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Circulation. 1998;97:1784-1790

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(Circulation. 1998;97:1784-1790.)
© 1998 American Heart Association, Inc.


Clinical Investigation and Reports

Effects of Lowering Average or Below-Average Cholesterol Levels on the Progression of Carotid Atherosclerosis

Results of the LIPID Atherosclerosis Substudy

Stephen MacMahon, PhD, FACC; Norman Sharpe, MD, FRACP; Greg Gamble, MSc; Hamish Hart, MB, ChB, FRACP; John Scott, MD, FRACP; John Simes, MD, FRACP; Harvey White, DSc, FRACP; ; on Behalf of the LIPID Trial Research Group

From the Clinical Trials Research Unit and Department of Medicine, University of Auckland (New Zealand) (S.M., N.S., G.G., J.Scott); the Department of Medicine, North Shore Hospital, Auckland (H.H.); NH and MRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney (Australia) (J.Simes); and Coronary Care and Cardiovascular Research Units, Greenlane Hospital, Auckland (H.W.).

Correspondence to Dr Stephen MacMahon, Clinical Trials Research Unit, Department of Medicine, The University of Auckland, Private Bag 92019, Auckland, New Zealand. E-mail macmahon{at}ctru.auckland.ac.nz


*    Abstract
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*Abstract
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down arrowMethods
down arrowResults
down arrowDiscussion
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Background—Cholesterol lowering in patients with above-average cholesterol levels has been shown to reduce the progression of atherosclerosis and lower the risk of coronary heart disease events. However, there has been uncertainty about the effects of cholesterol lowering in patients with average or below-average cholesterol levels.

Methods and Results—In this study, 522 patients with a history of myocardial infarction or unstable angina and with baseline levels of total cholesterol between 4 and 7 mmol/L (mean, 5.7 mmol/L) were randomized to treatment with a low fat diet plus pravastatin (40 mg daily) or to a low fat diet plus placebo. Treatment with pravastatin reduced the levels of total cholesterol by 19%, LDL cholesterol by 27%, apolipoprotein B by 19%, and triglycerides by 13% (all 2P<.0001) and increased apolipoprotein A1 and HDL cholesterol levels by 4% (both 2P<.0005), in comparison with placebo. Carotid atherosclerosis was assessed from B-mode ultrasound measurements of the common carotid artery. After 4 years, mean carotid wall thickness had increased by 0.048 mm (SE=0.01) in the placebo group and declined by 0.014 mm in the pravastatin-treated group (SE=0.01) (2P for difference <.0001). The effect of treatment on wall thickness was similar in three groups classified by tertiles of total cholesterol at baseline, with mean levels of 4.8, 5.7, and 6.6 mmol/L, respectively (2P for interaction >.8).

Conclusions—Treatment with pravastatin reduced the development of carotid atherosclerosis among patients with coronary heart disease and a wide range of pretreatment cholesterol levels. Treatment with this agent prevented any detectable increase in carotid wall thickening over 4 years of follow-up.


Key Words: cholesterol • atherosclerosis • carotid arteries • coronary disease


*    Introduction
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up arrowAbstract
*Introduction
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down arrowResults
down arrowDiscussion
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Continuous associations of total and LDL cholesterol levels with the extent of atherosclerosis have been reported in several cross-sectional studies using coronary angiography1 2 or carotid artery B-mode ultrasound.3 4 In longitudinal studies of Western populations, the association between cholesterol levels and the risk of myocardial infarction or death from CHD also appears to be continuous, with no lower level of cholesterol identified below which the risks of CHD do not continue to decline.5 6 Indeed, even in Eastern populations in which average cholesterol levels are much lower than in the West, there still appears to be a continuous association of cholesterol levels with CHD risk.7 Overall among individuals of middle age, each 0.6 mmol/L lower total cholesterol confers {approx}30% less risk of CHD across a wide range of cholesterol levels.6

