledge of treatment
allocation or time of angiography. Patency of the infarct-related
artery, as measured by TIMI flow grade, was assessed according to
standard methods.1 Ventriculographic silhouettes
were acquired digitally at end systole and end diastole,
and the borders were defined by the core laboratory angiographer.
Two-year patient follow-up was conducted by telephone contact by
personnel at individual clinical sites. Additional efforts at patient
contact were made by investigators at central facilities in Washington,
DC; Leuven, Belgium; and Rotterdam, the Netherlands. If a patient could
not be contacted by telephone, inquiries were addressed to the next of
kin and primary care physicians. Other efforts included searches of
hospital medical records, clinic records, and public death
records. The follow-up study protocol was reviewed and either
approved or exempted by the Institutional Review Boards of all
participating hospitals. All interviewed patients provided verbal
consent; next of kin provided written consent for death
certificate/medical record information.
Estimated survival curves for patients with and without early
complete (TIMI 3) flow in the infarct-related artery and for those with
ejection fractions either
40% or >40% were determined to 688 days
by the Kaplan-Meier method. Comparing Kaplan-Meier survival curves
according to TIMI flow grades revealed that the survival function for
TIMI 2 was not statistically different from TIMI 0,1 for any time
period (0 to 30, 30 to 688, or 0 to 688). Therefore, the TIMI 2 and 0,1
groups were combined for all subsequent analyses. The log rank
test was used to test the hypothesis that survival rates were the same
for the two groups. After verifying assumptions of proportionality, we
constructed univariable and multivariable Cox proportional
hazards models to determine the relationship between TIMI flow grade or
ejection fraction and survival time. We computed unadjusted and
adjusted hazard ratios for statistically significant explanatory
variables (with 95% confidence limits) using the regression
coefficient of the Cox proportional hazard models. Clinical
variables tested were chosen on the basis of their previously
reported independent effect on 30-day mortality after myocardial
infarction,10 which included age, sex, diabetes,
history of hypertension, time to treatment, Killip class at study
entry, body weight, history of coronary artery bypass surgery,
smoking status, history of
hypercholesterolemia, height, in-hospital
percutaneous transluminal coronary angiography,
in-hospital coronary artery bypass surgery, history of angina,
site of infarction, and history of infarction. Patients with incomplete
data were excluded from multivariable modeling. TIMI flow grade was
entered into the model as a dichotomous variable: TIMI grade 3
versus grades 2, 1, or 0 combined. Ejection fraction was entered as a
dichotomous variable (>40% versus
40%) and as a continuous
variable. The
2 test (two sided) was used
to determine whether the proportions of the two groups were different.
A value of P<.05 defined statistical significance.
![]()
Results
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Methods
Results
Discussion
Appendix 1
References
Vital status ascertained at least 688 days after infarction was
confirmed in 2375 of 2431 patients (97.7%) and will, for convenience,
be referred to as 2-year survival. Analysis of early patency
was performed on 1072 patients assigned to the earliest first postlytic
angiogram group. Analysis according to left
ventricular function is based on 1943 patients for whom
adequate left ventriculography and 2-year survival data were available.
Baseline characteristics are displayed by TIMI flow grade and ejection
fraction in Table 1
.
View this table:
[in a new window]
Table 1. Baseline Characteristics and Cardiac Risk Factors
. Because there were no significant
differences in long-term outcome between patients with TIMI 2 versus 0
or 1, the categories have been subsequently combined (Fig 1B
). Patients
with early complete reperfusion had a 30-day mortality rate of 4.6%
compared with 8.0% for those with lesser flow grades, which is an
approximate advantage of 3 lives per 100 (unadjusted hazard ratio,
0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.35 to 0.94). For the entire
2-year period, the cumulative mortality was 7.9% for those patients
with TIMI 3 flow and 15.7% in patients with lesser flow grades
(unadjusted hazard ratio, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.33 to 0.70). Recalculated
curves, beginning with survivors at 30 days, emphasize a second
divergence such that after 30 days through 2 years there was an
additional 3.3% mortality in the TIMI 3 group and a further 8.3%
mortality in the TIMI 0 to 2 group (unadjusted hazard ratio, 0.39; 95%
CI, 0.22 to 0.69; Fig 1C
). The approximate gain during this period is
an additional 5 lives per 100.

View larger version (15K):
[in a new window]
Figure 1. Two-year survival curves for all enrolled patients
with 90-minute Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI)
flow: A, TIMI 3 vs TIMI 2 vs TIMI 0,1 flow; B, TIMI 3 vs TIMI 0,1,2; C,
TIMI 3 vs TIMI 0,1,2 for patients who survived to 30 days. Vertical
lines denote censored cases. MI indicates myocardial infarction.
). The overall 2-year mortality in
patients with ejection fractions >40% was 7.2% versus 26.6% in
those with ejection fractions
40% (unadjusted hazard ratio, 0.23;
95% CI, 0.17 to 0.31). Between 30 days and 2 years after myocardial
infarction, the corresponding mortality rates were 4.3% and 16.4%,
respectively (unadjusted hazard ratio, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.15 to 0.33; Fig 2B
). Thus, the survival advantage for the preserved
ventricular function group (ejection fraction >40%) was
20 patients per 100 at the end of 2 years.

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[in a new window]
Figure 2. Two-year survival curves for patients with last
available ejection fraction (EF) >40% vs
40%: A, all enrolled
patients; B, only patients who survived to 30 days. Vertical lines
denote censored cases. MI indicates myocardial infarction.
) which confirmed the relationships
based on the dichotomy (>40% versus
40%). This relationship also
remained significant in multivariable models.

View larger version (18K):
[in a new window]
Figure 3. Effect of ejection fraction on mortality between
days 0 through 30, after 30 days through 2 years, and cumulative.
(Probability determined by logistic regression analysis.) MI
indicates myocardial infarction.
and 5
display the hazard ratios for mortality
according to the final TIMI flow grade assessed at the 90-minute
angiogram and the last recorded ejection fraction, after adjustment
for the clinical variables and for each other. Hazard ratios were
calculated with 30-day nonsurvivors included in the analysis
(Figs 4A
and 5A
) and without them (Figs 4B
and 5B
). Normalization of
flow in the infarct-related artery within 90 minutes of
thrombolytic treatment and relative preservation of
left ventricular function were each significant
determinants of long-term survival after adjustment for multiple
clinical variables. Only patient age was more strongly related to
2-year mortality than either TIMI flow grade or ejection fraction, and
diabetes was more strongly related to 2-year mortality than TIMI flow
grade (Table 2
).

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[in a new window]
Figure 4. Unadjusted and adjusted Thrombolysis
in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) flow hazard ratios and 95% confidence
limits for 2-year mortality. A, Hazard ratios calculated for all
deaths; B, hazard ratios calculated for deaths that occurred after day
30. The number of patients entered into the model decreases after
adjustment for clinical variables because of missing data and the
absence of analyzable ventriculograms.