In randomized controlled trials, cholesterol lowering has been shown to reduce the progression of coronary8 9 10 11 12 13 14 and carotid15 16 17 18 19 20 atherosclerosis in patient populations with average pretreatment cholesterol levels >6 mmol/L. Moreover, cholesterol lowering has also been shown to reduce the risks of initial21 22 and recurrent CHD21 23 in similar patient populations with elevated cholesterol levels. However, in Western populations most deaths from CHD occur among individuals whose cholesterol level is average or below average,5 and the effect of cholesterol lowering on both atherosclerosis and CHD in these individuals is less well established. There is some evidence that in patient populations with average pretreatment cholesterol levels of {approx}6 mmol/L, cholesterol-lowering treatment with HMG CoA reductase inhibitors reduces the development of atherosclerosis in the coronary24 25 26 27 and carotid28 arteries. A recent study has also reported a reduction in coronary atherosclerosis is patients with an average pretreatment cholesterol level of 5.7 mmol/L.29 The Cholesterol And Recurrent Events (CARE) trial reported a significant reduction in the risk of recurrent myocardial infarction in a patient population with an average pretreatment cholesterol level of 5.5 mmol/L.30 However, in that study it was reported that the proportional effects of treatment on CHD risk declined in direct proportion to the initial level of LDL cholesterol such that there were no detectable benefits of treatment in those patients whose pretreatment LDL cholesterol levels were <125 mg/dL (3.2 mmol/L). There remains, therefore, uncertainty as to how widely the benefits of cholesterol lowering extend to those with lower pretreatment cholesterol levels.

The Long-term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischemic Disease (LIPID) trial31 was initiated to determine the effects of lowering cholesterol with the HMG CoA reductase inhibitor pravastatin on the risk of death from CHD in individuals with a history of myocardial infarction or unstable angina but with cholesterol levels that were average or below average both for patients with CHD and for the age-specific general populations of the countries in which the study was conducted (Australia and New Zealand). This study is, by a factor of 2, larger than any previous randomized trial of cholesterol lowering in patients with CHD, and it should therefore be able to provide more definitive evidence about whether the size of the benefits of cholesterol reduction are determined by pretreatment levels of cholesterol. The LIPID Atherosclerosis Substudy is also, by a factor of 2, larger than any previous randomized study of the effects of cholesterol lowering on carotid atherosclerosis in patients with CHD. Its results, which are reported here, provide new information about the effects of cholesterol lowering on carotid atherosclerosis among individuals with a broad range of pretreatment cholesterol levels.


*    Methods
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*Methods
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Participants
The participant selection criteria for entry to the LIPID trial have been described in detail elsewhere.31 Briefly, individuals were eligible for inclusion if they had a history of myocardial infarction or hospitalization for unstable angina 3 months to 5 years before enrollment and if they had a total serum cholesterol level between 4 and 7 mmol/L (155 to 271 mg/dL) after 2 months on a low fat diet (target <30% kJ from fat). Individuals were not eligible if they were already receiving cholesterol-lowering drug therapy or had serum triglyceride levels >5.0 mmol/L, serum alanine amino transferase or aspartate amino transferase levels >1.5 times the upper limit of normal, serum bilirubin levels >=30 µmol/L, serum albumin levels <3 g/dL, or serum creatinine levels >=160 µmol/L. Participants in the LIPID Atherosclerosis Substudy were recruited from the four LIPID trial clinical centers in Auckland, New Zealand: the Auckland, Green Lane, Middlemore, and North Shore hospitals.

Study Treatment
After a 2-month run-in period during which potentially eligible patients received placebo tablets and dietary instruction for cholesterol lowering, eligible patients who provided written consent to participate were randomized, double-blind, to receive either pravastatin 40 mg daily (at night) or placebo. After randomization, individuals in both groups continued to receive dietary instruction. The study treatment was scheduled to continue for at least 5 years; during this period, all study participants were free to receive whatever other medical treatment they required, including active cholesterol lowering therapy if this was deemed to be definitely indicated.

Carotid Artery Ultrasound
Before randomization and after 2 and 4 years, ultrasound scans of the right common carotid artery were performed in the Cardiovascular Research Laboratory of the University of Auckland Department of Medicine. B-mode ultrasound images of the common carotid artery were captured with an ATL UM-8 ultrasound machine (10-MHz mechanical sector transducer at minimum power) gated by ECG to 200 ms past the peak of the R wave; these images were digitized and stored for off-line analysis. For each patient, three views of the right distal common carotid artery were collected, maximizing the lumen diameter to ensure that the plane of interrogation was orthogonal to the artery wall. Using a standardized protocol, one ultrasonographer performed all baseline examinations and a second ultrasonographer performed the examinations at years 2 and 4. Both ultrasonographers were blind to treatment allocation.

The images collected at baseline, 2 years, and 4 years were measured by a single ultrasonographer after completion of the 4-year examinations. The measuring ultrasonographer was blind to treatment allocation but not to the date of the examination. With the use of a locally developed program, measurements were made on a 1-cm length of the carotid artery immediately proximal to the bulb. This area was magnified (x10), and, at millimeter intervals, 10 consecutive point estimates were made of the thickness of the near and far walls. Such estimates were made on each of three representative images from each examination. The average of these 30 resulting estimates was used to estimate the thickness of the far wall and the lumen diameter. The estimates of the thickness of the near wall are affected by both random and systematic error as a consequence of the juxtaposition of this wall with the jugular vein, and for these reasons, measurements of near wall thickness were not used in this study. Hence all references to CWT hereafter refer to the thickness of the far wall of the common carotid artery.

The choice of the far wall of the common carotid artery as the primary end point in this trial was based on experimental studies conducted in the Cardiovascular Research Laboratory of the University of Auckland demonstrating the histologic validity of such ultrasound measurements.32 Additionally, the choice was influenced by the greater reliability of measurements from this section of artery compared with that for other sections such as the carotid bulb or the internal carotid artery and the larger proportion of patients from whom measurable images can be obtained. In quality control series conducted before and during the measurement period, the coefficient of variation for repeat measures of CWT by the responsible ultrasonographer was between 6% and 7%.

Lipids and Lipoproteins
Total cholesterol was measured at the randomization visit and at annual visits thereafter. Additionally triglycerides, LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, apolipoprotein A1 and apolipoprotein B were measured at randomization and at visits 1 and 3 years after randomization. All lipid and lipoprotein measurements were made at a central laboratory (Flinders Medical Center, Adelaide) certified by the Lipid Standardization Program of the Centers for Disease Control, Atlanta, Ga. Total cholesterol was measured enzymatically with standard methods (Boehringer Mannheim) and total triglyceride was measured by standard spectrophotometric techniques (Boehringer Mannheim). After precipitation of LDL and VLDL particles with phosphotungstic acid, HDL cholesterol was measured enzymatically in the supernatant by a modification of the method for total cholesterol. Apolipoproteins A1 and B were measured with immunonephelometric assays (Behring Diagnostics).

Study Outcomes
The primary study outcome was the change from baseline in CWT after 2 and 4 years of follow-up. Secondary outcomes included changes in lumen diameter; the ratio of CWT to lumen diameter; CWT within subsets of participants defined by tertiles of total cholesterol at baseline; and CWT within subsets defined by tertiles of CWT at baseline.

Statistical Issues
The study sample size was chosen to provide 90% power (with 2P=.05) to detect a 0.06-mm difference between groups in mean CWT. All outcome analyses were conducted according to the intention-to-treat principle. Differences between randomized groups in changes in CWT, lumen, and CWT-to-lumen ratio during follow-up were tested with the Student's t test for independent groups. A multivariate approach to the analysis of repeated measures was also used to estimate main and interaction effects, with maximum likelihood imputation of missing values performed using the MIXED procedures of SAS. The same methods were used to estimate differences between randomized groups in lipid and lipoprotein levels during follow-up. Interaction effects were prespecified for differences in treatment effects on CWT between groups of participants classified by tertiles of total cholesterol and by tertiles of CWT at baseline. All probability values were calculated from two-tailed tests of statistical significance (2P). A 5% significance level was maintained throughout these analyses.