View larger version (17K):
[in a new window]
Figure 5. Unadjusted and adjusted ejection fraction (EF)
hazard ratios and 95% confidence limits for 2-year mortality. A,
Hazard ratios calculated for all deaths; B, hazard ratios calculated
for deaths that occurred after day 30. The number of patients entered
into the model decreases after adjustment for clinical variables
owing to missing data and TIMI flow grade because only a subset of
patients was randomized to 90-minute coronary angiograms.
View this table:
[in a new window]
Table 2. Adjusted Hazard Ratios for Mortality Determined by
Multivariable Cox Regression Model
![]()
Discussion
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Methods
Results
Discussion
Appendix 1
References
The primary finding of this analysis is that restoration
of early and normal (TIMI 3) flow in the infarct related artery and
early preservation of left ventricular function each
provide a significant survival advantage well beyond the 30 days
immediately after infarction. These effects appear to be independent
and persist after adjustment for multiple patient-related
variables.
35%, not a dramatic improvement
over control groups with TIMI 3 rates of 10% to
20%1 but sufficient to provide a survival rate
advantage during the period of highest fatality risks (the first 30
days). Such were presumably the patency profiles between groups
followed and compared for 12 to 24 months in the GISSI-1 and ISIS-2
studies.3 4 A similar circumstance is obtained in
a comparison of late outcomes of two different active treatments
because the maximal reported difference in TIMI 3 patency rates is
again only about 20 patients per 100.9 Hence, the
trials showing parallel survival curves after 30 days have compared
populations with more similar than dissimilar patency rates. In
contrast, this analysis compares a group of patients who had
TIMI 3 flow rate at 90 minutes with a group of patients who did not
achieve this desired effect.
![]()
Appendix 1
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Methods
Results
Discussion
Appendix 1
References
The following centers and investigators collaborated on the
GUSTO Two-Year Survival Study.
United States (n=1117): St Mary's Hospital, Rochester, Minn: S.
Kopecky and M. Peterson; George Washington University Hospital,
Washington, DC: A. Ross, K. Coyne, P. Walker, and D. Bashford; Tulsa
(Okla) Regional Medical Center: E. Pickering, P. Cotham, and J. Gaber;
McKay-Dee Hospital, Ogden, Utah: D. Rigby; St Vincent's Medical
Center, Jacksonville, Fla: G. Pilcher, P. Zaenger, and P. Daniels; St
Mary's Hospital, Tucson, Ariz: L. Lancaster and D. Lansman; East
Alabama Medical Center, Opelika: J. Mitchell and G. Stegall; Proctor
Community Hospital, Peoria, Ill: P. Schmidt, D. Miller, and C. Ness;
Mercy Hospital of Pittsburgh (Penn): V. Krishnaswami and A. Heyl; Mt
Clemens (Mich) General Hospital: J. Kazmierski, L. Thompson, and S.
Hare; University Hospital of Cleveland (Ohio): J. McB Hodgson;
Spartanburg (SC) Regional Medical Center: J. Dorchak and T. Robinette;
University Community Hospital, Tampa, Fla: J. Smith and L. Harrah;
Humana Medical City, Dallas, Tex: D. Brown D; Lahey Clinic Medical
Center, Burlington, Mass: D. Gossman and G. Woodhead; University of
Michigan Hospital, Ann Arbor: E. Bates and T. Alexandris; Mother
Frances Hospital, Tyler, Tex: N. Israel and L. Oyer L; St Mark's
Hospital, Salt Lake City, Utah: J. Perry and W. Schvaneveldt; Crawford
Long Hospital, Atlanta, Ga: D. Morris and W. Bernard; Hahnemann
University Hospital, Philadelphia, Pa: T. Parris; Sioux Valley
Hospital, Sioux Falls, SD: L. Solberg, N. Fisher, and K. Miller; St
Joseph's Hospital, Savannah, Ga: P. Gainey and D. Baker; Ochsner
Foundation Hospital, New Orleans, La: C. White and A. Walker; Good
Samaritan Hospital, Cincinnati, Ohio: A. Razavi, P. Ertel, and D.
Hamilton; McLeod Regional Medical Center, Florence, SC: A. Blaker and
J. Shane; Evanston (Ill) Hospital: I. Silverman and S. Weszt; St Agnes
Medical Center, Philadelphia, Pa: D. McCormick and S. Luhmann; Medical
College of Virginia, Richmond: R. Jesse and A. Wade; Glenbrook
Hospital, Glenview, Ill: I. Silverman and S. Weszt; Shadyside Hospital,
Pittsburgh, Pa: J. O'Toole and S. Heilman; Terre Haute (Ind) Regional
Hospital: P. Andres and D. Bauer; Lutheran Hospital, Fort Wayne, Ind:
B. Lew and C. Matvya; Memorial Medical Center, Corpus Christi, Tex: C.
Schechter and J. Herst; Swedish-American Hospital, Rockford Ill:
R. Harner and D. Ferguson; Spohn Hospital, Corpus Christi, Tex: C.
Schechter and J. Herst; McKennan Hospital, Sioux Falls, SD: K.
Kauvanaugh and M. Voss; Northern Michigan Hospital, Petoskey: W. Meengs
and B. Stone; Hackensack (NJ) Medical Center: J. Zimmerman and J.
Francesico; VA Lakeside Medical Center, Chicago Ill: A. Hsieh and B.
McDermott.
![]()
Acknowledgments
This study was supported by a combined grant from Bayer (New
York City, NY), Ciba-Corning (Medfield, Mass), Genentech (South San
Francisco, Calif), ICI Pharmaceutical (Wilmington, Del), and Sanofi
Pharmaceutical (Paris, France).
![]()
References
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Methods
Results
Discussion
Appendix 1
References
1.
Chesebro JH, Knatterud G, Roberts R, Borer J,
Cohen L, Dalen J, Dodge H, Francis C, Hillis D, Ludbrook P, Markis J,
Mueller H, Passamani E, Powers E, Rao A, Robertson T, Ross A, Ryan T,
Sobel E, Willerson J, Williams D, Zaret B, Braunwald E.
Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Trial, phase
I: a comparison between intravenous tissue
plasminogen activator and
intravenous streptokinase. Circulation. 1987;765:142157.
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