*    Results
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up arrowAbstract
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up arrowMethods
*Results
down arrowDiscussion
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Characteristics of Study Participants at Baseline
A total of 522 individuals were randomized, representing 88% of the 592 potentially eligible patients who entered in the prerandomization run-in period. At randomization, the average age of participants was 61 years, 88% were men, 75% had a history of myocardial infarction, and 5% were diabetic. The mean total, LDL, and HDL cholesterol concentrations were 5.7, 4.0, and 0.9 mmol/L, respectively, and the mean CWT, lumen diameter, and CWT-to-lumen ratio were 0.79 mm, 7.04 mm, and 0.11, respectively. A total of 273 subjects were assigned treatment with pravastatin and 249 were assigned placebo; the slight imbalance in the number of patients in the two groups arose because randomization was not stratified within this substudy. The study groups were well matched for most characteristics at randomization.

Number of Participants With Outcome Data for Carotid Wall Thickness
Outcome data were sought from all participants irrespective of whether or not they continued to take the randomized study treatment. Data were available from all 522 participants at baseline, from 459 participants (88%) after 2 years, and from 404 participants (77%) after 4 years. One third of the losses to follow-up were due to death and one third were due to relocation outside the Auckland region. The proportion of patients with follow-up data was almost identical in the pravastatin and placebo groups (77% and 78%, respectively, at 4 years), and for this reason it seems unlikely that the loss to follow-up would have introduced any large bias in the comparison of outcome between the two groups. However, it is possible in this study, as in all studies of atherosclerosis, that modest biases could be introduced by a reduction in mortality if the likelihood of death was associated with the degree of atherosclerotic progression. In such circumstances, loss to follow-up through death of control group patients with more rapidly progressing disease would reduce the size of any observed beneficial effects of treatment on disease progression.

Lipid and Lipoprotein Levels
Over the 48 months of follow-up, total cholesterol was reduced by an average of 1.0 mmol/L (SE=0.01) in the pravastatin group compared with the placebo group (18%; 2P=.0001) (Table 1Down). Additionally, over the first 36 months of follow-up, LDL cholesterol, apolipoprotein B, and total triglyceride levels were reduced by an average of 0.9 mmol/L (SE=0.04), 0.05 mmol/L (SE=0.01), and 0.29 mmol/L (SE=0.05), respectively, in the pravastatin group compared with the placebo group (all 2P<.0006). Over the same period, apolipoprotein A1 and HDL cholesterol levels increased by 0.06 mmol/L (SE=0.01) and 0.05 mmol/L (SE=0.01) in the pravastatin group compared with the placebo group (both 2P<.0005). After 48 months of follow-up, 15% of patients discontinued treatment with pravastatin and 12% of control patients began nonstudy cholesterol-lowering treatment. However, this did not result in any detectable convergence of levels of lipids and lipoproteins between groups over the duration of follow-up (2P for interaction, all >.05).


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Table 1. Effects of Study Treatment on Lipids and Lipoprotein Levels During Follow-up

For subgroups of participants defined by tertiles of total cholesterol at baseline, the mean total (and LDL) cholesterol levels at baseline were 4.8 (3.2), 5.7 (3.9), and 6.6 (4.7) mmol/L, respectively. However, the true tertile averages for usual levels of total and LDL cholesterol will be less disparate because of regression to the mean; for this reason, average levels during follow-up for patients assigned placebo provide a better estimate of average usual levels in the tertiles defined by baseline measurements. For total cholesterol after 4 years of follow-up (and for LDL cholesterol after 3 years), the average values for the three groups were 4.5 (2.8), 5.2 (3.4), and 5.6 (3.8) mmol/L, respectively. The effects of study treatment on total and LDL cholesterol in each of these three subgroups defined by tertiles of total cholesterol at entry were similar (2P for interaction, all >.3). Similarly, the effects of study treatment on total and LDL cholesterol in each of the three subgroups defined by tertiles of CWT at entry were also similar (2P for interaction, all >.1).

Carotid Artery Wall and Lumen Dimensions
After 2 years of follow-up, the mean CWT increased by 0.039 mm in the placebo group and was essentially unchanged in the pravastatin group (Table 2Down and Fig 1Down). After 4 years of follow-up, the mean CWT had increased by a total of 0.048 mm in the placebo group and had declined by 0.014 mm in the pravastatin group. Thus after 2 years there was a 0.049-mm (SE=0.01) difference between groups in the mean change in CWT from baseline (2P=.003), and after 4 years there was a 0.062-mm (SE=0.01) difference between groups (2P<.0001). There was no detectable difference in lumen diameter between groups after either 2 or 4 years, and, as a consequence, the ratio of lumen to wall thickness increased by 5% after 2 years (2P=.03) and by 8% after 4 years (2P=.0015) in the pravastatin group compared with the placebo group.


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Table 2. Effects of Study Treatment on CWT, Lumen, and CWT-to-Lumen Ratio



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Figure 1. Carotid artery wall thickness in pravastatin and placebo groups at baseline, year 2 and year 4.

For participants classified by tertiles of total cholesterol at entry, there were similar differences between treatment and placebo groups in the change in CWT from baseline to 2 and 4 years (2P for interaction, .8; Table 3Down and Fig 2Down). In other analyses, there were no significant effects of levels of total or LDL cholesterol at baseline on the size of the effect of treatment on CWT (both 2P>.8). For participants classified by tertiles of CWT at entry there were no significant differences between subgroups in the size of the effects of treatment on CWT (2P for interaction, .5). Additionally, there were no significant differences in the size of the effects of treatment in smokers and nonsmokers, diabetic and nondiabetic subjects, and hypertensive and nonhypertensive subjects (2P for interaction, all >.5).


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Table 3. Effects of Study Treatment on CWT in Groups Defined by Tertiles of Pretreatment Cholesterol



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Figure 2. Change in carotid artery wall thickness in pravastatin and placebo groups after 4 years by tertiles of baseline cholesterol.


*    Discussion
up arrowTop
up arrowAbstract
up arrowIntroduction
up arrowMethods
up arrowResults
*Discussion
down arrowReferences
 
The results of this study demonstrate that treatment with the HMG CoA reductase inhibitor pravastatin reduced the development of carotid atherosclerosis among individuals with a history of CHD with average or below-average cholesterol levels for Western populations. In this study population, with a mean pretreatment cholesterol level of 5.7 mmol/L (range, 4 to 7 mmol/L), treatment with pravastatin reduced total cholesterol levels by 19%, LDL cholesterol levels by 27%, apolipoprotein B levels by 19%, and total triglyceride levels by 13%. Apolipoprotein A 1 and HDL cholesterol were both increased by {approx}5%. These changes in lipid and lipoprotein levels appeared to attenuate the progression of atherosclerotic progression such that there was no detectable carotid wall thickening over 4 years of follow-up among the patients assigned pravastatin. Moreover, the effects of treatment appeared to be similar in three groups defined by tertiles of entry cholesterol (with average baseline cholesterol levels of 4.8, 5.7, and 6.6 mmol/L, respectively). These results suggest that cholesterol lowering is likely to reduce atherosclerotic progression in most patients with CHD, across a broad range of pretreatment cholesterol levels.

The results of this study extend those of earlier studies that have demonstrated that cholesterol lowering reduces the progression of both carotid and coronary atherosclerosis in patient populations with average pretreatment cholesterol levels of >=6 mmol/L. They are also consistent with the results of the one study that has investigated the effects of cholesterol lowering on coronary atherosclerosis in patients with an average entry level of 5.7 mmol/L.29 The observation within this study of similarly reduced atherosclerotic progression among individuals with a broad range of pretreatment cholesterol levels (4.8 to 6.6 mmol/L) is consistent with other evidence about the effects of cholesterol lowering on coronary atherosclerosis from the REGRESS trial.25 In that study, the average pretreatment cholesterol level was somewhat higher (6.0 mmol/L) than that in our study, but beneficial effects of pravastatin were observed across a similar range of pretreatment cholesterol levels to those studied here. As a consequence, there is now consistent evidence of beneficial effects of cholesterol lowering on the progression of both carotid and coronary atherosclerosis at above average, average, and below average pretreatment levels of total (and LDL) cholesterol in Western populations.

The evidence suggests that cholesterol-lowering treatment should reduce the risk of clinical sequelae of atherosclerotic disease in a large proportion of the population at risk of such events and not only in those with high cholesterol levels. This is supported by the results of trials such as the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study (4S),23 which suggest that there are beneficial effects of treatment with simvastatin on the risk of recurrent CHD among individuals with pretreatment cholesterol levels of {approx}6.5 mmol as well as among those with higher levels.23 The results of the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial suggest beneficial effects of treatment with pravastatin in a patient population with even lower levels of cholesterol. However, the conclusion from that study that the benefits of treatment decline in direct proportion to the pretreatment level of LDL cholesterol appears inconsistent with the results of the present study and of REGRESS,25 in which the effects of the same treatment on carotid and coronary atherosclerotic progression appeared to be largely independent of initial total and LDL cholesterol values across a similar range to those of patients included in CARE.30 This inconsistency could reflect limitations of change in atherosclerosis as a surrogate for changes in CHD risk. However, it could also reflect the low statistical power of CARE to detect a modest effect of treatment on CHD risk in the subgroup of 851 patients with pretreatment LDL cholesterol levels <125 mg/dL (3.2 mmol/L), among whom a total of only 182 CHD events were observed. This uncertainty may be resolved by the results of the other ongoing or recently completed studies (including the LIPID trial), among which there may be, at least collectively, sufficient patients with LDL cholesterol levels <125 mg/dL to determine reliably any true effects of cholesterol on CHD risk.

Carotid atherosclerosis is not only a marker of CHD risk,33 34 35 36 37 it is also a marker of the risks of stroke and ischemic cerebrovascular disease.36 37 Thus the finding here and in previous studies of a marked effect of cholesterol lowering on carotid atherosclerosis suggests that such treatment might be expected to reduce the risk of ischemic stroke. In the older trials of agents with only modest cholesterol-lowering properties, there was little evidence of an effect on overall stroke risk.21 However, in more recent studies of HMG CoA reductase inhibitors, reductions in stroke risk have been reported. An overview of results from 13 trials involving >20 000 individuals among whom 462 strokes were recorded, observed a reduction in stroke risk of {approx}30% among patients assigned treatment with an HMG CoA reductase inhibitor.38 Data from several of these trials indicate that these effects primarily reflect a reduction in strokes of ischemic origin, as might be expected. It therefore appears that the reduction in ischemic stroke risk produced by cholesterol lowering may be of similar relative magnitude to the reduction in CHD risk. This hypothesis will be tested by the LIPID trial in which {approx}350 strokes (of definite or suspected ischemic origin) and {approx}1250 major CHD events were documented by the end of follow-up.


*    Selected Abbreviations and Acronyms
 
CHD = coronary heart disease
CWT = carotid wall thickness
HMG CoA = 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A


*    Acknowledgments
 
The LIPID trial was conducted under the auspices of the National Heart Foundation of Australia with a grant from Bristol-Myers Squibb. Data collection and analysis for this substudy were funded by grants from the National Heart Foundation of New Zealand. The project was also supported in part by a Program Grant from the Health Research Council of New Zealand. Dr Stephen MacMahon is the recipient of a Principal Research Fellowship from the Health Research Council of New Zealand. Colleen Ciobo and Julia Zorn performed the ultrasound examinations and Jenny Baker provided data from the LIPID database. Julie Yallop, Mary-Jean Mackie, and Alison Clague provided local study coordination, and Janet Brown, Renee Coxon, Mary Denton, Jacqui Elliot, Alison Hall, Lynette Pearce, Pam Reid, and Philippa Wright managed the study clinics. Members of the LIPID Management Committee are Michael Ablett, Phillip Aylward, David Colquhoun, Paul Glasziou, Phillip Harris, David Hunt, Anthony Keech, Maynard MacAskill, Stephen MacMahon, Paul Magnus, Norman Sharpe, John Simes, Peter Thompson, Andrew Tonkin (Chair), Peter Wallace, Malcolm West, and Harvey White. John Shaw (deceased) was Chair of the LIPID Management Committee from 1989 to 1994.

Received October 22, 1997; revision received December 29, 1997; accepted January 12, 1998.


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up arrowAbstract
up arrowIntroduction
up arrowMethods
up arrowResults
up arrowDiscussion
*References
 

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